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Post a Comment On: Steve Sailer: iSteve

"The world's most boring profound insight"

9 Comments -

1 – 9 of 9
Blogger TGGP said...

I think you give short shrift to Kahneman. Part of his findings are that you don't even have to try hard or have any "conjuror" talent to trick people, people can trick themselves just fine. You can explicitly tell people to ignore an "anchor", and it will still screw them up! Normally people try to put themselves in situations where their heuristics work, but detecting times when the brain DOESN'T work correctly helps us to understand what's actually going on in there. Sort of like how valuable case studies of brain damaged people have been to psychiatry.

But I agree, Jensen is underrated. I've complained about Rushton's scholarship before, but I'm not aware of any such misstep on Jensen's part.

10/29/12, 10:38 PM

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Rick Sanchez's remarks to the ADL in February 2012:

http://ricksancheztv.com/2012/02/12/personal/my-remarks-to-the-adls-national-executive-committee/

10/29/12, 10:54 PM

Blogger Steve Sailer said...

Kahneman would be more fun if he was more of a mustache-twirling cynic -- Ha-ha, fools! Tricked them again! Sadly, he's kind of a sincere Aspie who has trouble understanding why most people think Linda is going to be a feminist bankteller because he's gone so far out of his way in telling the story to imply that she is.

10/29/12, 10:55 PM

Blogger Jim Bowery said...

Confirmation bias?

The current odds at Intrade are 62% for Obama. Moreover, Obama has not fallen below 50% since January.

What's confirmation bias?

10/29/12, 11:00 PM

Anonymous Anonymous said...

still waiting for some other person among the thousands and thousands of commentators, pundits, journalists, and etc to speculate that self-interest among journalists, talking heads, pollsters and pundits lies in the direction of a close race: the media and pollsters will receive more income via advertising buys and viewers and polling requests when the race is close versus a not so close race, and so therefore, these entities tend to promote the candidate that is behind so as to make the race closer. Restated, the media, pundits and pollsters got Romney back in the race in September so as to make it a close race and therefore obtain more income for themselves. Nah, that couldn't be it.....

10/29/12, 11:01 PM

Anonymous Auntie Analogue said...


Pah!

Don't bother me when I'm working my Ouija board.

Had to use the Ouija board because post-tropical storm Sandy's surge diluted the ink water in my Magic 8-Ball.

Boy, do I miss that Criswell guy.

10/29/12, 11:44 PM

Blogger Clutch cargo cult said...

A look at stock market volatility as measured by VIX sees it near all time lows. The market doesn't do uncertainty(as defined by new administration) well. The market has bet big that there will be no change in the White House. I hope the market is wrong but wouldn't bet my money on it.

10/30/12, 8:25 AM

Anonymous David said...

"Most will also have a ready-made argument for why it was inevitable that Mitt Romney, or Barack Obama, won — displaying the sort of false, after-the-fact 'foresight' that psychologists call hindsight bias."

I can boast of having confidently predicted Romney, way back on October 9, 2012. I even gave the reason why.

Hindsight my rear end.

10/30/12, 7:47 PM

Blogger irishfan87 said...

I don't get why you hit on Rick Sanchez so much. Basically, he's medium intelligence jock I guess, but he got in trouble for raising an issue you seem at least somewhat sympathetic to.

10/30/12, 7:55 PM

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