Matt's Musings

Week 7 College Football Picks

2008-10-10T17:37:00.001-07:00

Week 1: 3-4
Week 2: 4-4
Week 3: 5-2
Week 4: 1-8
Week 5: 2-6
Week 6: 6-1

What a difference one week makes...last week i doubted my prowess at picking college football and doubted that Temple would ever win again. Both changed and in a big way. The Owls vaunted (yes i said vaunted) defense stepped up and did more then enough to take care of a weak Miami-Ohio Team.

Next up for the Owls is Central Michigan and the line was bet down from 10 to 7 in some areas. A lot of people have asked me about this game and I have thought hard about it. I just can't back Temple +7...just can't....This team's offense is way too inconsistent and CMU's is way too good. The Owls defense can hold CMU to 30 or so but I can't see the Owls getting to 20. Gimme Under 47.5 in what should be a low-scoring game. If DiMichele was playing, I'd be all over the Owls +7 or so but with Stewart forget it.

UVA continues their 2nd game of a 3 game homestand and now they host ECU. I was not a fan of the Pirates lately because of how they played. It seemed like UVA put it all together against an overrated Maryland team. They finally committed to the run...I think the good times continue in Charlottesville hopefully keeping Al Groh there. Gimme UVA +6.5

Man, i dont know why im backing Indiana again. They've burned me multiple times this year but Iowa is nothing special. They've done most of their damage at home. I feel like the Hoosiers will put it all together and win outright. Indiana +6

Rutgers and Cincinnati arent exactly the best offensively while the Bearcats defense has been nasty this year. I'll take Under 48 in a game that neither team will get to 30 for.

We have yet to see that big explosion from Kansas yet against an opponent with a pulse. Colorado may be that first test for them and i feel like their going to pass with flying colors. Because of this I like Over 54 in this game.

Tennessee has had a lot of issues this season but not on the defensive end. Their QB position has been hideous this year and hasnt been able to help Foster or Hardesty find running room. With that defense of theirs they could hold down Georgia. Under 42 here.

Here's my favorite pick of the week...Southern Mississippi has been an enigma this season losing at home to Marshall and UTEP but not embarrassing themselves against Auburn. Yet for some reason, im backing them at home against Boise. They've won at Oregon and held down Bowling Green. Give me USM +12.

Week 6 College Football Picks

2008-10-03T08:44:00.001-07:00

Week 1: 3-4
Week 2: 4-4
Week 3: 5-2
Week 4: 1-8
Week 5: 2-6

Right now, im straight fade material on everything except my feel for the Temple Owls. I dont know what's been going wrong or what gambling god i've pissed off...Unfortunately the two bad weeks won't stop me from rolling along.

We start with the Owls who lost another tough game last week and could have been another win. Imagine if the Owls are 4-1 which they rightfully should be....man, i'd be in heaven. Alas, they are 1-4 but there may be a light at the end of the tunnel. Chester Stewart has been hurt....Vaughn Charlton in at QB for two weeks until the Ohio game when DiMichele is back. Miami-Ohio sucks...terrible terrible team...If DiMichele is at QB, Temple wins outright....with Charlton at QB, they keep it close. Unfortunately the inconsistency on offense prevents me from taking the 7. Gimme Under 41 in a 17-7 Temple loss.

Western Kentucky and Virginia Tech....a rivalry as old as a newborn child. The hokies are riding high off their big win over Nebraska but to be honest, i have no idea how they do it. Their passing attack is consistently one of the worst in the country. They return home to take on a Hilltopper team that hasnt really been that embarrassing this season taking their schedule into account. Gimme WKU +29 in a sleeper kind of game.

FSU and Miami renew acquaintances on Saturday and boy there will be a lot of talent on the field. The canes played one half of great football last week following it up with absolute ugliness as they led UNC win on their turf...BUT THE SWAGGER IS BACK....sorry had to get that out since the announcers had to pound that in my head. FSU has a solid defense. Gimme Under 43

Love the home dog...absolutely love them...especially in the SEC. I have yet to be impressed by Auburn....the spread offense doesnt work with them...they dont have the athletes. Vanderbilt does have the athletes. In what is expected to be a low scoring game, I'll take the home team with the guys who can make plays. Vanderbilt +4

I must be absolutely crazy....those who read my picks know i'm not the biggest UVA supporter...you could say im Colin Cowherd when it comes to the Hoos. They return home to host Maryland who i have no idea about....I correctly called the MTSU upset but thought they'd get pounded by Cal. This is a huge rivalry in the ACC. I can't believe im about to type this but.....Gimme UVA +14. This will be their best performance of the season.

Time to kick a dog while it's down....Washington stinks with Jake Locker....it's FIU-like without him. Arizona's offense revs up to the tune of 60 points on Washington. Gimme Cats -21

I hate Ohio State too....Hate wisconsin too....Being a bitter Michigan fan, Ohio State is gonna cream the Badgers. Wisky doesnt have the athletes to keep up with the Buckeyes. OSU -1.5

Fade me if you like

Week 5 College Football Picks

2008-09-26T09:51:00.001-07:00

Week 1: 3-4
Week 2: 4-4
Week 3: 5-2
Week 4: 1-8 (yikes)

Wow...my hatred for Stanford has never been higher. Usually i've hated on them for their doofus twin centers like the Lopez's and the Collins' but now it's because of their football team and their score running up. That's one of the worst losses in my gambling career. My apologies for the bad week but i promise it won't happen again:

As always we start with Temple and boy we just can't catch a break. Starter Adam DiMichele is out for 3-6 weeks so we now turn to the freshman arm of Chester Stewart. Kid is a mobile QB and didnt completely suck ass when he was thrown to the wolves in happy valley. In comes Western Michigan with their big time offense. This line is at 4 in most places with the o/u of 47. Weather may be an issue in this game once again. I have such a good feeling about the Owls winning this game outright but my official pick in this game is the under. The Owls offense has never been a juggernaut but their defense will keep them in this. Take Under 47

I can't believe i'm going to make this next pick after the Hoosiers performance last week but it's almost time for the yearly Spartan downfall. Granted they can run the ball well but Hoyer has yet to show a pulse generating an air attack. The Hoosiers have to be embarrassed at how they played against Ball State. I'm a huge fan of home teams with a pulse getting points at home. Take IU +8

