tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-386231352009-06-04T09:45:42.084-07:00President PickerUSA Presidential Race. Polls, winners, losers, opinions, predictions.Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.comBlogger311125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-59443945051963861952009-06-04T09:44:00.000-07:002009-06-04T09:45:42.115-07:00Obama's Cairo Speech Transcript. June 2009THE WHITE HOUSE<br />Office of the Press Secretary<br />(Cairo, Egypt)<br />________________________________________________________________________<br />REMARKS BY THE PRESIDENT<br />ON A NEW BEGINNING<br />Cairo University<br />Cairo, Egypt<br />June 4, 2009<br />1:10 P.M. (Local)<br />PRESIDENT OBAMA: Thank you very much. Good afternoon. I am honored<br />to be in the timeless city of Cairo, and to be hosted by two remarkable institutions. For<br />over a thousand years, Al-Azhar has stood as a beacon of Islamic learning; and for over a<br />century, Cairo University has been a source of Egypt's advancement. And together, you<br />represent the harmony between tradition and progress. I'm grateful for your hospitality,<br />and the hospitality of the people of Egypt. And I'm also proud to carry with me the<br />goodwill of the American people, and a greeting of peace from Muslim communities in<br />my country: Assalaamu alaykum. (Applause.)<br />We meet at a time of great tension between the United States and Muslims around the<br />world -- tension rooted in historical forces that go beyond any current policy debate. The<br />relationship between Islam and the West includes centuries of coexistence and<br />cooperation, but also conflict and religious wars. More recently, tension has been fed by<br />colonialism that denied rights and opportunities to many Muslims, and a Cold War in<br />which Muslim-majority countries were too often treated as proxies without regard to their<br />own aspirations. Moreover, the sweeping change brought by modernity and globalization<br />led many Muslims to view the West as hostile to the traditions of Islam.<br />Violent extremists have exploited these tensions in a small but potent minority of<br />Muslims. The attacks of September 11, 2001 and the continued efforts of these<br />extremists to engage in violence against civilians has led some in my country to view<br />Islam as inevitably hostile not only to America and Western countries, but also to human<br />rights. All this has bred more fear and more mistrust.<br />So long as our relationship is defined by our differences, we will empower those who<br />sow hatred rather than peace, those who promote conflict rather than the cooperation that<br />can help all of our people achieve justice and prosperity. And this cycle of suspicion and<br />discord must end.<br />I've come here to Cairo to seek a new beginning between the United States and Muslims<br />around the world, one based on mutual interest and mutual respect, and one based upon<br />the truth that America and Islam are not exclusive and need not be in competition.<br />Instead, they overlap, and share common principles -- principles of justice and progress;<br />tolerance and the dignity of all human beings.<br />I do so recognizing that change cannot happen overnight. I know there's been a lot of<br />publicity about this speech, but no single speech can eradicate years of mistrust, nor can I<br />answer in the time that I have this afternoon all the complex questions that brought us to<br />this point. But I am convinced that in order to move forward, we must say openly to each<br />other the things we hold in our hearts and that too often are said only behind closed<br />doors. There must be a sustained effort to listen to each other; to learn from each other;<br />to respect one another; and to seek common ground. As the Holy Koran tells us, "Be<br />conscious of God and speak always the truth." (Applause.) That is what I will try to do<br />today -- to speak the truth as best I can, humbled by the task before us, and firm in my<br />belief that the interests we share as human beings are far more powerful than the forces<br />that drive us apart.<br />Now part of this conviction is rooted in my own experience. I'm a Christian, but my<br />father came from a Kenyan family that includes generations of Muslims. As a boy, I<br />spent several years in Indonesia and heard the call of the azaan at the break of dawn and<br />at the fall of dusk. As a young man, I worked in Chicago communities where many<br />found dignity and peace in their Muslim faith.<br />As a student of history, I also know civilization's debt to Islam. It was Islam -- at places<br />like Al-Azhar -- that carried the light of learning through so many centuries, paving the<br />way for Europe's Renaissance and Enlightenment. It was innovation in Muslim<br />communities -- (applause) -- it was innovation in Muslim communities that developed the<br />order of algebra; our magnetic compass and tools of navigation; our mastery of pens and<br />printing; our understanding of how disease spreads and how it can be healed. Islamic<br />culture has given us majestic arches and soaring spires; timeless poetry and cherished<br />music; elegant calligraphy and places of peaceful contemplation. And throughout<br />history, Islam has demonstrated through words and deeds the possibilities of religious<br />tolerance and racial equality. (Applause.)<br />I also know that Islam has always been a part of America's story. The first nation to<br />recognize my country was Morocco. In signing the Treaty of Tripoli in 1796, our second<br />President, John Adams, wrote, "The United States has in itself no character of enmity<br />against the laws, religion or tranquility of Muslims." And since our founding, American<br />Muslims have enriched the United States. They have fought in our wars, they have<br />served in our government, they have stood for civil rights, they have started businesses,<br />they have taught at our universities, they've excelled in our sports arenas, they've won<br />Nobel Prizes, built our tallest building, and lit the Olympic Torch. And when the first<br />Muslim American was recently elected to Congress, he took the oath to defend our<br />Constitution using the same Holy Koran that one of our Founding Fathers -- Thomas<br />Jefferson -- kept in his personal library. (Applause.)