tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-63434254407212462032008-05-13T22:14:41.839-07:00The Tech Farmtechfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comBlogger165125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-86201377945412093732008-05-13T21:40:00.000-07:002008-05-13T22:14:41.871-07:00The Efficiency of Ethanol; Is it Worth Producing?We've all heard the comments that it takes almost as much energy to produce Ethanol as Ethanol provides. How true is this? An article in the October 2007 National Geographic Magazine provides a lot of interesting information. We will group ethanol into four categories: Corn Ethanol: "Nearly all the ethanol in the U.S. is brewed from yellow feed corn. Proliferating ethanol distilleries are techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-22863794510664463182008-05-12T19:44:00.000-07:002008-05-12T19:57:42.002-07:00Long Term Trends: Part 2: AgricultureIn Part 1 of our Long Term Trends Series, we highlighted Energy, Oil, Oil services, Oil Sands, Natural Gas, Oil Pipelines, Refineries, Oil Shipping, Coal, Coal Services, Nuclear, Environment Cleanup and Alternative Energy. In Part 2, we highlight Agriculture. In a previous post, we highlighted reasons why there is a food crisis and food inflation, and why these are long term trends. This is techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-41271498780623524802008-05-08T21:17:00.000-07:002008-05-08T22:47:57.021-07:00Long Term Trends: Part 1: Energy, Oil, Coal, Nuclear, Cleanup Forever Portfolio Series James Altucher, of TheStreet.com and Stockpickr.com, is writing a book: The Forever Portfolio: How to Pick Stocks That You Can Hold for the Long Run. James Altucher hopes to show investors how to build a strong, consistent long-term portfolio, diversified enough to withstand the various cycles of the market. Inspired by this, we will be starting a series over a techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-75427863952093696702008-05-07T00:08:00.000-07:002008-05-07T00:47:32.750-07:00Natural Gas Boom, Oil Sands, Rising Oil Prices, Breakout: Try CNQ, Canadian Natural ResourcesWhat company benefits from all the trends below? 1. Crude oil is zooming. 2. Jim Cramer has proclaimed 2008 the Year of Natural Gas. In Jim Cramer's CNBC Show Mad Money, Jim Cramer expressed his optimism: Cramer extended his optimism to the entire natural gas sector. With the growth rates for a natural gas drillers averaging 15%, he said investors will be hard pressed to find such high techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-24207889292922580572008-05-05T20:51:00.000-07:002008-05-06T20:34:59.980-07:00PE to Growth Ratio for International ETFsVlada, from the Czech Republic (stockweb.blogspot.com), posted a great link. Vlada looked at several international ETFs and calculated the PEG ratio (Price Earnings Ratio to Growth Ratio) based on a countries 2008 GDP growth and a countries P/E Ratio (the Economic PEG). The countries with the highest 2008 GDP growth include China (9.3%), India (7.9%) and Russia (6.8%). The countries with the techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-42058335420211948202008-05-04T00:38:00.001-07:002008-05-05T01:28:38.469-07:00Jim Cramer Cameo on Iron Man MovieWhile watching the Iron Man Movie, I was surprised to see a hilarious cameo by CNBC Personality and host of the CNBC Show "Mad Money." Based on the audience reaction, looks like there were enough people who recognized Jim Cramer. The Iron Man Movie itself is worth going to the theatre for. WARNING: SPOILER ALERT COMING UP! In the movie, Tony Stark, weapons developer and the techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-56922094297219551572008-05-01T23:53:00.000-07:002008-05-02T00:10:15.860-07:00Herbalife (HLF) a Commercial Cult?Some time ago, I would occasionally look into Herbalife (HLF) as a play on weight loss and health. Then to my surprise, I saw Herbalife (HLF) and Multi-Level Marketing in the Commercial Cult List! I make no judgement on Herbalife as a Commercial Cult but I am providing the link and yet another link here and you can make your own judgement.techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-58891430928357558612008-04-27T22:32:00.000-07:002008-04-28T02:09:10.521-07:00Reasons for Global Food Crisis/Riots/Shortages. Can we Profit from Trend?In many parts of the world, there are food riots as the price of rice has gone up to painful levels. What are the reasons behind this and how can we profit and play this trend? According to Raj Patel, author of Stuffed and Starved: The Hidden Battle for the World Food System, there are five main reasons for the high food prices: Food production is heavily dependent on fossil fuel and oil pricestechfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-6925926558821400522008-04-24T21:30:00.000-07:002008-04-24T22:00:34.369-07:00Is the U.S. Penny Worth More as a Metal (Copper, Zinc) than as US Currency?With metal prices rising rapidly, people