West Virginia and Marshall renew rivalries on the football field and guess what Marshall is pretty good. Their offense has been rolling as of late while WVU's Defense has been stumbling big time. Love the over 51.5

Colorado and Florida State play in Jacksonville. This will be a tight low scoring game. Colorado nearly lost to EWU but beat West Virginia. Florida State managed 3 points at home against Wake Forest. I like the Under 41

Buffalo will most likely be without James Starks and CMU hasn't really had that breakout game yet this year. The Bulls are a solid team who kept up with Missouri for a half but in conference play it's different. MU was bored with Buffalo....CMU will get bored too on their way to a 17 point win. CMU -6.5

The wrong team is favored in a game this weekend and i love it. How the heck is New Mexico favored at NMSU. The Aggies have the better offense in this game and if it gets to be any sort of a shootout, i'll take the team who can win thru the air as opposed to a team that will rely on the run. Ferguson may go for 2 bills but NMSU gets the win. NMSU +3.5 and Over 53

My hatred for those stinkin Trees in California may blind me here but I hope Washington grinds those a-holes into the ground. Gimme the Fighting Lockers to get on the Win column. U-Dub -3.5

That's all for now folks.

Week 4 College Football Picks

2008-09-19T09:16:00.001-07:00

Week 1: 3-4
Week 2: 4-4
Week 3: 5-2

Great week from everyone except my beloved Owls. The pain of seeing that hail mary over and over is still setting in. For some reason four guys decided to be BEHIND the guy catching the ball instead of in front or trying to knock the ball down. So close to 3-0 this season...man, you wouldnt believe how stoked i'd be with that.

We begin with Temple and Penn State. In the past, this has been a blowout of epic proportions and a 1st half bet would be almost a gimmie as PSU would be up 21-0 before you know it. This Temple team has a pulse and a 1st half bet isn't as easy as usual. The spread is rising and is 29 in some places. While I can't pull the trigger on the Owls, i just can't do it for Penn State either. Al Golden has the respect of JoePa. I don't love any side in this game but the Under would be the best play if i had any....Officially, no play in this game for me.

Georgia Tech/Miss State is where i'm goin next. These two teams don't exactly light up the scoreboard but have the defenses that prevent the other team from doin the same. There will be a ton of running if not because Carroll and Nesbitt are bad. The o/u is 38 and that seems like a good number to me. Under 38

One of the best plays on the board is in Raleigh where NC State gets their crack at East Carolina. The Pirates were wholly unimpressive last week and will be in an ugly affair with the Pack. Hopefully Russell Wilson bounces back. I like the Under 44.5 in this game as i don't think ECU scores 30 or NC State gets to 14.

The BEST play on the board is the Naval Academy. This team has been fed to the wolves going into two relatively hostile environments...okay okay....Duke and Ball State are two up-and-comers in the country. Rutgers has sucked...plain and simple and even worse it's been at home. The road game may be therapy for them but they havent gotten on track. Teel and Underwood havent been on the same page yet. There will be a TON of points in this game. If there was a parlay on the board, go Navy +6 definitely and then if you are daring add over 61.5

UNC/Va Tech is an interesting game. The spread has gone up a little to 3 points essentially making this an even game with the homefield getting three. The Heels are flying high off a win over Rutgers while the Hokies have beaten Ga Tech. I still dont think they've fixed everything so i like the Heels -3 in a program building game for Butch Davis.

New Mexico and Tulsa are two teams who can put up a ton of points. Granted, they do it in different ways with the Lobos using Ferguson while the Hurricane do it thru the air. New Mexico broke out last week in a big way and i feel like it continues this week. I like this play the least but a small play on New Mexico +11

This is a quick hitter here.....Miami Ohio doesnt impress me....Cincinnati is a solid home team and has the defense to keep this unimpressive Redhawk attack in check....Gimme the Bearcats -11.

I hate making this many plays in a week but the board is too juicy....Love Under 38 in LSU/Auburn....If the Tigers could only put up 2 on Miss State then what will they do against the Tigers. Psst...Tommy, the spread offense needs talent...you don't have the pieces to run it.

Final Pick, San Jose State +9....Dick Tomey has done a great job and Kyle Reed finally gets his crack at Stanford...granted it's not with California.

Week 3 College Football Picks

2008-09-12T09:36:00.000-07:00

Week 1: 3-4
Week 2: 4-4

A few more close overs that just fell short. Stinkin Arizona missed a FG for my over...Stinkin Ball State falling short.

As we always do, it's time to start with Temple. The Owls were robbed again of a poor spot by the officials in their game with the UConn Huskies. Temple won that game....it's a win....Now they must head to Buffalo in a must win situation. The Bulls crushed them last year and made them look foolish. UB will be up for this game. If the Owls hope to win, they'll need to open up the playbook more. The Defense will have to stop James Starks too. I actually have no lean on this game. There are two scenarios i can see....One Buffalo controls the clock and wins in a workmanlike effort in the roundabouts of 27-17. Two, i can see a shootout where the Owls actually use their weapons and keep up within one possession. Due to the 6 point spread...there's no pick from this game. If you can buy points...i'd get this thing above 7 and take Temple.

The funny thing about taking the over...you arent winning most of the game. There are a couple of games that scream over in the Noon hour. Both the Duke/Navy and Toledo/EMU games have the potential for a lot of points. The Blue Devils will gash Navy thru the air while Navy will Shun White the Blue Devils to death. Toledo and EMU do their dirty work thru the air. I'll take a flier on the over on both at 58.

BYU/UCLA is where im heading next...It's a big game for the Cougs as many think they will be BCS busters. This line has gone down probably due to many thinking the Bruins are better then they really are. I managed to get the line to 7 and i'll take BYU. This is their chance one again to prove themselves in front of a huge Versus audience. BYU -7 big

Home teams in the SEC even with lesser talent are still a good play. If this game was at Auburn, they'd crush em. I havent been impressed with the Tigers who are still feeling their way thru the spread offense. Getting 10.5 points at home in front of a jazzed crowd is always a good bet in my book. Sure they lost at La Tech but by the same situation Miss State will be up for this game. They probably don't win outright but they'll keep it close. Vegas thinks so too as the ou is only 39. Miss State +10.5

Nebraska may put up 50 themselves....so when i see an over/under of 59 in a game like that against an offense with a semi-pulse, i'll jump all over the over. Gimme Over 59 in Nebraska.

