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Anonymous Paul P said...

Confirmation bias is really interesting, often people interpret facts to fit a pre-formed explanation, but just as common is a variant where people adjust their interpretation post-hoc to maintain a higher level bias - for example asserting that what someone said or did before actually is to be understood in a particular way. This seems to happen both in terms of individuals and also in communities - for example commentaries imposing meaning on a sutta.

lovely crop circle though...

Friday, December 02, 2011

Blogger Jayarava said...

Hi Paul,

Yes. Confirmation bias is a big cognitive problem. It happens unconsciously so without a constant effort to evaluate one's decisions it will always be a factor. With communities I would say that it probably works in the form of conditioning of expectations rather that being a
truly distributed phenomena - though I'm sure this what you meant.

At the popular level disrupting confirmation bias can be problematic because you are challenging strongly held views. I've certainly seen a lot of this in the last week! Though ironically the blog gained two followers when I expected to lose them!

And yes the commentator often imposes a meaning onto a traditional teaching that it can't really sustain. One of the things I like to do is to unpick this. I'm working on an article which critiques the consensus view that the Buddha's teachings on anatta were a response to Vedic soteriology (see a post called Early Buddhists and ātman/brahman). In fact the texts cannot sustain this proposition. The Buddhists clearly don't engage with Upaniṣadic soteriology any more than Hindus who claim the Buddha was an avatara of Viṣṇu engage with Buddhist soteriology. The expectation that the Buddha was in dialogue with Brahmins about ātman is so strong that we don't notice that it never happens!

I can't be sure, but I think this is the very crop circle we had been talking about at the picnic.

Cheers.
Jayarava

Friday, December 02, 2011

Blogger lalitaraja said...

Another interesting blog Jayarava, I come from a background in magical thinking and have been at pains to not throw the baby out with the bathwater as I engage with challenging those views. For instance I have witnessed and received healing on many occassions and I see no reason to be talked out of what I experienced - strong sensations of heat and tingling mostly with one or two instances of apparant energy releasing. I have also practiced Tai Qi Nei Gong for many years which produces similar apparant effects.
The working ground for me seems to be belief, otherwise it seems I simply replace belief in Magick with belief in 'scientism' (not science, which is not a matter of belief, is it?). If I refuse to interpret these healing events with magical thinking or dismiss them with ratinal-ism then I can stay in a much more interesting place of 'don't know' which is open to possibilities and to having my mind changed whilst honoring the phenomenal data experienced.
what do you think? is this naive perhaps? perhaps but it seems to be a balanced working ground for me as there is both wonder in magick and science, and that wonder is enhanced if I can stay open to there being more to it...

Friday, December 02, 2011

Blogger elisa freschi said...

Dear Jayarava,
I share (who doesn't, apart from people with low instruction?) your dislike for magic, etc. But, as already hinted at, I do not agree with the idea that the scientific paradigm is The one. It is, I belief, a matter of assumptions which have not been spelt out. One of them is the idea that the world is as natural sciences describe it, although natural sciences themselves evolve.

Friday, December 02, 2011

Blogger Jayarava said...

Hi Elisa

I'll deal with your comment first. The thing about science is that something only becomes accepted after many observations by by many people. I don't think any scientist since the publication of Einstein's paper on General relativity have held their theories to be an exact description of Reality. Einstein's debunking of the consensus paradigm about the nature of time was absolutely devastating. As if he has proved to Christians than God was dead.

But science does provide us with ways of explaining phenomena and reliably predicting phenomena. Indeed I can still use Newton's equation to predict the curve followed when I throw a ball to such a degree of accuracy that no ordinary ruler would be good enough to notice the discrepancy.

So this objection that the natural world is not exactly like the way scientists describe it is not a very strong objection. The world must be so like the description that it often makes no difference. It is certainly more accurate and reliable, on the whole, than the common view - on this last at least I think we agree.

I have personally tested all of Newtons' "Laws" and I can report that they are very accurate, even if they are not Absolutely True.

Cheers
Jayarava

Friday, December 02, 2011

Blogger Jayarava said...

Hi Lalitarāja,

What we know is that the belief that you are receiving healing will provide relief, including physical changes in the body. This phenomenon is sometimes talked about dismissively, but mainly because it continues to muck up expensive drugs trials. Belief is powerful. It needs a new name I think to help us take it seriously, because the one the drug companies gave it is almost always used polemically. You probably know what I'm talking about.

In this regard I very much enjoyed the take on magic and healing, as practised and experienced amongst the Tantric practitioners of modern day Varanasi, and recounted in Ariel Glucklich's book The End of Magic (the most misleading book title ever I think). Glucklich understands the efficacy of such healing in terms of (re)establishing a sense of being interconnected with the world. I really recommend this book for a rational, but not dismissive, look at healing. He also discusses the shortcomings of previous Western attempts at rational explanations of faith healing.

