mysidetrades

JULY 2009 Watch List

2009-07-07T01:24:00.000-07:00

LONG:

{VPRT, WDC }

SHORT:

{ILMN, MANH, CLR}

GB Pound is getting ready to move higher vs. U$D

2009-06-22T01:15:00.001-07:00

FXB 165 Calls!

Large % drop in Price an High Volume

2009-06-03T02:50:00.000-07:00

CAH & HES

Could things get any worse for Education/School Group

2009-05-27T18:01:00.001-07:00

I am looking at ESI and APOL in School group which is the weakest group among broad sectors of the equity market. There is a SHORT trade here somewhere, maybe buying Puts on ESI.
I am also short HOG.

Nat. Gas & Coal seems to go lower

2009-05-22T03:05:00.000-07:00

With KOL sitting at its 200 MA I looked at JRCC and MEE which seems forming bullish pattern earlier this week, now turning all down. UNG: Natural Gas also dropped more than 9% yesterday and looking to head for the retest of 12.69. Not looking good boys! SPY also is capped at its 200 MA and turning south. I am net negative right now, sold some of my FWLT's and holding puts on SPY and OSIP and some INTC June 15 puts as well. (which I will cover real soon).

How to play weakening Dollar?

2009-05-21T02:47:00.001-07:00

I am tracking several currency ETF' (against USD)

Also have a channel on Finviz.com for tracking USD vs. World!: http://www.finviz.com/collaborate.ashx?si=1

Buy AG. Names on the DIP

2009-05-15T01:41:00.000-07:00

Not decided which one yet! Should I go with the one already made significant move and proven to be in more demand, or believe the lower PE ones will play "catch-up" soon.
{ SQM, IPI, LXU, AGU, POT, MOS }

After Lows' earnings yesterday, I turn more positive towards home builders and housing related
XHB and HD would be my choice for trading in this space. I did buy FWLT yesterday (19% of trading money at this point). I will by calls on XHB or HD tomorow on any pull-back.

One SHORT Idea: OSIP

Long Candidates ...

2009-05-01T04:05:00.000-07:00

TTM (Tata Motors): http://www.flickr.com/photos/28670532@N04/3490416831/

MELI: http://www.flickr.com/photos/28670532@N04/3490414515/in/photostream/

More SHORT candidates ...

2009-04-29T02:14:00.000-07:00

More SHORT candidates:

AEM: http://www.flickr.com/photos/28670532@N04/3485738218/
RCII: http://www.flickr.com/photos/28670532@N04/3484981421/
{ Let this one bounce a little from here }

On My Radar for Wk April 27th, 2009

2009-04-27T02:56:00.000-07:00

LONG Candidates: Eastman Chemicals beating estimates and stocks exploded 20% higher on 3 times volume"...

* Q1 adjusted EPS 25 cents vs. estimate of 14 cents

* Sales down 35 percent

[DOW may also be a good BUY based on the sector move and good news from EMN]

I missed the impressive move in Apparel/Accessories Group, hope not too late for putting them on my radar screen.

SHORT Candidate: Netflix (NFLX):

The company raised its subscriber and earnings targets but gave a guidance that disappointed some
analysts.

2009-04-11_AEM_SHORT

2009-04-11T18:51:00.001-07:00

2009-04-11_AEM_SHORT
Originally uploaded by SouthBayTrader

Bearish on Gold! ... This one looks like a god short when stocks hit its 200 MA (50.23) expecting drop to 36-40 level.

2009-04-11_GS_LONG

2009-04-11T11:58:00.001-07:00

2009-04-11_GS_LONG
Originally uploaded by SouthBayTrader

Waiting for pull-back to 112 (200-MA)

Look into Insider Buying for Wells Fargo

2009-02-22T01:11:00.000-08:00

IMHO Overall markets are EXTREMELY OVER-SOLD {DIA, SPY, QQQQ}(Perhaps for good reasons) I am not saying markets are oversold , so people should be buying now but for the short term its over-sold and maybe due for a bounce. Rebounds in the bear markets are selling oppurtunities and should not be trusted.

However I was looking at some banks/financial institutions: Wells Fargo , Morgan Stanley and Goldman Saks (GS) are rated higher than others and for my gambling money perhaps bank of America (BAC) Look at Insider buying in the past 3 days for Wells Fargo, I hope we get yet another down day on Monday and pick up some Wells Fargo and/or Morgan Stanley (MS).

WFC Insider Buying

3 ETF's ripe for trading

2009-02-06T00:36:00.000-08:00

LONG: XBI and TBT

SHORT: IYR

Buy IBM below 90 and Short Mohawk Industries (MHK)

2009-01-31T13:04:00.000-08:00

IBM Chart

MHK Chart
Also:
a) Short and ready to cover SHOO
b) WLP Short.

Dariush winery, Napa, CA

2009-01-17T02:09:00.000-08:00

Long OIL, SHORT Commercial Real Estate

2009-01-14T01:42:00.000-08:00

Longing OIL through buying Calls on DBO

Shorting Commercial Real Estate through buying Puts on SPG or IYR

Alos looking into Buying Puts on WLP

Short INTC, LONG Shaw Group (SGR)

2009-01-12T01:08:00.000-08:00

SHORT INTC LONG SGR (on a Dip):

Long Stocks, Long Red China

2009-01-07T01:19:00.001-08:00

Betting on T-Bills going down, Buy Calls on TBT. Also looking into Buying calls on China's ETF (FXI)

Long : GLD, FXY,FXE Short: LPHI (broken Channel)

2008-12-12T01:51:00.000-08:00

UPDATE: (Dec 15th, 08) Look into Buying GLD Jan Calls as well ,

US Gov. Helping Real Estate: Push for 4.5% Mortgage

2008-12-05T00:58:00.000-08:00

Longer Term Call options (LEAPS perhaps) Look int Toll Brothers and KB Home.

RIMM Heading South

2008-12-03T06:15:00.000-08:00

RIMM Broke bellow 40 yesterday descending triangle pattern suggesting it will continue the down-trend. RIMM also slashes outlook for the next year before the market open today and its down more than $2.

SHORT CBE (Profit Warning)

2008-11-24T09:05:00.000-08:00

Profit Warning ! Music to my ears Cooper Industries (CBE) is breaking a support and hitting its 52 weeks low. Late on Friday, after the stock market closed, the company said fourth-quarter results would be below the 83 cents to 92 cents profit per share the company had forecast in October. It did not provide a new range.

Getting Ready To Short BBY or JOSB

2008-11-14T02:28:00.000-08:00

The verdict is out, we are either in recession and/or fearful of it. The holiday season will not have any hopes for retailers. I am looking into BUYING puts on Best Buy (BBY) hoping it crosses past 25.

Week of November 3rd (Trading Gaps)

2008-11-01T01:05:00.000-07:00

UPDATE (Nov 6th): Bought Puts on Costco (COST) and looking into buying calls on TAP (great earnings reported yesterday and outlook is good as well). Buying Puts on USM 11% drop in price on 315% average volume. There was an extremely bearish news for Steel Industry, I am looking into buying PUTS on X. Cramer called it a SELL when it was a $30 stock, it rallied since then and past $40, Now its heading south again.

Started to look into the trade candidates for this week. I am looking into Omnicare (OCR -- Retail (Drug)) for Pull-back and then Buy some Calls (Gap Up). Also following ERTS (Looking for a bounce to get a better entry price and buy some Puts -- Gap Down)

OXPS, BCSI Waiting for a little pull-back to Buy Calls. (Filled the Gap)