One parlay this week....gimme Fresno +1 and the under 49.5...This is going to be played tight to the vest in a Big 10 style of game. Lots of grind out ball with Matthews and Hill running. Neither team's passing attack is all that stellar. I see Fresno pullin out a 23-20 game.

Week 2 College Football Picks

2008-09-05T10:58:00.001-07:00

Week 1: 3-4

Well last week was frustrating having a couple of losses come pretty close to the end. We bounce back as the 1st week is always a learning experience.

As always we start with Temple and I may be blinded by my allegiance but this game has been the one this team and fanbase has pointed to since last year. Lawn placards and signs have been made dubbing this the battle number 2. Temple is a 7 point dog in a game where weather is a factor. Last year's game was a Temple victory snatched from them by Mike Tranghese. Temple wins this game outright this weekend thus the seven points are a gift. Temple +7

Next, being in Virginia i feel like this is a definite game of interest. Richmond, who is one of the best teams in I-AA goes to a crappy ass UVA in a deluge expected. six inches of rain are being called for.The Spiders are led by former UVA d-coordinator Mike London and have the talent to keep up. Ras-I Dowling and Mikell Simpson are questionable. Give me Richmond +14

Friday night is a great opportunity for money as last night was. Love the over in a game which could feature ridiculous college fantasy numbers. Something like 45-35 in a game with these two offenses is possible....Over 60 in Ball State/Navy

Central Michigan +24 -- The Chippewas have a pulse...granted they don't have the defense to keep up with Georgia but I think if they get 17 points, it's enough to cover in this game. LeFevour is a solid enough quarterback and their offense is good enough to get points when UGA takes their foot off the pedal.

Duke +7 -- Yeah, yeah i know....this is a popular pick im sure. There's a mystique to this team that hasnt been there for awhile. The fans came out to the opener and the team didnt make the mistakes that bad teams usually make. Northwestern looked good against Syracuse but Duke is better. I'd even parlay the +7 with the over too. Points will be put up.

MTSU +14 -- Last year, UVA went to Murfreesboro and nearly came away with a loss. Their team was better that year then the UMD entering MTSU this year. Maryland has QB issues and general issues with moving the ball outside of Da'Rel Scott.

Arizona/Toledo Over 59 -- That Wildcat defense will get a stiffer test this week. Toledo's got the weapons to keep up with Zona. Someone reaches 40 and the other team will reach 20. This will be an easy over.

Have fun, good luck and Go Owls.

Week One College Football Review

2008-08-31T10:10:00.000-07:00

Alright, the picks didnt go as well as hoped but it's still the first week of the season. There's so much to learn and so much to soak in from the first week:

- How fast will that redshirt come off Tyrod? Let's be honest here, Sean Glennon has a lot to work on and I still maintain that the Hokies are indirectly telling their fans to write off this season especially if they dont un-redshirt Tyrod. Those of you who took under 9 wins for the Hokies this year are in great shape. Glennon showed flashes of brilliance but so has Rob Johnson and Ty Detmer. That's all Glennon will ever be. The defense looked good in the game but they need help from the Offense.
- UVA....what can be said...I mean standing o for playing USC but it should have been a rude reminder how far off this team is. Lalich started the game surprising literally no one but that didnt help. The Trojans showed the country how deep their team is once again while UVA showed the world that it's not quite ready for relevance.
- Richmond...Get ready Spider fans for a special season once again. The offense has reloaded and the defense is as stout as ever. Get your taunts ready for Hoo fans because there is a great shot you guys win next week. Eric Ward had a near flawless game and the defense held down a solid Elon offense.
- Clemson/ACC.....Nice work on Saturday. I guess the choke comes early this year. I mean it wasn't even funny how outclassed the Tigers were on Saturday night. Wake Forest has this conference wrapped up. Congrats to Duke too for their victory...in this weakened conference the Blue Devils may be a factor. UNC struggled with McNeese State too....Should be wild.
- Pittsburgh/Syracuse....Can Coaches Wannstedt and Robinson please pick up the courtesy phone? Your paychecks are waiting.
- Michigan....Not that most of us didnt expect it to be a long year for the Big Blue, but that loss hurt. The Big House is one of the most overrated stadiums in sports. When's the last time a less talented Ohio State and LSU lost at home to a team they should beat? I put part of that blame on the fans. They play a part in the game too....
- Temple.....You folks still have your shot to jump on the bandwagon for our big game next week against UConn....once the Owls move to 2-0....you've lost your shot at premiere membership, if you jump on after that you only get bronze membership which means you must say to me every day that i was right all along.

That's all for now.

Week One College Football Picks....

2008-08-27T20:45:00.000-07:00

Last year we hit 65% of our games and this year we're going to surge higher like the Owls as well....Those of you who followed my picks last year know that i always start with the Temple game...

Temple -7 @ Army: The unbridled enthusiasm of the Owls fanbase is amazing for this year. Al Golden pointed to this as the beginning of our time to shine and I truly think it could happen. The problem is that the rise will have to occur on the road. Clearly, Temple is a better team then Army but will they revert to the Owls of old who lose to worse teams on the road. I have the utmost faith that Temple will win this game but I will NEVER feel easy laying points with them on the road. Plus, they almost never kill anyone....Give me Army +7 but take the Owls ML. With regards to the total, i'm hesitant to play either side but gun to my head i like the under.

Elsewhere:

South Carolina/NC State Under 45: It's the perfect matchup to exploit the under....The Wolfpack is solid enough on D to keep it close while the Gamecock D is good enough to keep the young Wolfpack offense down. Russell Wilson is going to be a star in the ACC but he's not ready to win on the road especially in an SEC atmosphere. Get to know Alan Michael Cash as he's going to wreck havoc on South Carolina in a 23-14 type game.