On the other hand I think Thomas Metzinger's article on the out-of-body experience as the origin of the idea of the soul is instructive in terms of highlighting the problems of naive interpretations of experience. The original paper is here and my take on it is here.

Sometimes we simply cannot explain what is going on. This often makes us resort to inventing explanations. Hence we get magical thinking. Staying with unknowing seems to really test people. We just have to know, it seems, and we'll prefer an irrational explanation to no explanation at all.

I have, usually in desperation, undergone a number of alternative healing therapies including homoeopathy and kinesiology and found that they had absolutely no perceptible effect whatsoever. This is the flip side of the first effect I talked about: if you do not belief in the efficacy of some healing techniques they simply don't do anything.

Having an open mind is a good thing, but not too open as Tim Minchin suggests, just in case your brain falls out. :-)

Thanks for commenting. I like to know that my colleagues are reading.

Regards
Jayarava

Friday, December 02, 2011

Anonymous Paul P said...

'I have personally tested all of Newtons' "Laws" and I can report that they are very accurate, even if they are not Absolutely True.'

This reminded me of the old joke - Gravity: I fought the law, the law won.

I suspect you mean tested in a scientific sense though rather that in a young and foolish one.

Friday, December 02, 2011

Blogger Jayarava said...

Yes. I have confirmed to the limits the available measuring devices, and unavoidable within margins of error introduced by both method and the physical properties of the masses and measuring devices that Newton's laws of motion and gravity make accurate predictions ;-)

Friday, December 02, 2011

Anonymous Gambhiradaka said...

I enjoyed listening to an experimental physicist working in Cern recently. He was positively excited by the fact that they may not find the Higgs Bosun and therefore have to start from scratch about the theories. I found this interesting because science is often portrayed as being arrogant in the way to claims to tell the truth about the world. Yet this open minded approach seems to be a good example of how we could approach Dharma practice. It reminded me on the discourse of the elephants footprint; where even when we have seen multiple signs (broken branches, trodden grass etc...) of the existence of an elephant we cannot say for sure it is there until we see it personally.

Also my favourite Carravagio painting 'Doubting Thomas' which shows Thomas literally sticking his finger right into Christ's wounds as if to say 'come on really? Risen from the dead?' Another good symbol for a helpful attitude for investigating the Buddha's teachings.

Saturday, December 03, 2011

Blogger Jayarava said...

Hey Gambhiraḍāka

Yes. The Romantic and Humanist critiques of science seems to be stuck in the 19th century. There are some really nice quotes relevant to this on my post about conjecture and refutation.

It seems that we need to take into account that scientists have different roles. Theoreticians work in the abstract quite often - Neils Bohr being the most amazing example of this. He just worked out mathematically a description of the subatomic particle without any reference to experimental evidence, and produced a very robust theory. Some theoreticians work to explain observations (Stephen Hawking for instance). Some scientists work to test predictions (e.g. trying to find the Higgs Boson), while other accumulate data in a more general way. It is the rogue observation that gives the real thrill - like Fritz Zwicky who realised from his observations that the matter we can see is not enough to explain the orbital dynamics of galaxies and coined the term dark matter in 1934! Everything we thought we knew about the universe was wrong! Fantastic!

I'd use the metaphor of the elephant cautiously. From my pov we are not trying to establish the existence or non-existence of anything. Nor are we trying to establish the Truth or even a truth. We are trying to observe for ourselves how experience works. How can we track the trackless one?

Doubt is important. Frank Zappa once said that every town should have a big sign that just says "I doubt it".

Cheers
Jayarava

Saturday, December 03, 2011

Blogger Sabio Lantz said...

Wow, a strong SKEPTIC post by Jayarava with very few references to Buddhism-- very nicely done. Superbly said, as always.

My pro-science temperament seems similar to yours and I totally sympathize with your statement that: "my encounters with science continue to expand my mind, make the world seem more amazing, more wonderful, more inspiring, more alive, less limited."

I wonder, however, if such intuition is only possible because of my mathematical, analytic inclinations which are strong linked to my artistic side. Whereas for many other folks, they either don't have mathematical inclinations or, their math brain does not have strong linkages to the big-picture part of their brains. Or, something like that (I am sure you could say it better).

This issue of linkages made me think of another encounter with you today: Today, for the first time, I listened to your superb interview on Secular Buddhist Podcasts. The experience offered fantastic linkages.

In your posts, I see you as enthusiastically brilliant, courageously explorative but also as intellectually brutal, very harsh and often short-tempered (in the comments). Up to now, I have balanced my limited understanding of you with an understanding of your battles with chronic pain and depression. But listening to that interview offered an even better balance and enrichening understanding of you: In the interview you struck me as infinitely likable, funny, affectionate, playful and humble -- these are not impressions I get from your posts. So the interview will now help me enjoy your posts even more -- it filled out my understanding of the writer, a bit more. I highly recommend the interview to other readers.

