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"New Data from the Early Universe Does Not Rule Out Holography"

12 Comments -

1 – 12 of 12
Blogger Phillip Helbig said...

Peter Coles has a more sceptical take on this.

1:54 PM, February 09, 2017

Blogger עמיר ליבנה בר-און said...

As Multivac would say in their 1950's manner, THERE IS INSUFFICIENT DATA FOR A MEANINGFUL ANSWER.

2:03 PM, February 09, 2017

Blogger Topher said...

This and a report you tweeted on the vorticity of quark-gluon plasma reminded me of a talk I heard in the early 2000's. The claim was that the then-recently-measured viscosity of quark-pluon plasma at RHIC was very low, but just above a kind of lower limit predicted by string theories in a very general way.

I haven't heard any updates on this idea, but at the time it seemed like a genuine test of string theory which could have failed, but did not. Sadly it was not the kind of test that would distinguish string theories from the Standard Model, but still it seemed noteworthy. Has there been any recent news around this?

4:45 PM, February 09, 2017

Blogger Matthew Rapaport said...

I don't understand why "fitting the data" stands as evidence of anything in particular here. We are talking about mapping *information* here and many information mappings can fit the same data. You have only to look at all the various undecidable interpretations of QM to see this at work.

So assuming this vision of reality to be true in some sense, how does it affect the rest of physics? What for example does it do to the standard model?

5:06 PM, February 09, 2017

Blogger Unknown said...

Seems holographic principle just a computational device?
If there's no difference in predictive or explanatory ability between holography and "conventional" descriptions, let Occams Razor prevail and we "really" live in an ordinary 3-D physical universe.

An example within some engineering fields is use of the complex number plane for certain calculations. Some analyses involving AC voltages, currents, and circuit elements are easier to both calculate & visualize. But no one ever thinks there is some physical reality represented by sqrt(-1).

-- TomH

8:05 PM, February 09, 2017

Blogger Pfogle said...

I totally agree that it is extraordinary that these two, so different concepts, can come up with a model that even approximately matches the data. But I might be being naive, as I've no way of knowing how flexible these parameters make the models.

Also, does the positive cosmological constant undermine the holographic model for being mathematically inconsistent? In which case what is the status of the model used in the study? Is this the origin of the divergence of the model from Concordance at higher multipoles?

To me, the value of the idea would seem to be the discovery that the information contained in a finite volume varies as the surface area of the boundary. I find that extraordinary, and quite counter-intuitive. This seems to be the beauty of duality!

12:18 AM, February 10, 2017

Blogger Sabine Hossenfelder said...

Pfogle,

Not very flexible as there aren't all that many parameters. This does not factor in however, how much flexibility there was in choosing this model to begin with, which is much harder to quantify.

The model is (needless to say) not known to be mathematically inconsistent. The positive cosmological constant doesn't undermine its consistency, it brings in additional guesswork in the assumptions. No, the origin of the divergence at low multipoles is that one uses an approximation which is no longer valid in this regime and a method to circumvent the problem is not known. Best,

B.

1:11 AM, February 10, 2017

Blogger Sabine Hossenfelder said...

Topher,

It didn't work because the predictions didn't fit with the LHC data, so most string theorists seem to have given up on it and don't want to be reminded of it. I wrote about this here. It's kinda interesting that this did not make headlines. Best,

B.

1:14 AM, February 10, 2017

Blogger Sabine Hossenfelder said...

Phillip,

I agree with what Peter wrote in his blogpost, the title of that news story is very misleading. As you can see, I've picked my title to capture what the paper actually says. (The result is, needless to say, that few people care about it - that's the problem with fake news, they're designed to spread.)

Having said that, he forgets to mention though that there are good reasons to exclude the low multipoles in the data analysis. That still doesn't result in "evidence for" of course. Best,

B.

1:18 AM, February 10, 2017

Blogger KSkenderis said...

In planet in a far away galaxy a high profile murder is committed. The police rounds up a number of suspects and after a while there is enough circumstantial evidence to single out suspect A from all the others and put him on trial. New technology becomes available and DNA testing of genetic material left in the scene reveals a close match with that of suspect A. The prosecution presents this evidence to the court as the definitive proof that suspect A committed the crime. Front-page titles with "GUILTY" appear in the news. Everyone is now convinced that A is guilty, despite a number of gaps in the prosecution's case, and it seems a matter of time before the court proceeding conclude with a "Guilty" verdict. Meanwhile the defence team uncovers a new suspect B, who wasn't investigated previously, and who has different DNA than that of suspect A, but nevertheless the match with the genetic material from the murder scene is of equal quality with that of suspect A.

How should the defence team present this to the court and to the media?

It is definitely the case that suspect B is not ruled out as the murderer but more is true: based on the DNA test both suspects are equally likely to have committed the crime.

The law firm of the defence team issues a press release with title:

"Substantial evidence that suspect B committed the crime"

and the text says there is substantial evidence against B, equal to that against A.

Is this misleading?

6:09 AM, February 11, 2017

Blogger Matthew Rapaport said...

I think truth table values are same but misleading because "against" here is ambiguous between "for guilt" and "for innocence". But in science looking for "evidence against" meaning falsifying, or "evidence for" meaning confirming, are both legitimate. Of course your paper should make explicit which direction you are going

12:47 PM, February 11, 2017

Blogger KSkenderis said...

The scientific case is unambiguous. Both models provide an excellent fit to the data (i.e. the models explain the structure seen in the data), and as such the data provide evidence for both theories. Having established this, the next question is whether the data prefer the one or the other theory. The main scientific tool for addressing this is to compute the so-call Bayesian Evidence. This computation essentially shows that both models are equally likely to describe the early universe. More data are needed to discriminate between the two models (and more theoretical work in the case of the holographic model (which is in progress), if one is to use it for the very low multipoles).

The issue at hand is how to best communicate these results to the general public. I don't claim to have the answer to this. Clearly, one has to use a broad brush picture as the general public lacks the scientific background to understand the technical details. But such board brush picture can be prone to misinterpretation. While one could debate whether different phrasing in the press release would be more appropriate, I do not think it was actually misleading: it said that there is evidence for the holographic model, which is equal to that of the concordance model. What is misleading here?

5:26 AM, February 13, 2017

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