Va Tech/ECU Under 47.5: Another game that screams for an under. The Hokie offense will need time to gel with all of the new RB's and WR's. ECU's defense is just good enough to slow them down while the Hokie defense despite not having the big names of last year's team, will do just enough to not let the Pirates run away. Neither of these teams have big play potential which kills the under. Also love ECU +9.5. While i'm on the side of the Hokies in the UVA/Tech rumble down here in Richmond, I think that the Pirates will keep this game close. Pinkney last year kept ECU in the game in Blacksburg and that's with all the "Names" on defense.

UVA +20: Man, i hate games like this. USC has more talent then the hoos....heck their 2nd team may have more too. The Trojans do their business in games like this in workman-like manner. UVA's linebacker corps is very underrated in the scope of college football. I can see a 31-13 game.

La Tech +8: A rare chance for this WAC team to host an SEC team. I'm a big fan of the homedog early on especially before their fanbase realizes whether or not their team will suck. Patrick Jackson is gonna do some damage in this game.

La Monroe +26: Look I must be nuts and last year in this situation when i've taken the Sun Belt at the SEC, it was nailbiter city. I feel like the new clock rules benefit a team like ULM and Auburn. The Tigers will want to get this game moving and once they get a lead they can milk the clock. ULM has the veterans at skill positions to put up some points.

More will be added later or taken off but these are my early picks....

Virginia Tech

2008-08-18T17:16:00.001-07:00

With today's news about Zach Luckett, it's hard to see how Hokies fans are as optimistic as they are. A quick check of the sportsbook has people pounding the over 9 win total that they set for Virginia Tech and at an alarming rate. Those maroon glasses must be strong because i've never seen a time that has as much positivity yet so many holes. Who is going to run the ball? Who is going to catch it? Who is going to throw it?

Listen, we all know that they SHOULD win all of their home games but that's 6 with a neutral site ECU and a couple of tough roadies. Even with the most optimistic prediction of 6 wins at home, they'd still have to win 3 more to even push the 9. I'd love to see this team put it all together and shut me up but I have some strong issues with what this team is trying to do.

UVA? They have a ton of issues too but it seems Hoo fans have a level head and expect a rough time. It's not like they think USC's a win and some realize Richmond's gonna be tough too. The first Virginia team to figure out who their QB, RB problem will be the first one to race towards a mediocre bowl this season. Sadly i feel i won't even get to gorge on chick-fil-a :(

Your College Football Fix....

2008-08-02T12:17:00.000-07:00

With the college football season almost upon us, it is time to reveal my favorite college football win totals. When looking these over...you always want to find value...don't take a side with the heavy lean....you've always gotta find value when doing these. Also, you have to do best and worst case scenarios. With that....

Kentucky Under 6.5: No Andre Woodson and no surprise value anymore with this team...they go back to SEC doormat/possible upset once in awhile.
Definite Wins: Norfolk State, MTSU, WKU
Swing Games: South Carolina, Arkansas, Georgia, Vandy
Definite Losses: @ Louisville, @ Florida, @ Tennessee, @ Alabama

Wisconsin Under 8.5
Illinois Under 8

Both of the above are on the borderline at -130/-140. Almost not worth it.

Indiana Over 5: This team's got a favorable schedule and can pull off the home upset if the road team isn't careful.

Definite Wins: WKU, Murray State, Ball State, Iowa
Swing Games: MSU, NW, CMU, Wisky, @ Minnesota
Definite Losses: @ Illy, @ PSU, @ Purdue.

Texas Tech Under 9: This year's fad team to make a splash in the league always fades in the clutch. For as good as their offense is, their defense is that bad. Harrell and Crabtree are studs tho.

Definites: EWU, SMU, UMass, Baylor, Ok State, Nebraska
Swing Games: @ Nevada, @ KSU, @ A&M, Texas,
Definite loss: @ Kansas, @ Oklahoma

Clemson Under 9.5 (+110): Another team whose hype exceeds their production usually. The talent is there but the OL needs work and so does the consistency.

Definite W: Citadel, NC State, SC State, Maryland, Ga Tech, Duke, South Carolina
Swing Games: @ Wake, vs. Bama, @ BC, @ UVA,
Definite L: @ FSU

Duke Over 3 (+130): Watch out for the Blue Devils....Trips to Wallace Wade arent layups anymore. Can't give them any definite wins but watch out.

Definite W:
Swing Games: JMU, Northwestern, Navy, UVA, Miami, NC State, UNC
Definite L: @ Ga Tech, @ Vandy, @ Wake, @ Clemson, @ Hokies

LAST ONE:

Florida Under 10 (+110): Taking a massive chance here....Most have the Gators in the title hunt but there are plenty of pitfalls for this team if they arent careful. Take a chance with some excess dough on the Under

Definite W: Hawaii, Miami, Ole Miss, Kentucky, @ Vandy, South Carolina, Citadel
Swing Games: @ Tennessee, @ Ark, LSU, Georgia, @ FSU
Definite L:

Heisman Trophy Props: Tim Tebow is of course your leader here and while there is some value with him...why not go a little off the board and find some real value on the rest who may be in NY for the ceremony. If everyone loves TTech so much why not Harrell (10-1) or Crabtree (10-1)? They may split the votes but the numbers either will put up could break records. Another pair of QB's with value are Chase Daniel (5-1) and Pat White (12-1) both of whom can run or pass their way to records and wins for their team.

Join The Revolution Part II

2008-07-28T09:30:00.000-07:00

Last post, I told the members of Virginia why they should root for the Temple Owls this coming season....That got me thinking why couldn't every other team in the nation outside of those in the MAC root for the Owls as well. I will now provide for you reasons why you should be on Al Golden's bandwagon.

First off, there are a lot of you teams out there who may be looking to pillage the Owls for their Einstein-like coaching staff led by the great one Al Golden. That's right, i'm looking in your direction Syracuse, Minnesota, UAB, Iowa State, Baylor. So basically, if your team has a coach opening after another season of dismal failure....you too should root for the Owls because their success means you'll be gettin a good one.

