Tropical Cyclones

Service message

2009-07-10T15:43:00.002+01:00

The next update on this site will be issued on Thursday 16 July.

Please monitor updates on JTWC and NHC for current and developing tropical cyclone threats.

10 July 2009 - bulletin 337

2009-07-10T15:38:00.002+01:00

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression 04E
Warning 02 issued by NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 10.4N 112.8W
Location 885 miles SSW of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Movement W at 7 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum sustained winds 30 knots
Maximum gusts 40 knots
Next update from NHC at 2100 GMT

Tropical depression 04E is slowly intensifying and is expected to head west. This system could well become a hurricane, as environmental conditions are forecast to remain favourable for the next 5 days. 04E is heading straight into the open Pacific.

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression 05W
Philippines designation Gorio
Warning 04 issued by JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 19.4N 119.1E
Location 330 miles ESE of Hong Kong
Movement WNW at 7 knots
Threatened landmasses Southern China
Maximum sustained winds 30 knots
Maximum gusts 40 knots
Maximum significant wave height is 11 feet
Next update from JTWC at 2100 GMT

Tropical depression 05W, is currently crossing the South China Sea towards mainland China. Landfall is expected to occur on Sunday between Hong Kong and Hainan Island.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC for 1230 GMT
System 90W has dissipated

10 July 2009 - bulletin 336

2009-07-10T10:27:00.002+01:00

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression 04E
Warning 01 issued by NHC at 0900 GMT
Position 10.0N 111.5W
Location 900 miles S of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Movement W at 7 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum sustained winds 25 knots
Maximum gusts 35 knots
Next update from NHC at 1500 GMT

Tropical depression 04E formed this morning and is expected to head west whilst intensifying. This system could well become a hurricane, as environmental conditions are forecast to remain favourable for the next 5 days. 04E is heading straight into the open Pacific.

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression 05W
Philippines designation Gorio
Warning 03 issued by JTWC at 0900 GMT
Position 19.2N 119.8E
Location 370 miles ESE of Hong Kong
Movement WNW at 10 knots
Threatened landmasses Philippines, southern China
Maximum sustained winds 30 knots
Maximum gusts 40 knots
Maximum significant wave height is 11 feet
Next update from JTWC at 1500 GMT

Tropical depression 05W, which formed yesterday, has passed just to the north of Luzon and is currently crossing the South China Sea towards mainland China. Landfall is expected to occur on Sunday between Hong Kong and Hainan Island.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC for 0600 GMT
System 90W
Position 7.7N 149.1E
Location 450 miles SE of Guam
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is FAIR

9 July 2009 - bulletin 335

2009-07-09T07:56:00.001+01:00

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression Blanca / 03E
Final Warning 12 issued by NHC at 0300 GMT
Position 21.5N 121.9W
Location 775 miles W of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Movement WNW at 9 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum sustained winds 25 knots
Maximum gusts 35 knots
Next update from NHC at 0300 GMT

Blanca no longer qualifies as a tropical cyclone. Its remnant will continue to weaken and dissipate within a few days.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC for 0600 GMT
System 99W
Position 18.7N 126.3E
Location 410 miles ESE of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is FAIR

System 90W
Position 6.2N 151.5E
Location 75 miles SSW of Chuuk
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is FAIR

8 July 2009 - bulletin 334

2009-07-08T21:41:00.002+01:00

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression Blanca / 03E
Warning 11 issued by NHC at 2100 GMT
Position 21.2N 121.0W
Location 720 miles W of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Movement WNW at 9 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum sustained winds 25 knots
Maximum gusts 35 knots
Next update from NHC at 0300 GMT

Blanca has continued to weaken as oceanic and atmospheric conditions are continuing to deteriorate. The system will cease to be a tropical cyclone within a matter of hours, and its remnants will dissipate within a few days.

