The Weather Guy

Nice Weekend Here (In Tennessee!)

2008-10-10T07:00:00.000-05:00

The weather map above has several interesting features. First, it's all quiet here in Middle Tennessee. Secondly, a stationary front covers central Florida. Rain is expected up the Carolina coast. Rain is also expected ahead of a front from the Dakotas southwest to New Mexico. Behind the front, HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY for mountains of Wyoming and heavy snow is possible in Montana, Idaho, and higher elevations of Utah. This is the first major winter storm of the autumn season in the U.S.

Back here in Tennessee, as I said, we'll have calm weather with highs in the 80's this weekend. Those temperatures are above average for our area.

*Latest, Local Forecast *

Daily Almanac:

Thursday's High 71.7° @ 4:12 pm
Morning's Low: 53.2° @ 6:58 am
No rain recorded, we've seen 1.04" for the month.

Normal High: 73°
Normal Low: 46°
Records: 88° (1928) 26° (2000)
Last Year: 75° and 51°

On this date in 1980, Nashville records a high of 90°, the latest date for a 90° reading ever.

Get out and enjoy this beautiful weekend!

Sunny Days Ahead

2008-10-09T06:56:00.000-05:00

After the fog clears this morning, most of us in Middle Tennessee will have a very nice, sunny day. Temperatures are expected to climb into the upper 70's.

Here is something really interesting. It is called the Foliage Color Report from the Foliage Network. Basically, it tells us what the colors are doing on the trees. Our area is in the 'low color' and sections west of Nashville are in the little/no change. I'll continue to post these as they are available.

*Latest, Local Forecast *

This week is "Fire Prevention Week "..the rains came at just the right time as our fire danger was very high during this nearly month of no rainfall.

On this date in 1980, Nashville hits 91° and Crossville sees 83° as both set record highs for October 9th.

Clearing Out Tonight (Beautiful Weekend Ahead)

2008-10-08T17:05:00.000-05:00

It is almost hard to believe it is Wednesday evening. This week seems to be flying by! We received another .33 inches of rain since 7 am. This gives us a storm total of more than an inch (1.04" to be exact). Expectations are for a few showers this evening as the front approaches.

*Latest Cookeville, TN Radar by Wunderground *

*Latest Cookeville, TN Weather Forecast *

We will have clearing skies tonight after frontal passage and expect a gorgeous day on Thursday in Middle Tennessee as temperatures will climb to middle 70's. We expect sunny skies all the way through Sunday with daytime highs reaching into the lower 80's and overnight lows in the upper 50's to near 60.

I was quite surprised to see more than 25 CoCoRaHS stations in Tennessee with 3+ inches of rainfall reported overnight. The rainfall is welcome relief for many people. Speaking of rain, on this date back in 1959, Nashville measures 2.93" for a 3-day total of 4.75". Thanks to the guys at the Nashville NWS for that information!

Rain Continues!

2008-10-08T06:35:00.001-05:00

I picked today's headline for a reason. Number one reason is because more is on the way. The number two reason is because it looks great as our headline! Especially when it has been almost a month without any decent rainfall.

Recorded .71" (as of 6:30 am) since the rain started yesterday afternoon. There are at least a dozen reports of 2+ inches of rainfall amounts here in Tennessee. I'm sure we'll see more reports come in over the next hour or two. You can go to the CoCoRaHS View Data site or click on Daily Rainfall Reports on the right side of this post to see your state.

*Latest, Local Forecast *

The weekend is looking great for Tennessee with sunshine-filled days and temperatures running in the 80's.

Late Tuesday Afternoon Update

2008-10-07T17:32:00.000-05:00

Just after 5:30 pm and we've received .10 in the CoCoRaHS rain gauge.

My Weather Station Live is back up and working thanks to our ISP. They were bringing our entire neighborhood online to a new internet server and since we already were on it, we got booted. Anyway, they got it fixed and all is well. I was offline about 24 hours.

