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I don't live in Boston
anymore. But I still live in Red Sox Nation. This means
that the radio next to my desk gets WEEI. The hot topic
this week is how Jason Varitek's offensive drought is
hurting the team.
Tek is definitely worrisome. However, his OPS
of .672 is only 118 points below his career
average.
Manny Ramirez has an OPS of .884 this year: 113 points
below his career
average of .997.
So you could argue that Manny's "slump" is hurting team
offense just about as much as Tek's.
It's an interesting way to look at things. Varitek is
getting close to the Mendoza line, so he's the one that
stands out. But Manny's "dip" has actually cost the Red
Sox more runs (because he gets more at bats, and has
played in 11 more games).
Of course, I put "dip" in quotes because the truth is that
both Manny and Tek are 36 years old -- so it's likely that
this is exactly what we are supposed to expect from these
two. Neither of these players is "slumping". They are both
just getting old. Unless you are Barry Bonds or Roger
Clemens, this is when your stats begin to take a nosedive.
It's actually refreshing to see their performance taper
off, instead of seeing them "reborn" as 40-year-old
superstars because of steroids and HGH.
Varitek stands out to Red Sox as the bigger problem,
because you shouldn't pay a guy $10 million to hit .220.
But the upside of Tek's problems is that he's more easily
replaceable. Assuming for a moment that his "game calling"
abilities are over-rated, it can't be that hard to find a
catcher that can hit .220. On the other hand, Manny is a
future Hall-Of-Famer. Replacing that kind of offense is
going to be nearly impossible. So, in the big picture,
Manny's drop-off is actually more damaging to the Red Sox
playoff hopes than Varitek's.
The downside of Tek's problems is that he's locked up
through 2009, but Manny is a free agent after this year.
After a season-and-a-half of Manny with a sub-.900 OPS,
Theo can be pretty sure this isn't a fluke, which means
it's unlikely we'll see him in a Red Sox uniform in '09.
posted by Clay Dreslough at 9:27 PM on Jul 2, 2008
"Varitek Isn't The Weak Link"
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