NHC are indicating that their 0300 GMT advisory (not normally reflected on this site) is likely to be the last on Blanca. If this proves to be the case, this will be shown in bulletin 335, expected to be published in the morning GMT.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC for 0600 GMT
System 99W
Position 17.4N 128.8E
Location 485 miles ENE of Manila, Philippines
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is FAIR

8 July 2009 - bulletin 333

2009-07-08T15:51:00.002+01:00

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression Blanca / 03E
Warning 10 issued by NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 20.8N 120.1W
Location 670 miles W of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Movement WNW at 10 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum sustained winds 30 knots
Maximum gusts 40 knots
Next update from NHC at 2100 GMT

Blanca has continued to weaken as oceanic and atmospheric conditions are continuing to deteriorate. The system will cease to be a tropical cyclone fairly shortly, and its remnants will dissipate within a few days.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC for 0600 GMT
System 99W
Position 17.4N 128.8E
Location 485 miles ENE of Manila, Philippines
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is upgraded to FAIR

8 July 2009 - bulletin 332

2009-07-08T11:03:00.002+01:00

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression Blanca / 03E
Warning 09 issued by NHC at 0900 GMT
Position 20.8N 119.0W
Location 600 miles WSW of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Movement WNW at 12 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum sustained winds 30 knots
Maximum gusts 40 knots
Next update from NHC at 1500 GMT

Blanca has continued to weaken as oceanic and atmospheric conditions are continuing to deteriorate. The system will cease to be a tropical cyclone fairly shortly, and its remnants will dissipate within a few days.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC for 0600 GMT
System 99W
Position 17.4N 128.8E
Location 485 miles ENE of Manila, Philippines
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is upgraded to FAIR

7 July 2009 - bulletin 331

2009-07-07T21:50:00.000+01:00

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Blanca / 03E
Warning 07 issued by NHC at 2100 GMT
Position 19.7N 116.5W
Location 480 miles SW of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Movement NW at 9 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum sustained winds 35 knots
Maximum gusts 45 knots
Tropical storm force winds extend for 70 miles from the centre
Next update from NHC at 2100 GMT

Blanca has continued to weaken as oceanic and atmospheric conditions are beginning to deteriorate. The rate of Blanca's decline appears to be accelerating in the forecasts.

7 July 2009 - bulletin 330

2009-07-07T15:36:00.002+01:00

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Blanca / 03E
Warning 06 issued by NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 19.0N 115.8W
Location 465 miles SW of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Movement WNW at 9 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots
Maximum gusts 50 knots
Tropical storm force winds extend for 70 miles from the centre
Next update from NHC at 21500 GMT

Blanca has now begun to weaken as oceanic and atmospheric conditions are beginning to deteriorate. The rate of Blanca's decline appears to be accellerating in the forecasts.

7 July 2009 - bulletin 329

2009-07-07T09:44:00.001+01:00

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Blanca / 03E
Warning 05 issued by NHC at 0900 GMT
Position 18.5N 114.5W
Location 425 miles SW of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Movement WNW at 8 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum sustained winds 45 knots
Maximum gusts 55 knots
Tropical storm force winds extend for 70 miles from the centre
Next update from NHC at 1500 GMT

Blanca has reached peak intensity as it continues to move into the open Pacific. The storm will encounter cooler ocean waters, leading to its weakening and eventual dissipation by Friday.

6 July 2009 - bulletin 328

2009-07-06T22:38:00.002+01:00

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Blanca / 03E
Warning 03 issued by NHC at 2100 GMT
Position 18.0N 112.9W
Location 390 miles SSW of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Movement NW at 9 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots
Maximum gusts 50 knots
Tropical storm force winds extend for 70 miles from the centre
Next update from NHC at 0300 GMT

Blanca is expected to strengthen a little more before conditions deteriorate. The storm will continue to head away from land.

6 July 2009 - bulletin 327

2009-07-06T16:14:00.002+01:00

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Blanca / 03E
Warning 02 issued by NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 17.3N 112.1W
Location 410 miles SSW of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Movement WNW at 9 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots
Maximum gusts 50 knots
Tropical storm force winds extend for 70 miles from the centre
Next update from NHC at 2100 GMT

Blance formed earlier today and will intensify during the next day or so, before oceanic conditions deteriorate.

