tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-71323034672474601982008-05-12T21:04:45.214-07:00Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comBlogger207125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-1253939111932903612008-05-12T20:53:00.000-07:002008-05-12T21:04:45.306-07:00

Fari Hamzei Today, finally the Shorts were handed their heads, as Nasdaq-100 (NDX) closed above its MR1 (Monthly Resistance One) Level. This is a multi-month breakout and almost a new high for 2008. SPX is poised to do the same shortly (its MR1 is at 1418xx) and then next it will challenge its 200 Day Mov Avg now approximately standing at ~1429. Stay LONG....we like oil services and select

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-53297645373614540272008-05-04T16:31:00.000-07:002008-05-04T17:07:15.871-07:00

Fari Hamzei As we wrote last night for our MSA List Members, we felt that early this week, FED knew the April NFP will come in better than consensus estimate and that is why they signaled they may be done lowering rates for now... historically, any time FED stopped lowering the FF rates, it boded well for all Equities. So, STAY LONG as SPX yesterday broke a multi-month breakout channel... and

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-12818347603984864252008-04-29T08:31:00.000-07:002008-04-29T08:33:04.396-07:00

Fari Hamzei With a bid to the Financial (most sold sector in Q1) last two days, we shall stay the course. Our Market Pulse Indicator (MPI) is a bit stretched but with SPX trading very clearly in the Zone (+1 to +2 sigma), all is well with our Long SPX Position on April 10 (~1360). Our next target for DJIA sits at ~13075 (200 day MA) to ~13150 (+3 simga) confluence.

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-28904307214074267752008-04-19T18:18:00.000-07:002008-04-19T18:26:30.283-07:00

Fari Hamzei "And, Nostradamus, shall lead them...." With SPX and NDX closing at two sigma, and McClellan Oscillator readings of 168 and 94, we are a bit stretched. But there is huge bid to the market and I doubted this bid will wane till we go thru AAPL Earnings Report on Tuesday AH. DJIA, having gone thru our 12,700 multi-month channel breakout target, is now poised to hunt down the current

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-87520353341039738532008-04-11T15:19:00.000-07:002008-04-19T18:22:26.684-07:00

Fari Hamzei Technically, the damage caused pre-open today by Jeff Immelt & Co was heavy, GE being the 3rd largest US company by market cap. SPX closed below zero sigma (20 day MA) and NDX stopped exactly at zero sigma. McClellan Oscillators closed at -30 and -36 for NYSE and NAZZ, respectively. With this backdrop, next week could be pretty tough for the longs. We have Q1 Earnings, Tax Selling

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-82142051352338440852008-04-11T04:44:00.000-07:002008-04-11T15:26:46.318-07:00

Fari Hamzei From: Fari Hamzei [mailto:Fari@HamzeiAnalytics.com] Sent: Friday, April 11, 2008 4:42 AM To: Jim Schmidt (Timerdiges@aol.com) Subject: Timer of the Year Competition Dear Jim, We are going LONG SPX as of Close of Thursday, April 10 @ 1360.54. Please confirm the receipt of this email. All the best; Fari Hamzei Founder Hamzei Analytics, LLC This Timer Chart is for our

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-73692340198213999712008-04-06T00:15:00.000-07:002008-04-06T00:23:17.526-07:00

Well, first month is behind us. We made some mistakes and not all of our risk management systems are fully operational as we want them. And, yes, I am still trying to get settled in the Windy City. Nevertheless, the first month, marked-to-the-market, brought in 22% return on total capital. Cash on Cash Return was even juicier. While past performance is not indicative of future returns, we

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-64344442164609674532008-04-05T16:49:00.000-07:002008-04-05T17:33:52.769-07:00

Fari Hamzei As of this writing (1 hour before the close on Friday, April 4th), we are in an extremely overbought condition (+195 reading on NYSE McClellan Osc and +137 for NASDAQ) -- thus, a pause is in order next week before the April OX, the following week!!! Given that the equity markets reacted well to the March Non-Farm Payroll's -80K bad news, this tell us that six months down the road,

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-88907867751048382102008-04-01T12:17:00.000-07:002008-04-01T15:23:09.716-07:00