on television and radio often comment that a U.S. Penny is worth more as a metal than its value in the US as a unit of currency. How true is this? Many people notice that a penny is (mostly) copper and they see copper prices rising rapidly. Is the Penny mostly made out of copper? Material Composition of a Penny Each year, the composition of the U.S.techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-62343678054552954092008-04-22T01:24:00.000-07:002008-04-22T02:21:37.179-07:00Books of Jim Cramer, Host of CNBC Show "Mad Money"Are confused about the Books of Jim Cramer, host of the popular finance CNBC show, "Mad Money"? Here's an overview of the books. "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World" is the book that Jim Cramer gave his hedge fund employees, when he was running a hedge fund. If you are a sophisticated investor and stock picker or wish to head towards that direction, this is the book for you. Jimtechfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-52358087410889001632008-04-17T22:57:00.000-07:002008-04-17T23:26:02.495-07:00Current (April 17, 2008) Cheap Growth Ready to Breakout Stocks. Hanes Brands (HBI) is on the List.Recently, we revisited the Cheap Growth Ready to Breakout Screen. We've looked at the results of several portfolios: September 12, 2007 to April 11, 2008 Results of Three Portfolios Checked on April 15, 2008. So what are the current stocks in the Cheap Growth Ready to Breakout Screen? Stocks are sorted from Highest to Lowest Market Capitalization: The Current Stocks in Cheap Growth Ready totechfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-54167359626628517932008-04-15T21:47:00.000-07:002008-04-15T22:21:30.406-07:00Results of 3 Portfolios: Cheap Growth Ready to Breakout (April 15, 2008)In a previous article, we described the Cheap Growth Ready to Breakout Screen. In this post, we will continue to track the performance of three portfolios. We are taking the snapshot as of Tuesday, April 15, 2008. We previously had a snapshot on July 17, 2007. ============================== Portfolio 1: February 23, 2007 ============================== # Symbol Start End Return techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-65930804046942480522008-04-13T23:31:00.000-07:002008-04-15T00:22:34.499-07:00Outperforming Portfolio Since September 2007 Using Cheap Growth to Breakout ScreenSometime back, we created a (buy and hold) portfolio on an online site using our Cheap Growth Ready to Breakout Screen. Many months later, after the S&P 500 declined 9.42% from September 12, 2007 to April 11, 2008, we checked the portfolio and discovered that the portfolio even during the market decline increased by 2.21% outperforming the S&P 500 and even posting a gain! The Portfolio techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-79270890664788139072008-04-12T09:47:00.001-07:002008-04-12T10:02:13.441-07:00Results of Russian and Eastern Europe Mad Money TourLast week, on the CNBC hit show Mad Money, Jim Cramer, the host of the show went through one Russian or Eastern European Stock per week. The results: Michel Steel (MTL) Wimm Bill Dann Foods (WBD), a Russian Dairy, Juice, Water and Baby Products Producer. CTC Media (CTCM), a Russian Television Network Operator Central European Distribution (CEDC), best known for Polish Vodka. Central Europeantechfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-62031155160080887232008-04-09T00:24:00.000-07:002008-04-11T09:38:28.942-07:00Russian and Eastern European Stock Tour by Jim Cramer on CNBC Show "Mad Money"This week on the CNBC Show "Mad Money", ex-hedge fund manager Jim Cramer, host of the show, is recommending Eastern European or Russian Stocks, one stock each day of the week. On Monday, Jim Cramer recommended Michel Steel (MTL), a steel company. On Tuesday, Jim Cramer recommended Wimm Bill Dann (WBD) a dairy and juice producer. Can we guess the other three companies? There aren't that many techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-70948432228998529922008-04-07T00:03:00.000-07:002008-04-07T00:25:32.909-07:00Historic S&P 500 PE Ratio, Dividend Yield and Total Return 1960 to 2007 YearPE RatioDividend YieldS&P 500 ReturnTotal Return 196018.733.41%-3%0.41% 1961 21.23 2.85% 23.13% 25.98% 1962 17.21 3.40% -11.81% -8.41% 1963 18.15 3.13% 18.89% 22.02% 1964 17.79 3.05% 12.97% 16.02% 1965 17.45 3.06% 9.06% 12.12% 1966 14.84 3.59% -13.09% -9.50% 1967 17.67 3.09% 20.09% 23.18% 1968 18.15 2.93% 7.66% 10.59% 1969 15.08 3.52% -11.36% -7.84% 1970 16.72 3.46% 0.10% 3.56% 1971 18.32 techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-30253307291680170072008-04-04T00:16:00.000-07:002008-04-04T00:29:47.724-07:00Forward Stock Market (S&P 500) Return Based on Distance from 52 Week High What is the One Year Forward Return of the S&P 500 (from 1/1/1950 to 3/31/2008) when we are some distance away from the 52 Week High? If the S&P 500 is 10% or more below the 52 week high, the average return during the 1950 to 2008 period, is