6 July 2009 - bulletin 326

2009-07-06T11:40:00.001+01:00

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC for 0600 GMT
System 94E
Position 17N 111W
Location 400 miles S of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is 30-50%

5 July 2009 - bulletin 325

2009-07-05T15:06:00.002+01:00

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC for 1200 GMT
System 94E
Position 15N 109W
Location 325 miles SW of Manzanillo, Mexico
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is 30-50%

5 July 2009 - bulletin 324

2009-07-05T00:24:00.002+01:00

Inactivity bulletin
There are currently no active tropical cyclones or disturbances.

The next update on this site will be issued when this situation changes.

Service message

2009-06-26T22:08:00.001+01:00

The next update on this site will be made on Sunday 5 July 2009.

Please monitor output from the National Hurricane Center in Miami and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center in Honolulu for tropical cyclone threats.

26 June 2009 - bulletin 323

2009-06-26T22:05:00.002+01:00

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression Nangka / 04W
FINAL Warning 18 issued by JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 22.9N 114.4E
Location 40 miles NNE of Hong Kong
Movement NNW at 8 knots
Threatened landmasses Southern China
Maximum sustained winds 25 knots
Maximum gusts 35 knots

Nangka has made landfall and has dissipated.

Hong Kong warnings
Storm signal number 3 is in force, but likely to be cancelled shortly.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
ATLANTIC OCEAN / Caribbean Sea
Update from NHC for 1800 GMT
System 93L
Position 19N 81W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is MEDIUM

This system is headed west across the Caribbean, and will bring heavy rain to Cuba, the Caymans, the Yucatan Peninsula and Central America. 93L may develop once it has passed over the Yucatan into the southern Gulf of Mexico.

26 June 2009 - bulletin 322

2009-06-26T15:33:00.002+01:00

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression Nangka / 04W
Warning 17 issued by JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 22.2N 114.9E
Location 45 miles ESE of Hong Kong
Movement NNW at 15 knots
Threatened landmasses Southern China
Maximum sustained winds 30 knots
Maximum gusts 40 knots
Maximum significant wave height 12 feet
Next update from JTWC at 2100 GMT

Nangka has weakened and barely qualifies as a tropical cyclone. The system is rapidly approaching the Chinese mainland, and will dissipate shortly after making landfall.

Hong Kong warnings
Storm signal number 3 is in force.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
ATLANTIC OCEAN / Caribbean Sea
System 93L
Position 19N 81W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is LOW

This system is headed west across the Caribbean, and will bring heavy rain to Cuba, the Caymans, the Yucatan Peninsula and Central America.

26 June 2009 - bulletin 321

2009-06-26T10:50:00.002+01:00

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Nangka / 04W
Warning 16 issued by JTWC at 0900 GMT
Position 20.8N 115.6E
Location 115 miles SE of Hong Kong
Movement NNW at 17 knots
Threatened landmasses Southern China
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots
Maximum gusts 50 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 40 to 60 miles of the centre
Maximum significant wave height 13 feet
Next update from JTWC at 1500 GMT

Tropical storm Nangka is heading northwest across the South China Sea and will make landfall east of Hong Kong later today. Dissipation will occur shortly afterwards over land.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHERN INDIAN OCEAN / Arabian Sea
Update from JTWC for 1000 GMT
System 93A has dissipated

25 June 2009 - bulletin 320

2009-06-25T21:51:00.002+01:00

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Nangka / 04W
Warning 14 issued by JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 18.6N 116.8E
Location 265 miles SE of Hong Kong
Movement NW at 12 knots
Threatened landmasses Southern China
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots
Maximum gusts 50 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 40 to 50 miles of the centre
Maximum significant wave height 13 feet
Next update from JTWC at 0300 GMT

