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""Does Abortion Prevent Crime?" Steven D. Levitt's response to Steve Sailer in 1999 "Slate" debate"

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Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think small effects for a multivariable problem should be treated with suspicion. When he makes the comment about a percent per year, than that worries me. If we already know that social factors (e.g. crack) were driving much bigger changes, how can we really adequately factor them out and hone in on the small variable. For one thing, crack is not the only possible social dynamic. If there are some pretty big variable impacts going on, I worry that a small effect (calculated as caused by a regression variable) might just be some change in the larger variables or some other unspecified variable.

And then something like this (crime rate) could be hugely impacted by social dynamics. Lightbulb effect, religion, general mores, etc. etc.

1/25/16, 7:47 PM

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