Next off, I'm looking at the schools who must compete with the likes of Penn State, Pittsburgh, Rutgers and Ohio State in their conference. You guys should want the Owls to succeed as their success means they will be able to take recruits from the Nittany Lions and the Panthers. Temple's already experienced increased success in Philly taking recruits from the other schools thus hurting them in their future.

I havent forgotten about you guys on the West Coast who still arent convinced that you should be on the bandwagon. Well...the fact is...well....im struggling to think about it but i'm sure you guys would rather root for an up and comer in Temple then root for Washington or Idaho or Idaho State or some other school that will soon have less wins then the Owls.

Finally if you hate any of the other schools in the MAC, root for Temple. They represent what most of us strive for in life as a "Rocky" story of sorts. They need your support.

All of this is for your benefit because surely when they become the next thing after a few six or seven win seasons, you can tell your friends that you were on board. It won't hurt and it may even help you gain respect amongst your friends. Everyone can root for USC and Florida and brag about winning. It takes more character to root for a losing team that's up and coming.

Thanks!

Join The Revolution.....

2008-07-24T20:14:00.001-07:00

Join The Revolution baby....Temple football and Al Golden is going to be great. The hype is actually here...My dad told me there was a season ticket holder event in Philly and a lot of people actually showed up. They even handed out lawn placards for the big rematch with the Tranghese-led UConn Huskies. They know what we're capable of. UVA fans, embrace Al Golden because he was once yours....Virginia Tech fans, embrace Al Golden because he left UVA and every win Temple has is another twist of the knife...Richmond fans, embrace Al Golden just because...The rest of you schools who read this, embrace Al Golden and the Owls because of you think you could beat them.

Six wins.....for most that's a poor season....for Temple....that's a bowl season!

College Football

2008-07-17T09:19:00.001-07:00

Alright, i know people are getting the jones for College football. I know i am because that's when the true betting skills come to roost with me and a lot of my brethren. The over/under for Virginia Tech is 9....havent quite gotten a lean on this one yet but i'm thinking it's an 8 or 10 win season. It's how optimistic you are about an offense that's replacing a lot of pieces to it.

As an aside, my fantasy college football draft is soon and i got the 3rd pick. Ahead of me is an OSU fan who has said he's taking Beanie Wells and a Gator fan ahead of me who is taking Tim Tebow. Where do i go then....Pat White, Graham Harrell or Michael Crabtree?

Over/unders on the NFL are out too....havent had a chance yet to look at them but trust me there are some values out there.

My Tardiness

2008-07-11T04:30:00.000-07:00

My apologies for abandoning this blog and it's wonderful listeners. Soon enough it'll be time for my award winning college football picks and whatnot. Before then it's time to tout the official team of this blog....the Temple Owls football team. This team is gonna be good....scary good at times....they will have a winning record and may get more wins then the hoos. Those who disagree can take a look at the schedules and tell me differently. College football is coming and with that our saturdays go with it. I can't wait for the first tripleheader featuring the Spiders who will be scary good as well.

Keep truckin

NFL Mock Draft....

2008-04-23T20:48:00.000-07:00

Alright, yesterday i gave you the guys you want on your draft board and guys that you don't...Now i figure it's time to do up a mock draft and see how i can do. I've never really attempted one of these but here we go...

