tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8048601.post-1100540314694512512004-11-25T10:28:00.000-05:002004-11-25T10:28:56.716-05:00<img src="http://www.geocities.com/dglickman/2004-bcc-championship/pictures/einstein.jpg" alt="Albert Einstein" /> <br /><div style="text-align: justify; font-family: verdana;">Some time back I calculated the <a href="http://2004-bcc-championship.blogspot.com/2004/10/on-any-given-wednesday-updated.html">predicted final score</a> of each player in the Championship based on their published <a href="http://2004-bcc-championship.blogspot.com/2004/10/1004-uscf-ratings.html">10/04 USCF ratings</a>. While no one pays bonuses for relative performance (except in the mutual fund industry, that is), here are the players ranked by the differences between their actual and predicted scores: <br /></div> <br /><span style="font-family:verdana;">+1.3 Martirosov (5.0 actual, 3.7 predicted)</span> <br /> <br /><span style="font-family:verdana;">+1.0 Glickman (2.5, 1.5)</span> <br /> <br /><span style="font-family:verdana;">+0.7 Mac Intyre (5.5, 4.8)</span> <br /> <br /><span style="font-family:verdana;">+0.2 Chase (5.0, 4.8)</span> <br /> <br /><span style="font-family:verdana;">+0.0 Cherniack (4.5, 4.5)</span> <br /> <br /><span style="font-family:verdana;">-0.5 Williams (1.5, 2.0)</span> <br /> <br /><span style="font-family:verdana;">-1.0 Slive (1.0, 2.0)</span> <br /> <br /><span style="font-family:verdana;">-1.8 Riordan (3.0, 4.8)</span> <br /> <br /><div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family:verdana;">These provide a slightly different perspective from the </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://2004-bcc-championship.blogspot.com/2004/11/standings-after-round-7.html">absolute standings</a><span style="font-family:verdana;"> in assessing who had a good vs. not-so-good tournament.</span> <br /></div><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8048601-110054031469451251?l=2004-bcc-championship.blogspot.com'/></div>David Glickmannoreply@blogger.com0