From: Fari Hamzei [mailto:Fari@HamzeiAnalytics.com] Sent: Tuesday, April 01, 2008 2:12 PM To: 'Timerdiges@aol.com' Subject: Notice of Change of Market Bias Dear Jim, For your coveted Timer of the Year Competition, we are going NEUTRAL on S&P-500 Stock Cash Index (SPX) at the CLOSE today. Please confirm your receipt of this email. Fari Hamzei Founder Hamzei Analytics, LLC Additional notes

Fari Hamzeihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05494893227375277386noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-76873658334745092812008-03-29T14:41:00.000-07:002008-03-29T14:44:23.956-07:00

Fari Hamzei When the McClellan Oscillators hooked earlier this week, the short-term trade was to sell the market indices. Don't be fooled, the longer trend is still up and we should be oversold shortly as this is all part of the bottoming process. Stay the course and enjoy the Spring Madness...

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-20568642833770583132008-03-25T12:25:00.000-07:002008-03-25T12:32:26.405-07:00

Sally Limantour As most of you know, commodities went through an overdue correction last week. This shouldn’t have been a big deal. Here’s the problem though. As a result of that correction, some folks are making assumptions that don’t make sense. In fact, some of these assumptions are downright dangerous. For example, the media and others are giving Fed Chairman Bernanke credit for “putting an

Fari Hamzeihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05494893227375277386noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-49641153398040411982008-03-18T05:21:00.000-07:002008-03-18T06:22:24.623-07:00

March 17, 2008 Fari, We have logged your S&P 500 Buy signal as of the 03/17/08 Close. Thanks, Jim In a message dated 3/17/2008 3:59:26 P.M. Eastern Daylight Time, Support@HamzeiAnalytics.com writes: Dear Jim, For your coveted Timer of the Year Competition, we are going LONG S&P-500 Stock Cash Index (SPX) at the CLOSE today. Please confirm your receipt of this email. Cheers............

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-57833473709313554762008-03-16T10:18:00.000-07:002008-03-16T11:02:32.542-07:00

Fari Hamzei This week, Uncle Ben and Comrade Paulson, with a coordinated attack plan in their back pocket, came in to rescue the Credit Markets, in general, and now we find out, the Bear Stearns & Co. (NYSE: BSC) in particular. BSC is an 85-year old primary broker dealer for the Treasury Bills, Notes and Bonds. All of this ahead of Spring Equinox and Mar OX. Market smelled blood and went short

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-30843623142995678932008-03-11T21:07:00.000-07:002008-03-11T21:35:30.676-07:00

Fari Hamzei The following email went out to our MSA List Members this morning at 1037 CST (w/o the chart). Timer Digest just confirmed that we are FLAT SPX as of last night close. NYSE McClellan Oscillator yesterday hit -279 while NASDAQ McClellan Oscillator closed at -179. DJIA, SPX, DJ Trans & RUT each closed just a tad above -3 sigma, NDX was at -3 sigma, VIX, VXO & VXN closed above +2

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-61471968424406032992008-03-09T19:53:00.000-07:002008-03-09T19:58:47.732-07:00

Brad Sullivan These charts were posted on Thursday March 6, 2008 at 1215 CST in our SuperPlatinum Virtual Trading Room.

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-88248091471383503542008-03-09T19:38:00.000-07:002008-03-09T19:53:10.028-07:00

Brad Sullivan This article and accompanying charts were posted on Thursday March 6, 2008 at 0830 CST in our SuperPlatinum Virtual Trading Room. The index markets appear to be set for another volatile session as news out of MER, FNM and TMA have knocked the markets substantially from overnight highs. On the positive side of the ledger, WMT boosted their dividend and announced slightly better

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-22995248490207260082008-03-07T18:51:00.000-08:002008-03-07T19:08:37.356-08:00

Fari Hamzei "And, Nostradamus Shall Lead 'em....." As Uncle Ben & Co. pre-empted the BLS' Feb NFP Release early this morning, much to the liking of GW, Dick Cheney and the rest of the usual suspects on both ends of the Pennsylvania Ave. in Washington, it was a different story on Wall Street. The Smart Money sold, and sold relentlessly. And, as the Mortgage Mess CEOs showed up to defend their