Tropical storm Nangka is heading northwest across the South China Sea, without any intensification due to adverse atmospheric conditions. Landfall will occur in two days' time well to the east of Hong Kong.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHERN INDIAN OCEAN / Arabian Sea
Update from JTWC for 1800 GMT
System 93A
Position 22.8N 68.5E
Location 145 miles SSE of Karachi, Pakistan
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is FAIR

25 June 2009 - bulletin 319

2009-06-25T15:14:00.002+01:00

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Nangka / 04W
Philippines designation Feria
Warning 13 issued by JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 17.5N 117.7E
Location 260 miles NW of Manila, Philippines
Movement NNW at 16 knots
Threatened landmasses Philippines, Hong Kong
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots
Maximum gusts 50 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 30 to 70 miles of the centre
Maximum significant wave height 14 feet
Next update from JTWC at 2100 GMT

Tropical storm Nangka is heading north northwest across the South China Sea, without any intensification due to adverse atmospheric conditions. Landfall will occur in two days' time to the east of Hong Kong.

Philippines WARNINGS
Public storm signal number 1 is raised in Zambales and Western Pangasinan

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHERN INDIAN OCEAN / Arabian Sea
Update from JTWC for 1800 GMT yesterday
System 93A
Position 22.9N 69.2E
Location 165 miles SE of Karachi, Pakistan
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is FAIR

25 June 2009 - bulletin 318

2009-06-25T12:14:00.003+01:00

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Nangka / 04W
Philippines designation Feria
Warning 12 issued by JTWC at 0900 GMT
Position 16.1N 118.4E
Location 185 miles NW of Manila, Philippines
Movement NNW at 11 knots
Threatened landmasses Philippines
Maximum sustained winds 45 knots
Maximum gusts 55 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 30 to 65 miles of the centre
Maximum significant wave height 14 feet
Next update from JTWC at 1500 GMT

Tropical storm Nangka has reemerged over water in the South China Sea and is expected to veer north towards mainland China, maintaining its current intensity. Strengthening is precluded due to adverse atmospheric conditions. Landfall will occur in two days' time.

Philippines WARNINGS
Public storm signal number 1 is raised in Zambales and Western Pangasinan

24 June 2009 - bulletin 317

2009-06-24T22:14:00.002+01:00

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Nangka / 04W
Philippines designation Feria
Warning 10 issued by JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 14.4N 119.3E
Location 500 miles S of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Movement NW at 13 knots
Threatened landmasses Philippines
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots
Maximum gusts 50 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 30 to 40 miles of the centre
Maximum significant wave height 13 feet
Next update from JTWC at 0300 GMT

Tropical storm Nangka has reemerged over water in the South China Sea and is expected to gradually intensify as it tracks north to the west of the Philippine islands, transitioning to an extra-tropical system after passing through the Strait of Taiwan.

Philippines WARNINGS
Public storm signal number 1 is raised in the following provinces:
Northern Mindoro, Lubang Is., Batangas, Cavite, Bataan, Zambales, Metro Manila

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression Andres / 02E
FINAL Warning 13 issued by NHC at 1800 GMT
Position 21.5N 107.6W
Location 145 miles WNW of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico
Movement N at 13 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum sustained winds 25 knots
Maximum gusts 35 knots

Andres no longer qualifies as a tropical cyclone. Its remnant will continue to move north.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHERN INDIAN OCEAN / Arabian Sea
Update from JTWC for 0930 GMT
System 93A
Position 22.1N 69.9E
Location 255 miles NW of Mumbai, India
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is FAIR

24 June 2009 - bulletin 316

2009-06-24T16:44:00.002+01:00

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Nangka / 04W
Philippines designation Feria
Warning 09 issued by JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 13.6N 120.3E
Location 75 miles SSW of Manila, Philippines
Movement WNW at 11 knots
Threatened landmasses Philippines
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots
Maximum gusts 50 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 30 to 45 miles of the centre
Maximum significant wave height 12 feet
Next update from JTWC at 2100 GMT

Tropical storm Nangka has reemerged over water in the South China Sea and is expected to gradually intensify as it tracks north to the west of the Philippine islands, transitioning to an extra-tropical system after passing through the Strait of Taiwan.