So, how does this aside fit with this post? Well, our view of science offers us a meaning-saturating, inspirational perspective (if I am understanding your correctly). But maybe, this is just because of the various linkages in our brain. Likewise, without complete linkages to understand the honorable Jayarava, an incomplete, distorted view is inevitable. The more connections we have, the more inspiring the experience. So those without the possibility of science-inspiration only have magic to run to. The role of science writers and such is to offer an inspirational view for those without the math mind or those without connections to whole thinking.

Concerning Buddhism: Your interview points toward a hopeful skeptical, secular, pragmatic Buddhism, just as this post does for me. And this post combined with that interview points to a very fun and inspiring Jayarava. Thanks

Saturday, December 03, 2011

Blogger Jayarava said...

Hey Sabio

Well, erm, thanks for that honest assessment. I don't feel very comfortable with discussing my personal life in open forums these days as it backfired too many times. But I will accept both your praise and blame. I'm glad you enjoyed the interview, I certainly enjoyed doing it. Ted is very friendly and thoughtful.

It's not the first time my writing style has been assessed like that. I'm better in person. It's something to do with the internet I think. I don't seem experience empathetic connections with strangers via text. I value and pursue clarity of thought - in the absence of a sense of connection this value predominates. I don't see what I write as harsh - since I am almost never criticising abusing people on a personal level. I just aim to clarify the idea under discussion. Perhaps I don't succeed as well as I might wish. I certainly don't enjoy the kind of combative exchanges of the last week.

But I'm also someone who laughs a lot, and appreciates humour and comedy above most other art forms. I'm getting a bit involved in the Laughter Yoga movement lately! I'd like to run laughter workshops.

I'd very much like to write a book which is a true synthesis of science and Buddhism - not just a Buddhist looking at science or vice versa. A synthesis would not privilege either side but allow the best explanation to be the one we accept at each stage. And I would like it to be accessible to non-geeky types. I would hope to show that the modern science story is at least as wonderful and inspiring as traditional narratives.

I have more skeptic posts coming up, so hopefully you'll enjoy those as well.

So thanks for your comments. And once again thanks for you enthusiasm. Your other comment today left a smile on my face :-)

Regards
Jayarava

Saturday, December 03, 2011

Blogger Sabio Lantz said...

Hey Jayarava,


Ironic Pic:
Ya gotta love Google's advertisement algorithm. While reading this skeptic post, I noticed ">this psychic ad in right your side bar.

On Laughter:
I saw your laugher posts on Google + and after listening to your interview and hearing your wonderful laugh, I could see you as a superb Laugh Workshop leader!

On Empathetic Connections:
People have occasionally told me, "Wow, that was harsh" but I respond, "Gee, you should have heard how much sharper I was in my mind."
My inner thinking style is very critical, heartlessly self-skeptical and dissecting. Over the years I have learned to do that a little less to others -- a little. You see, I know that I love myself (I am an optimistic fellow) and so my own inner harshness never hurts me. But in real life conversations, people don't know me and I don't know them, so I try to be a bit more careful. My patients have taught me this over the years. But I mess us all the time.

Likewise, when I play on-line WeiQi (a board game) I can be curt, rude and thoughtless much more easily than I ever could in person. For as you implied, a face in front of you tends to activate the brain's social modules to supplement the calculations that can help avoid such impersonal habits. I chastise myself to be more observant in a WeiQi game. I think that watching my mind during a 1 hour game may change my mental habits more than a 1 week retreat silent meditative! :-)

Saturday, December 03, 2011

Blogger Roeland said...

Excellent article. I agree with you completely.
Surely, in spirituality we need more writers like you because spiritual thinking seems to be linked to superstition.
Spirituality that is 'superstition free' is almost non existent.

There is nothing more I can say other then keep up the good work.
Many people may not like what you write but you are doing a great job. Thank you.

Namaste,
Roeland

Sunday, December 04, 2011

Blogger Jayarava said...

Hi Roeland

Thanks. I appreciate the vote of confidence. I have more on this kind of theme lined up.

Watching Derren Brown something definitely shifted in my approach to the supernatural!

Best Wishes
Jayarava

Sunday, December 04, 2011

Blogger Sabio Lantz said...

Roeland,

I see that you have a website on Vedic Astrology. Are you a believer in Vedic Astrology?

Sunday, December 04, 2011

Blogger Sabio Lantz said...

Ooops, here is the link to the advertisement I saw next to your post (first link didn't work - I'll try again)

Sunday, December 04, 2011

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