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-11253038693859125732008-03-05T15:09:00.000-08:002008-03-05T19:24:11.138-08:00

Ashraf Laidi Euro Momentum Remains Intact The latest episode of Euro strength is underpinned by not only the breadth of the rally (gaining versus EUR, GBP and CAD) but is also founded on the unlikelihood that the European Central Bank will intervene to stem its strength. With inflation at a record high of 3.2%--well over the central bank’s preferred level of 2.0%--and oil prices surging above

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-72082936446373994302008-02-29T17:28:00.001-08:002008-02-29T18:50:25.784-08:00

Fari Hamzei Our early morning call today for DJIA touching its -1 sigma price (~12250) was covered by Robert Gray on FOX Business Channel at the bottom of the last hour of the market. Our next target is -2 sigma on SPX which today stands at 1316. Our Equity Markets are in the process of building a bottom but the WEAK LONGs have to take in more pain in the short term. Look for a big volume

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-28020379472697567352008-02-21T15:14:00.000-08:002008-02-21T16:49:24.501-08:00

Brad Sullivan Editor's Note: Brad Sullivan's Morning Commentary is usually posted in our SuperPlatinum Virtual Trading Room around 0845 CST. The index markets are called to open higher as the market attempts to follow through on yesterday’s strong reversal. The SPH is trading at 1366, + 7.00 on the session. The real strength this morning lies in the NQH futures which are trading higher by +1%

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-85823472702453218522008-02-20T15:40:00.000-08:002008-02-21T16:19:45.804-08:00

Brad Sullivan Editor's Note: Brad Sullivan's Morning Commentary is usually posted in our SuperPlatinum Virtual Trading Room around 0845 CST. The index markets are called to open sharply lower on the heels of aggressive selling in the far east (Nikkei and Hang Seng lower by 2 and 3% respectively) and economic data that shows some signs of inflation here at home. The SPH is trading at 1336.50,

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-64948499924145711412008-02-20T14:10:00.000-08:002008-02-20T14:57:58.410-08:00

Fari Hamzei We again reiterate our position: SELL SHORT & HOLD... Here is why: Sub-prime writedowns continue to resurface by the "usual suspects" announcing on both sides of the Pond (CONUS and Western Europe). The Three Amigos' hands (Uncle Ben, Comrade Paulson & Chris Cox) are all but tied behind their backs. They can no longer drop FF rate unilaterally as depicted by recent rise in Gold

Hamzei Analytics, LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06992225953773821315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-85382436126468488152008-02-10T08:20:00.001-08:002008-02-10T08:45:25.091-08:00

Fari Hamzei With Feb Options X this week and overall negative sentiment in every traders' mind, it is not a surprise that market participants have been dumping stocks on Fridays. This week is a slow economic news week which will make the popular stocks bleed further. Be aware of expiration week reversals -- come Tuesday or Wednesday of the expiration week........till then stay short your core

Fari Hamzeihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05494893227375277386noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-1566827868054872432008-02-06T20:15:00.000-08:002008-02-06T20:25:54.956-08:00

Fari Hamzei Given that on Feb. 1st, the McClellan Oscillators for NYSE & NASDAQ went into a massive over-bought condition, the sell-off this week should not be a surprise to any avid student of our markets. Our current target is 1267 area on SPX (down to -3 sigma). What was interesting is the intensity of big names being discarded, i.e., GOOG, RIMM, AAPL and CME. These were the darlings of

Fari Hamzeihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05494893227375277386noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132303467247460198.post-50900204577218917672008-02-05T02:02:00.000-08:002008-02-05T02:11:05.379-08:00

Fil Zucchi I won’t begin to guess whether we have seen a multi-month bottom in the broad indices, or whether we will knife through the late January lows on our way to a full-fledged nasty bear market. But I am quite convinced that whichever way the market breaks, it is likely to put in some jaw-dropping moves. Based on that I am adopting a barbell approach to my positions: shorts consist of

Fari Hamzeihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05494893227375277386noreply@blogger.com