Philippines WARNINGS

Public storm signal number 1 is raised in the following provinces:
Northern Mindoro, Lubang Is., Batangas, Cavite, Bataan, Zambales, Metro Manila

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression Andres / 02E
Warning 12 issued by NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 20.3N 107.7W
Location 130 miles W of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico
Movement NW at 11 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum sustained winds 30 knots
Maximum gusts 40 knots
Next update from NHC at 2100 GMT

Andres is in the process of dissipating off the Mexican coast.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
ATLANTIC OCEAN / Caribbean Sea
Update from NHC for 1200 GMT
System No Invest Assigned
Position 24N 97W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is LOW

NORTHERN INDIAN OCEAN / Arabian Sea
Update from JTWC for 0930 GMT
System 93A
Position 22.1N 69.9E
Location 255 miles NW of Mumbai, India
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is FAIR

23 June 2009 - bulletin 315

2009-06-23T21:44:00.002+01:00

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Nangka / 04W
Philippines designation Feria
Warning 06 issued by JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 12.1N 123.0E
Location 250 miles SE of Manila, Philippines
Movement WNW at 10 knots
Threatened landmasses Philippines
Maximum sustained winds 45 knots
Maximum gusts 55 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 30 miles of the centre
Maximum significant wave height 11 feet
Next update from JTWC at 2100 GMT

Tropical storm Nangka has reemerged over water in the Sulu Sea and is expected to gradually intensify as it tracks north to the west of the Philippine islands.

Philippines WARNINGS
Public storm signal number 2 is raised in the following provinces:
Masbate, Ticao Island, Sorsogon, Albay, Camarines Provinces, Catanduanes, Marinduque, Romblon, Burias Island, Southern Quezon, Mindoro Provinces, Lubang Is., Batangas, Laguna, Cavite, Bataan, Rizal, Metro Manila, Samar Provinces, Northern Leyte, Camotes Is., Biliran Island, Northern Iloilo, Northern Negros, Northern Cebu, Aklan, Capiz

Public storm signal number 1 is raised in the following provinces:
Northern Quezon, Polilio Island, Calamian group , Cuyo Island, Bulacan, Pampanga, Zambales, Tarlac, Nueva Ecija, Aurora, Pangasinan, Southern Leyte, Bohol, Rest of Cebu , Rest of Negros,
Guimaras, Southern Iloilo, Antique, Siquijor , Surigao del Norte, Siargao Island, Dinagat Island, Camiguin

Residents living in low lying and mountainous including coastal areas under signal 2 and 1 are alerted against possible flashloods and landslides.

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
HURRICANE Andres / 02E
Warning 09 issued by NHC at 2100 GMT
Position 18.6N 105.2W
Location 65 miles WSW of Manzanillo, Mexico
Movement NW at 11 knots
Threatened landmasses Mexico
Maximum sustained winds 65 knots
Maximum gusts 80 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 70 miles of the centre
Winds of 65 knots or higher occur within 15 miles of the centre
Rainfall totals: 3 to 6 inches, locally up to 8 inches
Storm surge flooding 1 to 3 feet on coasts in warning area
Large and battering waves possible on coasts in warning area
Next update from NHC at 0300 GMT

Andres is now a hurricane, but will not intensify further. In fact, some forecasts predict the hurricane to dissipate within 24 hours. The NHC forecast projects the storm to slowly weaken as it veers out into the Pacific.

WARNINGS
A hurricane warning is in force from Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes.
Hurricane conditions are likely within 24 hours

The tropical storm warning has been discontinued

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
ATLANTIC OCEAN / Caribbean Sea
Update from NHC for 2100 GMT
System No Invest Assigned
Position 22N 95W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is LOW

NORTHERN INDIAN OCEAN / Arabian Sea
Update from JTWC for 1800 GMT
System 93A
Position 18.1N 71.0E
Location 110 miles WSW of Mumbai, India
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is POOR