More rain on the way...check our Latest, Local Forecast

Big Changes Today Through Thursday

2008-10-07T06:58:00.003-05:00

Big changes are on the horizon for Middle Tennessee. We've not seen many clouds, nor rain, in the last 30 days. Radar, however, indicates the rain is coming. Currently, it is located in West Tennessee with some bands developing out ahead of the main system. A complicated weather map is shown above.

*Latest Hazardous Weather Outlook* Take special note of the heavy rainfall along with potential wind gust of more than 50 mph.

*Latest, Local Forecast* 30% rain chances today, 80% tonight and 100% on Wednesday along with a big drop in temperatures.

Our weather rebounds nicely heading into the weekend with highs in the upper 70's to lower 80's under a mostly sunny sky!

My Weather Station Live is unavailable due to phone line/internet service issues. My service provider promises the situation will be resolved today. Let's hope so!

A big thanks to those of you who've contacted me via Facebook. Signed up for that this past weekend.

2008-10-06T20:58:00.001-05:00

Internet connection down tonight. Big chance for rain starting Tuesday evening. Check local forecast on the list to the right.
~Michael D.

Jerry Orchanian's Passing

2008-10-06T09:47:00.002-05:00

Jerry Orchanian, the warning coordinator, for the National Weather Service in Nashville passed away on Saturday, October 4th at the age of 61. His obituary here. Sign guestbook here. Jerry taught and trained Storm Spotters across Middle Tennessee.

Video Of Man Struck By Lightning!

2008-10-06T06:55:00.000-05:00

Mark Rose over at the Nashville National Weather Service's blog has that video. Incredible story!

Mid Week Rain Chances!

2008-10-05T22:30:00.001-05:00

This Week's Outlook
Indications are we (here in Cookeville, Tennessee) will see a system develop out west and move eastward during the first half of our upcoming work week. This should be bring us, here in Middle Tennessee, the best chance for rain in nearly a month.

Our 7 day forecast shows a 50% chance for rain on Tuesday night and on Wednesday. It's been three weeks since we recorded .27" back on September 15th.

The rain hangs around for Wednesday night and on Thursday. Temperatures during this work week will range from the low 80's during the first part of the week dropping into the 70's for the rest of the period.

October Climate Summary
October in Tennessee is usually dry and cool with a few warm days. The leaves begin their change and typically peak around the third weekend of the month.
Average Rainfall: 3.11" (since 1914)
October 2007: 2.24" (CoCoRaHS TN-PM-5)
Record October Rainfall: 11.15 (1919)
Average daily high during October is 71°
Average daily low is 43.8°
On this date (October 5th) in 1954, Crossville records a high of 86°
Last Year's October High: 86.8° on 10-8
Last Year's October Low: 35.5° on 10-29
Average Freeze Date is October 20th
Last Year's first one was November 3rd
Average 4 days per October where temperature is less than 32°

Our youngest daughter turns ONE on 10-10.

Fireproof Your Marriage!

2008-10-05T13:27:00.001-05:00

I highly recommend this movie to all married couples and even those couples who are engaged. Click on 'Watch Trailer'.....

Beautiful Sunday Ahead...

2008-10-04T23:01:00.002-05:00

Looks like we'll have fantastic weather for Sunday. High temperatures are expected to be in the 80's under sunny skies!

*Latest, Local Forecast*

Crazy weekend in football...

Vandy beats Auburn to go to 5-0..first time since 1943.

Tennessee squeaks by Northern Illinois 13-9...Fulmer's seat is hot, hot, hot.

Alabama beats Kentucky 17-14, but looks unimpressive

Florida ripped Arkansas 38-7, Petrino has a ways to go to build the Razorbacks.

USC drilled Oregon 44-10

My Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles struggled in their OVC game againt Eastern Kentucky tonight...losing 33-12. We made, uncharacteristically, a bunch of mental errors. Penalties, turnovers, incorrect decisions, and missed field goal and two extra points. Just an off night.