1) Miami Dolphins -- Jake Long, Michigan -- Hey, I got one right!
2) St. Louis Rams -- Glenn Dorsey, LSU -- This pick will be a point of interest. I can see a trade here for some team desperate to get Matt Ryan or Darren McFadden. With Ryan though, a lot of boards have him falling therefore, in the end the Rams make a pick and help a woeful defensive line that needed a lot of help.
3) Atlanta Falcons -- Chris Long, UVA -- Listen, the smart pick for them is to take Matt Ryan but this team was a wreck defensively last year. Is Ryan really that much better then Brian Brohm? Not in my book and Brohm is a late 1st rounder...early 2nd rounder.
4) Oakland Raiders -- Darren McFadden, Arkansas -- Honestly, i think we see a record for fastest draft selection of all time. McFadden fits this team to a tee and would be an outstanding addition for an offense that needs a little pep...heck, i'm bettin we see him in the Razorback formation for the Raiders too.
5) Kansas City Chiefs -- Vernon Gholston, Ohio State -- Get rid of Jared Allen, replace him with the next best thing and pick up another 1st round pick? Sounds too good....this team has a lot of holes and a QB is always an option but how can you pass up on Gholston.
6) New York Jets -- Sedrick Ellis, USC -- This pick will not be made by the Jets. They wanted Long or McFadden and neither are here. Ellis may help them especially if they deal Robertson but I think somebody (Dallas, New Orleans, Miami, Philly) moves up to this spot.
7) New England Patriots -- Mike Jenkins, USF -- The Pats need to reduce the average age of their defense and this is going to do it. They need to improve at the corner position and it's been said that Beli-cheat loves this kid. I can see him or Talib going here.
8) Baltimore Ravens -- Matt Ryan, BC -- If the Ravens don't pick him here, he continues to free-fall Aaron Rodgers style. The Ravens clearly need a quarterback and Ryan is the most polished of the group.
9) Cincinnati Bengals -- Keith Rivers, USC -- This team needs to draft a jail warden but Rivers steps right in at a position of weakness for the Cats. Last year injuries ravaged them here but if you put Ahmad Brooks and Rivers together you got a nice deal.
10) New Orleans Saints -- Leodis McKelvin, Troy -- This team is dying for corners. Mike McKenzie's good but not enough. Troy's defense was as solid as they came in college and this guy was the reason why. McKelvin's size is a bit of a concern but he's proven himself.
11) Buffalo Bills -- Dominique Rodgers Cromartie, Tennessee State -- Another team that is need of help in the secondary. Wide receiver is a bigger need here but there's none that fit the bill.
12) Denver Broncos -- Branden Albert, UVA -- Time for the high riser to get selected. I'm sure the team would love to add another running back to it's stable but i'm sure there will be plenty around later on. Albert will fit in well in Denver which breeds solid offensive linemen like it breeds good beer.
13) Carolina Panthers -- Derrick Harvey, Florida -- Mike Rucker's retirement makes Harvey a good pick for them. The team needs OL help and could take Otah here or go wideout to help Steve Smith.
14) Chicago Bears -- Jeff Otah, Pittsburgh -- Man this was a tough one....this team needs Otah badly to help open holes for Benson but Rashard Mendenhall might be worth a selection here too...Should be noted Mendenhall's relationship with Ron Turner who is now in Chicago.
15) Detroit Lions -- Chris Williams, Vanderbilt -- The team throws the ball so much, they need someone to protect the quarterback. A lot of these offensive lineman are bunched together but I see the Lions taking the best one available. Another team who could be interested in Mendenhall is Detroit...their RB situation is up in the air now that Jones is gone.
16) Arizona Cardinals -- Aquib Talib, Kansas -- This team always will need defense and eventually they will get enough to catch up to the offense. This pick changes if they deal for Lito Sheppard in a Boldin/Philly deal which is being vehemently denied by the Cards.
17) Kansas City Chiefs -- Ryan Clady, Boise State -- The chiefs rebuilding project continues as they help the other side of the ball after taking Gholston earlier in the round. The team needs some youth on their line and this kid is as strong as an ox.
18) Houston Texans -- Kenny Phillips, Miami -- If any of the big 4 CB's are available, look for Houston to go defense....their not in this mock draft so they go for the next best thing...the #1 safety on most mock boards.
19) Philadelphia Eagles -- Felix Jones, Arkansas -- I'm callin my shot here....admitting this is a total pick with my heart but this team always looks years ahead. Obviously one of the big OL's would be what they take but their not there...if not an OL then Phillips but he's gone too. The team may prepare for the future without Westbrook with his replacement who can do almost as much.
20) Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- DeSean Jackson, California -- Wide receiver is a need here and while they already have a mighty mite in the shorter Galloway, Jackson's speed and ability is too much to pass on here. If Hardy was a little faster maybe he gets selected here and if Malcolm Kelly wasn't a little punk always complaining, he'd get picked too.
21) Washington Redskins -- Phillip Merling, Clemson -- Defensive line is a huge need. The age on the ends is concerning especially with the lack of them being able to stay healthy for too long. Merling fills a need and could be able to make an impact early.
22) Dallas Cowboys -- Rashard Mendenhall, Illinois -- Great change of pace back to pare off with Marion Barber. Rumors have it that the team has already made a jersey for Felix Jones but their divisional rival beat them to the punch. Mendenhall would look nice with a star on his helmet.
23) Pittsburgh Steelers -- Gosider Cherilus, BC -- The team gave up 47 sacks and has an older front line. The run on offensive linemen early hurt the Steelers but the BC product protected Matt Ryan well. The best protection for Big Ben is a helmet but that could be drafted in rounds 6 or 7.
24) Tennessee Titans -- Limas Sweed, Texas -- Pare off the texas wideout with the texas QB and the team fills a nice need. Titans need help on the offense because VY can't do it all himself.
25) Seattle Seahawks -- Jonathan Stewart, Oregon -- Local product makes it big with pro team in his area. The running back situation is messed up as it is so why not add another guy to it with a little youth and a little speed.
26) Jacksonville Jaguars -- Calais Campbell, Miami -- Hard to believe a team with a defense this good needs another guy but D-Line has been an issue for the Jags. They get pressure up the middle with their DT's but Campbell is a freak at 6-6 and could help out.
27) San Diego Chargers -- DaJuan Morgan, NC State -- Neither safety they have is that talented. Morgan has played well in the ACC and could be a nice little pick to help the defense. Obviously, any of the top RB's available go here to replace Turner but none are there.
28) Dallas Cowboys -- Reggie Smith, Oklahoma -- Well all of the corners they'd target are gone so why not go with a player familiar with Texas and playing there for rivalry games. Dallas could go WR here but none are left that are worth the first round selection. Again, Manningham could have gone here if he wasnt such a knucklehead.
29) San Francisco 49ers -- Pat Sims, Auburn -- The team needs a solid DT to help with the 3-4 and why not take one of the top ranked DT's left on the board. The team could go Quentin Groves as well but i think you go with the position with less depth.
30) Miami Dolphins -- Brian Brohm, Louisville -- Green Bay trades out of this pick to the best offer from Miami so the fins can take their QB. Baltimore and Atlanta are also options here to move up for Brohm. If the Packers stay here, i can see them taking Martellus Bennett from A&M to help in the mold of longtime TE Bubba Franks.
31) New York Giants -- Quentin Groves, Auburn -- A move like this helps move Kiwanuka to his original position of DE.

Teams who will be active: Philly (Lito and an itchy trigger finger after a bad season), Washington (Very itchy trigger finger...way too many picks for them), Dallas (Two 1st's always bring intrigue), Miami (Parcells is a great poker player with a lot of needs and players to deal including Jason Taylor)

NFL Draft Notes....

2008-04-22T20:15:00.000-07:00

Alright, i'd like to call myself a connoisseur of the NFL Draft and my lack of a solid social life has given me time to study the list of players....I will give you five players your team should be happy to draft...and five guys you won't want on your team...My credibility in this background, which i'm sure no one will believe but I told my college buddies that Vincent Jackson was going to be a stud WR from simply watching his workout video on comcast....Anyways

Five Guys you want on your draft board:
1) Paul Smith, QB, Tulsa -- Now the size is definitely scary because he's a shrimp but the versatility is awesome. Last year he had better numbers then Tebow rushing and passing but got none of the credit. Ran a 4.75 40 but is only 6-1. Obviously, he's nowhere near the impact player of a Flacco or a Matt Ryan but I think he'll have a solid NFL Career.
2) Kevin Smith, RB, UCF -- Smith was one of the best RB's in the country last year and had games of 5 and 6 td's and 250 yards rushing. Kid is built like a bowling ball at 6-1, 211...4.55 40 yard dash...reminds some of a healthy Rudi Johnson...all i know is the kid has pedigree and can be had later on in the draft.
3) Matt Forte, RB, Tulane -- Sticking with the RB's...this kid is another one who is hard to tackle. He faced 10 in the box a lot last season but still managed to bust out when his team needed him. Forte also has durability getting a lot of carries last year as well. He's a nice third down back option and even a touchdown vulture as well.
4) Mario Urrutia, WR, Louisville -- First off, the kid's size stands out....reminds me a lot of Jackson...6'6 is hard to teach and great hands...just ask Brohm how good this kid can be. His speed could be a little better but 4.55 isn't too shabby. For a team like the Eagles or Skins, a tall drink of water like this would be an awesome change.
4a) Dexter Jackson, WR, Appy State -- Bonus player to the list as we head to the other end of the spectrum size-wise. This kid is a lightning bug and was a workout wonder. Appy State has a few fans in Michigan who can tell you how good this kid is. He's got Hester-like speed and can be a gamechanger.
5) Tommy Blake, DE, TCU -- If you watched E: 60, you saw Blake's story. Blake has an immense amount of talent but has dealt with bouts of depression which took him away from his team in his senior year when he could have been a 1st round pick. Yes, Ricky Williams was a headcase and a regretable pick for the Saints and you don't want to deal with problems like that but still...a 5th or a 6th round pick on this kid could be the best one you make. He played linebacker in a 3-4 and could be a DE in a 4-3.

