Interesting plot, the first one. Just from looking, there seems to be exponential growth in the early years, but there also seems to be an inflection point somewhere around the end of 2006.
Maybe one could fit a tanh to the curve?
One then could boldly predict that the number of blogs will saturate at about 150 million by 2010 ;-)
As long as the number of internet users and population in general keeps growing I don't think it will saturate any time soon. It's more likely actually that it starts dropping if some other form of personal website becomes fashionable. Best,
By April 2007, they counted about 70 million weblogs, and 120,000 new weblogs each day. The statistic below shows the number of daily posts between Aug 2004 and Feb 2007
"Posts per Second"
4 Comments -
Interesting plot, the first one. Just from looking, there seems to be exponential growth in the early years, but there also seems to be an inflection point somewhere around the end of 2006.
Maybe one could fit a tanh to the curve?
One then could boldly predict that the number of blogs will saturate at about 150 million by 2010 ;-)
11:59 AM, December 15, 2007
As long as the number of internet users and population in general keeps growing I don't think it will saturate any time soon. It's more likely actually that it starts dropping if some other form of personal website becomes fashionable. Best,
B.
5:00 PM, December 15, 2007
As a result, signal-to-noise ratio just keeps decreasing in blogsphere.
6:35 PM, December 15, 2007
Unfortunately most of the new blogs being created involve porn or some other scams.
6:45 PM, December 17, 2007