Hey, go to church on Sunday, if you can't make it, tune in on the web to Trinity Assembly in Algood, TN by going here...live services on the web at 8:30 and 10:30 CDT.

Enjoy the beautiful day!

Beautiful Saturday Ahead!

2008-10-04T09:12:00.000-05:00

Very nice this morning as I write this post. Temperatures will warm quickly under a sunny sky.

My wife and our teenager are at a class today at our church to learn how to make a quilt. I am home babysitting the munchkin!

Flipped over to ESPN at 9 central this morning and saw College Gameday LIVE from Nashville, TN and Vanderbilt University. Good ol' Vandy has come a long way. Congratulations to Coach Bobby Johnson and his squad for their great start. They face a tough Auburn team this evening.

*Latest, Local Forecast *

Enjoy your Saturday, I know I will!

Back Into The 30's Tonight (TTU Football Saturday)

2008-10-03T21:22:00.000-05:00

Temperatures by sunrise on Saturday morning will be in the upper 30's for a number of us in eastern Middle Tennessee. The warm days and cool nights are due to very dry air in place along with clear skies and cold, Canadian air filtering in to our region. We were about six degrees warmer this afternoon than on Thursday.

The weekend promises a warm up for all of us in Middle Tennessee. Upper 70's for highs on Saturday warming into the lower 80's on Sunday and again on Monday! We'll finally see some rain along about Wednesday lasting into Friday. Hopefully, this will be a good rainmaker.

*Latest, Local Forecast *

Our Cookeville High School Cavalier football team took a drubbing from Memphis University School tonight. The final was 42-0. I know Coach J, his staff, and players will regroup for next week's game. This is an excellent ball club and they'll bounce back and be ready to play. MUS is one of the top private schools in the state and has an excellent chance to win a state title this year.

Our Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles face Eastern Kentucky tomorrow evening. Kickoff is at 7 pm and the weather should be PERFECT for football. Kickoff temperature should be around 72° with temperatures falling into the 60's during the game. Tech is undefeated this year in the Ohio Valley Conference and 3-2 overall with the only two losses coming against Division 1 (or Bowl Championship Series) teams. I encourage everyone in our area to go out and support Coach Watson Brown and the Golden Eagle football team. Why drive over to Knoxville to watch UT when you can stay close to home and see better quality games!

Friday Weather Roundup

2008-10-03T06:22:00.000-05:00

We start off very cool this morning across Tennessee. At 6:15 am, several reporting stations across our fine state are reporting temperatures in the 30's. A partial list below...

Cookeville 33°
McMinnville & Lewisburg 36°
Portland & Gallatin 39°

Today will be another sunny day as high temperatures reach 74° here in Cookeville and warmer to our west. The Cookeville High School Cavalier football team travels to Memphis to play the Memphis University School team. MUS, like us, is undefeated this season. They are ranked 3rd in the state (in the private school division) while our Cavs are ranked 6th in the 5A division. Should be an excellent game and temperatures will be around 70° at kickoff. Go Cavaliers!

*Latest, Local Forecast *

A look back in Weather History...
On October 3, 1974...
An early autumn cold snap sends temperatures to record low values. Crossville checks in with 26 degrees. It is the 3rd of 4 consecutive daily record low temperatures.

Our friends at the National Weather Service in Nashville keep up with many interesting things. They provided a link to pictures of the Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coasts from Hurricane Ike. On their weather blog, which I enjoy, has a link to the USGS and it has even better pictures.

Enjoy this excellent Friday!!

Special Weather Statement

2008-10-02T22:34:00.002-05:00

Just before 10 pm, the National Weather Service in Nashville issued the following Special Weather Statement.

...PATCHY FROST EXPECTED IN THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU REGION AND NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE TONIGHT...

COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE TONIGHT. DRY AIR AND CALM WINDS WILL HELP TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE MID AND UPPER 30S ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...AND IN LOW LYING AREAS OF NORTHEAST MIDDLE TENNESSEE. AS A RESULT...PATCHY FROST IS EXPECTED TO FORM IN THESE AREAS.

SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

Cold This Morning Across Tennessee

2008-10-02T06:44:00.001-05:00

Temperatures this morning across Tennessee are in the upper 30's to lower 40's. It is the coldest air of the Autumn season thus far. We expect to warm to the upper 60's later this afternoon. Then, it's another cold overnight with 30's and 40's again!

*Latest, Local Forecast *

6 a.m. Observations
McMinnville, TN 35°
Crossville, TN 38°
Tri-Cities, TN 39°
My Station 40°

I'll be interested to see what our Cookeville NWS-COOP station reports as this morning's low.

Here is some Middle Tennessee Weather History...courtesy of my friends at the Nashville NWS

On October 2, 1974...
Crossville experiences its earliest freeze ever as the temperature dips to 31.
On October 2, 1984...
Temperature at Nashville drops to 32 -- the earliest freeze ever.
On October 2, 1986...
Crossville ties its record high for October with a reading of 86 degrees.

Have an excellent morning and enjoy this wonderful fall weather.

Welcome October (Autumn Weather, too)

2008-10-01T06:50:00.000-05:00

How about this start to October? It is 46° as I write this post. We expect 66° here in Middle Tennessee today and down in the lower 40's this evening and possibly in the 30's overnight Thursday into Friday morning! Look at the front on the map above sliding through the middle section of the US, that brings a reinforcement of the chilly air to the mid south.

*Latest, Local Forecast *

Leaves are changing quickly in our area and I promise to get out and take some quality photos.

See post below for some interesting September stats!

USA Today and End of Month Stats!

2008-09-30T22:16:00.003-05:00

Found out today that my blog picked up by USATODAY.com today. ~How cool is that?? I was REALLY surprised and it is kind of fun to know this weather blog was picked up on a site that large. A few days ago, Reuters.com picked up one of my posts along with the Chicago Sun-Times. Thanks to the folks at Blogburst.com for providing my content to these big-time visited websites. See the USA TODAY post here

Here is how September looked from my visitors. Visits to my blog were UP 118% and page views increased 122% versus September 2007. That is a very good trend. I appreciate you taking your time to visit my site.

INTERESTING RAINFALL NUMBERS
We measured 1.10" of rain at my CoCoRaHS station while our NWS-Coop station had just .31"....looking back over records going way, way back to 1914, here is how that .31" fits into the all-time records.

1. October 1924 0.00"
2. October 1963 0.00"
3. October 2000 0.08"
4. June 1936 0.09"
5. June 1984 0.21"
6. September 2008 0.31"

Quite interesting that it was the 6th driest month since records have been kept...(1914)

Rainfall for 2008 stands at 33.86" while we measured just 36.08" in all of 2007. I've measured 33.61" this year on my CoCoRaHS station.

All-time Driest Years (1914-Present)
1. 2007 36.08"
2. 1925 36.33"
3. 1930 38.53"
4. 1936 39.17"
5. 1924 40.05"
6. 1927 40.20

All-time Wettest Years
1. 1998 76.46"
2. 1973 72.32"
3. 1989 72.17"
4. 1964 70.36"
5. 1975 68.77"

Low Temps Keeping Getting Lowered!

2008-09-30T17:03:00.001-05:00

Welcome To October!! It is going to start out COOL...

Overnight lows in our 7-day forecast have been revised downward yet again. We're looking at 42° by Thursday morning just after daybreak and 41° for Friday morning at dawn. I'm thinking they could be tweaked down a few more degrees by tomorrow! Coldest air of the season by far.

Big Change Tonight Through The Weekend

2008-09-30T06:27:00.001-05:00

You'll notice a big change in temperatures as cold front #1 slipped through over night. Cold front #2 is expected to slide through early tomorrow and bring a reinforcement of the cool air from Canada. Right now, low temperatures for Wednesday and Thursday nights are expected in the 43-44° range, but I think they could be even cooler than that.