Three guys you don't want:
1) Chad Henne, QB, Michigan -- Trust me...as a Michigan fan who suffered thru him for 4 years...this kid folds like a cheap tent in the clutch. Kind of a weak arm as well....you could do better then a kid like this. He has Kerry Collins written all over him.
2) Steve Slaton, RB, West Virginia -- Wow, this kid has taken a tumble and probably should have stayed in school. He was a surefire 1st rounder at one point in his career and may not be a 1st day pick now. He's nothing special...for all the hype surrounding the mountaineers, he didnt live up to it in workouts.
3) Chris Ellis, DE, Virginia Tech -- There is no denying his talent and his speed but what position is he? I certainly don't think he's a DE...maybe a LB but I really don't like his attitude. Kid has a very big opinion of himself. Ellis had the potential to be so much more then he was but his mouth got in the way. Hopefully, he could be a good early addition to someone's special teams.

Other Tidbits:

I'm calling it now....Felix Jones will be a better RB then McFadden...There were times that Jones outshined McFadden in games. Jones has the speed to change games and can be used as a change of pace back. The one negative about Felix is the durability considering there were games he only got 8 carries.
Colt Brennan...Man what a drop he has had. I still maintain he will start an NFL game in his career. You can't deny his accuracy...you can't deny the numbers he put up in college. Sure, you can point to Timmy Chang but then i point to Ty Detmer...granted Detmer's career wasn't anything special BUT he's still around and has had a long career.
Tim Hightower and Arman Shields both have been getting a lot of interest thru pre-draft. Both of them should get drafted and I expect both to make impacts on their team. Shields has the makeup of a successful special teams player while Hightower could be someone who gets a few carries.
I think one of the better local players will be Duane Brown. He did so much for the Hokies last year and has so many skill sets playing TE at one point and being instrumental at times for them on special teams. Whoever drafts Brown will be getting a kid who will make an impact early in his college career.

That's all for now....I may attempt a mock draft and post it here...

It's Been Awhile....

2008-04-08T17:30:00.000-07:00

As pointed out by loyal fan Derby Bill, it's been awhile since i've updated this. Since then, VCU's season ended and the college basketball world was turned upside down by Billy Packer's proclamation that the game is over. Well the season's over and now the focus turns to baseball. I'm a Marlins fan and a Twins fan too. Love the "mid-major" baseball. These two payrolls together don't even equal the Phillies payroll who is in the 100 million range i'm sure. But something about them is sexy...I know their not the best teams but rooting for the underdog is better then rooting for Microsoft.

My focus also goes to the Stanley Cup playoffs where my Flyers get the Caps....I really think this is the best matchup for them and they should win in 6. Those of you who laugh at hockey need to turn on Vs. this week (channel 2 for those of you on Comcast) and watch the majestry of the NHL. Especially tune in when it looks like sudden death OT happens. That's so great that even if you don't have a rooting interest, your nervous for those teams out there.

Also, after a brief respite, the Sixers will be back in the playoffs and they are the picture of mid-major basketball. No real stars but hustle their asses off. I love this team almost as much as I did when they had AI. Seriously though, the NBA playoffs suck....7 game series' all of the rounds? No thanks...I don't need to watch the same old crap every game of the series...gimme hockey's playoffs.

Critical Day

2008-03-12T20:36:00.000-07:00

Tomorrow is a critical day for VCU fans...There's a lot of teams who can get their NIT tickets punched. Villanova, Dayton, UMass, Arizona State and Oregon are all underdogs in their games and could be sent back to the bubble/NIT with a loss. I'm not even that convinced West Virginia is definitely in either. To me, their resume is thoroughly unimpressive. I really think that this will be the season the mid-major fights back.

Chances VCU gets in: 40% (There are way too many sites that have them last four out for them to not be hanging around.)

This is College Basketball

2008-03-04T11:24:00.000-08:00

Before any of you kick the bucket...you must go to the Palestra.

Field of 65 Update....

2008-03-02T20:42:00.000-08:00

Well i'm 1 for 1....granted most of you would have gotten this one too because Cornell had an overwhelming lead but I'm tied for 1st.

Conference tournaments begin this week and while most of you won't be watching the MEAC or Atlantic Sun, i'll be excited to see how those play out. The more results that come in, the more that VCU's resume looks good if they need to go the at-large route. Maryland, Syracuse, Houston, Southern Illinois all with bad losses over the weekend. Still need to have conferences like the MAC and West Coast hold serve though.

Maryland moves to the last 4 out....shame is that since they are in the almighty ACC, their chances only took a modest hit. Granted they are out right now.

My Field of 65

2008-02-28T19:26:00.001-08:00

Alright folks it is done....The committee has a tough job this year. A few notes before i reveal my results

Last Four In: Maryland, Va Tech, Illinois State, Houston
Last Four Out: Kansas State, UMass, UAB, Ohio State

I didnt have Maryland in until they won tonight...Their schedule is modestly favorable and i'm thinking the committee gives the ACC the benefit of the doubt. The Hokies really would benefit themselves if they won at Clemson. The Terps took the place of Kansas State whose record isn't as good and will probably continue to fall off.