<br />So I have known Islam on three continents before coming to the region where it was first<br />revealed. That experience guides my conviction that partnership between America and<br />Islam must be based on what Islam is, not what it isn't. And I consider it part of my<br />responsibility as President of the United States to fight against negative stereotypes of<br />Islam wherever they appear. (Applause.)<br />But that same principle must apply to Muslim perceptions of America. (Applause.) Just<br />as Muslims do not fit a crude stereotype, America is not the crude stereotype of a selfinterested<br />empire. The United States has been one of the greatest sources of progress that<br />the world has ever known. We were born out of revolution against an empire. We were<br />founded upon the ideal that all are created equal, and we have shed blood and struggled<br />for centuries to give meaning to those words -- within our borders, and around the world.<br />We are shaped by every culture, drawn from every end of the Earth, and dedicated to a<br />simple concept: E pluribus unum -- "Out of many, one."<br />Now, much has been made of the fact that an African American with the name Barack<br />Hussein Obama could be elected President. (Applause.) But my personal story is not so<br />unique. The dream of opportunity for all people has not come true for everyone in<br />America, but its promise exists for all who come to our shores -- and that includes nearly<br />7 million American Muslims in our country today who, by the way, enjoy incomes and<br />educational levels that are higher than the American average. (Applause.)<br />Moreover, freedom in America is indivisible from the freedom to practice one's religion.<br />That is why there is a mosque in every state in our union, and over 1,200 mosques within<br />our borders. That's why the United States government has gone to court to protect the<br />right of women and girls to wear the hijab and to punish those who would deny it.<br />(Applause.)<br />So let there be no doubt: Islam is a part of America. And I believe that America holds<br />within her the truth that regardless of race, religion, or station in life, all of us share<br />common aspirations -- to live in peace and security; to get an education and to work with<br />dignity; to love our families, our communities, and our God. These things we share.<br />This is the hope of all humanity.<br />Of course, recognizing our common humanity is only the beginning of our task. Words<br />alone cannot meet the needs of our people. These needs will be met only if we act boldly<br />in the years ahead; and if we understand that the challenges we face are shared, and our<br />failure to meet them will hurt us all.<br />For we have learned from recent experience that when a financial system weakens in one<br />country, prosperity is hurt everywhere. When a new flu infects one human being, all are<br />at risk. When one nation pursues a nuclear weapon, the risk of nuclear attack rises for all<br />nations. When violent extremists operate in one stretch of mountains, people are<br />endangered across an ocean. When innocents in Bosnia and Darfur are slaughtered, that<br />is a stain on our collective conscience. (Applause.) That is what it means to share this<br />world in the 21st century. That is the responsibility we have to one another as human<br />beings.<br />And this is a difficult responsibility to embrace. For human history has often been a<br />record of nations and tribes -- and, yes, religions -- subjugating one another in pursuit of<br />their own interests. Yet in this new age, such attitudes are self-defeating. Given our<br />interdependence, any world order that elevates one nation or group of people over<br />another will inevitably fail. So whatever we think of the past, we must not be prisoners<br />to it. Our problems must be dealt with through partnership; our progress must be shared.<br />(Applause.)<br />Now, that does not mean we should ignore sources of tension. Indeed, it suggests the<br />opposite: We must face these tensions squarely. And so in that spirit, let me speak as<br />clearly and as plainly as I can about some specific issues that I believe we must finally<br />confront together.<br />The first issue that we have to confront is violent extremism in all of its forms.<br />In Ankara, I made clear that America is not -- and never will be -- at war with Islam.<br />(Applause.) We will, however, relentlessly confront violent extremists who pose a grave<br />threat to our security -- because we reject the same thing that people of all faiths reject:<br />the killing of innocent men, women, and children. And it is my first duty as President to<br />protect the American people.<br />The situation in Afghanistan demonstrates America's goals, and our need to work<br />together. Over seven years ago, the United States pursued al Qaeda and the Taliban with<br />broad international support. We did not go by choice; we went because of necessity. I'm<br />aware that there's still some who would question or even justify the events of 9/11. But<br />let us be clear: Al Qaeda killed nearly 3,000 people on that day. The victims were<br />innocent men, women and children from America and many other nations who had done<br />nothing to harm anybody. And yet al Qaeda chose to ruthlessly murder these people,<br />claimed credit for the attack, and even now states their determination to kill on a massive<br />scale. They have affiliates in many countries and are trying to expand their reach. These<br />are not opinions to be debated; these are facts to be dealt with.