around 11.72%, compared to 8.30% if the S&P 500 is within 10% of the 52 week high. If we go further down to 20% or more below the 52 week high, the S&P techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-73528647544899938972008-03-31T22:19:00.000-07:002008-04-01T00:06:04.842-07:00Stock Market and S&P 500 Bottom Indicator Based on Extension from 52 Week Low and 52 Week HighIs there a stock market (or S&P 500) bottom indicator based on the current (S&P 500)index value in relation to the 52 week high and 52 week low? After research, there appears to be a bottom indicator based on these values. The Equation The thesis we wanted to test involves this equation: HOLU Function = (% Below 52 Week High) - (% Above 52 Week Low) In order to find a bottom, we wish to techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-55041314800307723122008-03-31T00:47:00.000-07:002008-03-31T00:53:44.463-07:00S&P 500 Still in Trading RangeThe S&P 500 still appears to be in a trading range with 1270 on the S&P as support, and currently, resistance at the 50 day moving average of 1338. The S&P 500 is currently at 1315. If the S&P 500 breaks through the 50 day moving average with volume and with good follow through days, next resistance is around 1400. But until then, the US market is in a trading range (just right below the 50 techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-9547382245203257272008-03-28T01:19:00.000-07:002008-04-02T23:46:09.360-07:00Former CNBC Fast Money Panelist Eric Bolling bids for Shopping Date with Ivanka TrumpFormer CNBC "Fast Money" Panelist Eric Bolling (and current Fox Business Network Financial Analyst) appeared on Donald Trump's Celebrity Apprentice Finale. Contestants Tabloid Editor Piers Morgan and Country music superstar Trace Adkins were in charge of setting up a charity event which included an auction. One of the auction items included a Shopping Date with Ivanka Trump, Donald Trump's techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-17534756798524092712008-03-27T00:56:00.000-07:002008-03-27T01:56:41.058-07:00How Many Blades Can Gillette and Schick Fit on a Razor? When will this growth end?Have you ever noticed that the number of blades on a safety razor have been increasing at an exponential pace? When will this growth end? How many blades will we have on a razor in the future? When will the arms race between Gillette and Schick end? The two main players in the Safety Razor market are Gillette (owned by Procter and Gamble (PG)) with the largest market share (70% as of 2003) techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-49327165389247565842008-03-24T22:40:00.000-07:002008-03-25T00:44:37.618-07:00Stock Market (S&P 500) Short Term Positive, Intermediate Term, Still BearishAfter today's S&P 500 breakout above the 50 day moving average and short term downtrend, the stock market should have some short term momentum. The S&P 500 is currently around 1350. Next resistance area is around 1400 on the S&P 500. Intermediate term, the S&P 500 is still on a downtrend. The S&P 500 is still below the 200 day moving average. But let us see how the market performs as thetechfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-89393648438149291862008-03-23T23:45:00.001-07:002008-03-25T00:07:39.433-07:00US Stock Market and S&P 500 near short term resistanceThis blog previously posted a breakdown scenario, and pointed out potential resistance areas. Right now, the S&P 500 has support at 1270, and resistance at around the 1330-1340 level (based on 50% retracement, as well as other resistance levels). The market, currently at 1329 on the S&P 500, is also very near the 50 day moving average, which is currently at 1345. If the S&P 500 tests techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-37614905210463868142008-03-19T22:05:00.000-07:002008-03-19T23:20:47.245-07:00Historical Best Day of Month To Invest or Dollar Cost Average in the S&P 500 from 1950 to 2007Many people have adopted a Dollar Cost Averaging Strategy of regularly investing in a mutual fund, such as an S&P 500 Index Fund. Often, brokers could give the user an option when they automatically invest the money. Investors could choose which day of the month they can dollar cost average. Will an investors choice of day to invest on a regular basis affect overall return? In the Chart techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-72618970182433626582008-03-16T23:26:00.000-07:002008-03-17T01:00:45.669-07:00Are you a Bull or a Bear? Is this Stock Market Broken? Where's the Bottom?The Battle Between the Bulls (those who think the stock market will go up) and the Bears (those who think the stock market will go down) continues. Are you a Bull or a Bear? The Bulls On March 11, 2008, Investors Intelligence released their latest Bull Bear Ratio. As of that date, there are 31.1% Bulls and 43.3% Bears. The Bull Percentage is very low (and even less than the Bear percentagetechfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com