I really struggled putting in the last 10 teams and there is no reason VCU couldnt get an at-large if they lose in the CAA title game somehow. Their resume matches up with a lot of the other teams that i had when i got down to the 14 at-larges. The Rams have the quality wins and the good RPI. Plus all of the talk about helping Nova because of their BS call against G-Town...the ODU non-call should be a factor as well.

Alright to the field of 65
America East: UMBC
A-10 (2) : St. Joe's (tourney champ), Xavier
ACC (6): UNC (tourney champ), Duke, Maryland, Miami, Clemson, Va Tech
A-Sun: E. Tennessee State
Big 10 (4): Indiana (tourney champ), Wisky, MSU, Purdue
Big 12 (5): Kansas (tourney champ), Texas, Baylor, Texas A&M, Oklahoma
Big East (8): Louisville (tourney champ), Notre Dame, G-Town, UConn, Marquette, Syracuse, Pittsburgh, WVU
Big Sky: Portland State
Big South: Winthrop
Big West: Fullerton
CAA: VCU (duh)
C-USA (2): Memphis (tourney champ), Houston
Horizon: Butler
Ivy: Cornell
MAAC: Niagara
MAC: Kent State
MEAC: Hampton
MVC (3): Southern Illinois (tourney champ), Drake, Illy State (NOTE: 3 is a stretch but i'm covering my bases...most likely a 2 bid league but this scenario might bring 3)
Mountain West (2): UNLV (tourney champ), BYU
NEC: Wagner
OVC: Austin Peay
PAC-10 (5): UCLA (tourney champ), Wazzu, USC, Arizona, Stanford
Patriot: Navy
SEC (6): Tennessee (tourney champ), Miss State, Kentucky, Vandy, Arkansas, Florida
Southern: Davidson
Southland: Stephen F. Austin
Summit: Oral Roberts
SWAC: Alabama State
Sun Belt: South Alabama
WCC (2): Gonzaga (tourney champ), St. Mary's
WAC: New Mex State

Now with regards to VCU....They need to watch the Sun Belt, Southern, West Coast and Horizon league tourneys....They need to hold form. I'd say that Davidson, Gonzaga, St. Mary's and Butler all have precedence over the Rams.

As part of this pool i did...you also have to pick an elite 8, final 4, champ and a wild card so here they are:

Elite 8: UNC, Indiana, Louisville, Memphis, UCLA, Tennessee, Georgetown and Drake
Final 4: UNC, Louisville, G-Town and UCLA
Champ: UNC
Wild Card: Gonzaga

Thoughts? Tear it apart?

Blogging from the Bracket Bunker...

2008-02-28T15:56:00.000-08:00

Alright, i'm hunkered down in my apartment with a modest amount of paperwork in order to get my field of 65 done....The reason i'm doing this is for my yearly preparation of the Pre-Tourney Pool....I've picked most of my conference champs (VCU included) and now i have 14 bids left after putting in the definite at-larges...

Continuing my work now...but 14 bids still left.

Tournament Field of 65

2008-02-26T12:33:00.001-08:00

Alright folks, on Thursday i'm going to lock myself into my own bunker and predict the 65 teams heading into the tournament. I think there are a few conferences and areas of concern for VCU and the other mid majors. The ACC for one may get more teams then they deserve....the big east is the same as well...

Also, conferences like the Horizon and West Coast need to hold serve because St. Mary's, Gonzaga and Butler will all get in no matter what.

After Thursday, i will update the bunker results daily depending on the results of the day. We'll see how easy this is....Mr. Joe Lunardi....except i'm not going to be biased towards St. Joe because they write your paycheck.

Pre Tournament Pool....

2008-02-20T10:48:00.001-08:00

Alright, i'm sending a challenge out to the listeners who read my blog. It's March Madness time and i'm doing a different kind of pool. It's a pool I have done for multiple years and have had the pleasure of winning once. It's not your ordinary kind of pool though as for this you pick the teams in the tournament and conference winners. It's a lot of fun. The pool costs $10 to do but you can do it for free....just don't expect to win any money.

Information is at http://www.dknofish.com. The pools are due at the end of the month with the money due in March. Check out the website for all of the information.

I'll even help those of you with the smaller conferences as well.

I don't get the bar scene....

2008-02-15T23:22:00.000-08:00

Alright, so let me rant for a minute:

So I went out tonight and met this chick that i was being set up with by my friends and we met at this downtown bar and let me just say i was put into a complete lose-lose situation...Before we get to that though, let me just say i don't get the many nuances of the bar scene....

First off, why the hell do bars have to be so damn small? What the hell is quaint about a place where you can feel the person next you literally in your shorts. Now granted there are the times a hot blonde is rubbin up against you but then there are those times when LeRoy the damn tattoo parlor guy is all up in your junk and hasnt showered since puberty. I don't understand why i have to be put in a place where talking to someone up close you still have people literally throw you aside to get to where they are going in there.

Next, I don't get the whole process....you go out....get drunk...spend $60 on a bunch of beers and then what? Sure it's fun and all but it's expensive and what the hell do you get out of it. I watched this girl and her friend drink shots of stuff they didnt even like and were gagging on....$8 shots they didnt like! Then you got the people who drink too much and can't handle it as i watched one girl yak all over herself in a bar stool and then fall down the stairs...WHAT FUN...WOO-HOO....Sure, it's okay though, she had fun doing it! Then you have to tip toe around the urine and puke on the streets on the way to your car.

Finally, there's the awkwardness of hitting on females or being in a group of them. For example, tonight, the woman i met was with her friend who had these two guys hitting on her. At one point, she proceeded to forcefully get the one's hands off of her. So yeah, if that escalates into something more....me being the only guy in the group would have had to do something which i don't really want to do. So yeah, that was awkward and then what do you do if they hit on the girl your grindin on?

Actually, i forgot something...the drivers who drive home drunk. Apparently a lot of people do it. Whether it be the guy whose car was towed in front of the bar because he hit a light pole or the guy who was driving down one of those narrow city streets and nearly pulled a Ricky Bobby and drove off of both sides of cars....Honestly, 60-70 percent of the people in the bar were in no shape to drive home and i bet half did.

These reasons are why i can't survive in the bar scene.