*Latest, Local Forecast *

We could sure use some rain as the drought continues to intensify over eastern sections of Middle Tennessee. Unless we receive some rainfall today, our monthly total at my CoCoRaHS Station will be just 1.10", while our NWS Coop Station here in Cookeville has recorded just .31"....

Weather Almanac for September 30th...
Average Hi: 77
Average Lo: 50
Record Hi: 91 (1941)
Record Lo: 34 (1967)
Record Rainfall 10.69" (1944)

On this date in 1964, Cookeville records 6.06" of rainfall...Smithville, to our southwest, records 6.35".

(edit: 8:00 am to include US Weather Map Graphic and correct my CoCoRaHS rain station total along with adding 'on this date' information)

Home For Lunch!

2008-09-29T12:49:00.000-05:00

Home for lunch on this beautiful Monday and my wife snapped this picture of myself (on right) and two daughters! :) Baby girl likes wearing big sister's glasses and big sister is wearing Mommy's glasses!

What a life! :)

Get Ready For Some Cool Weather

2008-09-28T22:12:00.000-05:00

(more on this in the post below)

Looking ahead to our workweek, I see some overnight lows in the 40's by midweek! As Davis Nolan over at News 2 (Nashville) say in his post "Are You Ready For Some REAL Fall Weather ?" 40's will seem really COLD! :)

*Latest, Local Forecast *

The cold weather ahead will be courtesy of two cold fronts headed our way. Typical highs and lows for this time of year are 78 and 51, so we'll be below normal later in the week.

Congratulations to our Tennessee Titans who beat the Minnesota Vikings today in Nashville at LP Field by the final of 30-17. Looking like the Titans are the real deal. Next up are the Baltimore Ravens and there is little love among these two squads.

Finally, got a chance this afternoon to see the movie "Fireproof " starring Kirk Cameron. INCREDIBLE is a word I can use to describe it. Early numbers show this movie in the TOP 5 in this weekend's box office receipts. There are some nut job movie reviewers out there who are trashing it for all the wrong reasons. If you're married or planning to marry one day, I'd encourage you to see it with your spouse. I hope all of you will fireproof your marriage. Our church will be conducting a six-week teaching series about fireproofing your marriage. I'll post more about it later.

Very Nice Weekend!

2008-09-27T13:12:00.000-05:00

While we have a 30% chance for rain today, the weekend will be quite nice as temperatures will be in the upper 70's for highs and 50's for lows.

*Latest, Local Forecast *

This is excellent weather for all of the football contests in our area. My 14 year old daughter and I attended our high school homecoming game last evening. Our Cookeville Cavaliers prevailed over the Cleveland Blue Raiders by the final score of 36 to 27. Cleveland came in ranked 4th in 4A while Cookeville was 9th in 5A.

Nice Weekend Ahead!

2008-09-26T07:11:00.003-05:00

It is finally Friday! We woke up to a sunshine-filled morning. Our good friend, Eddie who runs Jackson-West Tennessee weather, has peek at a cold snap coming next week.

View from the Cookeville Webcam

Been quite an eventful week around my home. My wife and baby daughter have been in Gatlinburg, TN with my in-laws. Our older daughter and myself have had to do everything ourselves!! I've had a very busy week at work and when you're in the advertising business and the economic climate isn't as vibrant as it could be, that can be a little stressful. Things for us, however, are good! Glory to GOD!! :)

* Latest, Local Forecast *

(TTU Freshman Tim Benford had 99 yds receiving and a touchdown.)

Our Tennessee Tech Golden Eagle football team defeated Central Methodist University's Eagles last night by the score of 47-19. Tech is now 3-2 on the season and 1-0 in the Ohio Valley Conference. The defense played very well (giving up just 6 of the 19 points) while the offense continues to find it's way.

We have a company outing today at work. Kind of fun heading to the office in shorts and a t-shirt!