<br />Now, make no mistake: We do not want to keep our troops in Afghanistan. We see no<br />military -- we seek no military bases there. It is agonizing for America to lose our young<br />men and women. It is costly and politically difficult to continue this conflict. We would<br />gladly bring every single one of our troops home if we could be confident that there were<br />not violent extremists in Afghanistan and now Pakistan determined to kill as many<br />Americans as they possibly can. But that is not yet the case.<br />And that's why we're partnering with a coalition of 46 countries. And despite the costs<br />involved, America's commitment will not weaken. Indeed, none of us should tolerate<br />these extremists. They have killed in many countries. They have killed people of<br />different faiths -- but more than any other, they have killed Muslims. Their actions are<br />irreconcilable with the rights of human beings, the progress of nations, and with Islam.<br />The Holy Koran teaches that whoever kills an innocent is as -- it is as if he has killed all<br />mankind. (Applause.) And the Holy Koran also says whoever saves a person, it is as if<br />he has saved all mankind. (Applause.) The enduring faith of over a billion people is so<br />much bigger than the narrow hatred of a few. Islam is not part of the problem in<br />combating violent extremism -- it is an important part of promoting peace.<br />Now, we also know that military power alone is not going to solve the problems in<br />Afghanistan and Pakistan. That's why we plan to invest $1.5 billion each year over the<br />next five years to partner with Pakistanis to build schools and hospitals, roads and<br />businesses, and hundreds of millions to help those who've been displaced. That's why we<br />are providing more than $2.8 billion to help Afghans develop their economy and deliver<br />services that people depend on.<br />Let me also address the issue of Iraq. Unlike Afghanistan, Iraq was a war of choice that<br />provoked strong differences in my country and around the world. Although I believe that<br />the Iraqi people are ultimately better off without the tyranny of Saddam Hussein, I also<br />believe that events in Iraq have reminded America of the need to use diplomacy and build<br />international consensus to resolve our problems whenever possible. (Applause.) Indeed,<br />we can recall the words of Thomas Jefferson, who said: "I hope that our wisdom will<br />grow with our power, and teach us that the less we use our power the greater it will be."<br />Today, America has a dual responsibility: to help Iraq forge a better future -- and to<br />leave Iraq to Iraqis. And I have made it clear to the Iraqi people -- (applause) -- I have<br />made it clear to the Iraqi people that we pursue no bases, and no claim on their territory<br />or resources. Iraq's sovereignty is its own. And that's why I ordered the removal of our<br />combat brigades by next August. That is why we will honor our agreement with Iraq's<br />democratically elected government to remove combat troops from Iraqi cities by July,<br />and to remove all of our troops from Iraq by 2012. (Applause.) We will help Iraq train<br />its security forces and develop its economy. But we will support a secure and united Iraq<br />as a partner, and never as a patron.<br />And finally, just as America can never tolerate violence by extremists, we must never<br />alter or forget our principles. Nine-eleven was an enormous trauma to our country. The<br />fear and anger that it provoked was understandable, but in some cases, it led us to act<br />contrary to our traditions and our ideals. We are taking concrete actions to change<br />course. I have unequivocally prohibited the use of torture by the United States, and I<br />have ordered the prison at Guantanamo Bay closed by early next year. (Applause.)<br />So America will defend itself, respectful of the sovereignty of nations and the rule of law.<br />And we will do so in partnership with Muslim communities which are also threatened.<br />The sooner the extremists are isolated and unwelcome in Muslim communities, the<br />sooner we will all be safer.<br />The second major source of tension that we need to discuss is the situation between<br />Israelis, Palestinians and the Arab world.<br />America's strong bonds with Israel are well known. This bond is unbreakable. It is based<br />upon cultural and historical ties, and the recognition that the aspiration for a Jewish<br />homeland is rooted in a tragic history that cannot be denied.<br />Around the world, the Jewish people were persecuted for centuries, and anti-Semitism in<br />Europe culminated in an unprecedented Holocaust. Tomorrow, I will visit Buchenwald,<br />which was part of a network of camps where Jews were enslaved, tortured, shot and<br />gassed to death by the Third Reich. Six million Jews were killed -- more than the entire<br />Jewish population of Israel today. Denying that fact is baseless, it is ignorant, and it is<br />hateful. Threatening Israel with destruction -- or repeating vile stereotypes about Jews --<br />is deeply wrong, and only serves to evoke in the minds of Israelis this most painful of<br />memories while preventing the peace that the people of this region deserve.<br />On the other hand, it is also undeniable that the Palestinian people -- Muslims and<br />Christians -- have suffered in pursuit of a homeland. For more than 60 years they've<br />endured the pain of dislocation. Many wait in refugee camps in the West Bank, Gaza,<br />and neighboring lands for a life of peace and security that they have never been able to<br />lead. They endure the daily humiliations -- large and small -- that come with occupation.<br />So let there be no doubt: The situation for the Palestinian people is intolerable. And<br />America will not turn our backs on the legitimate Palestinian aspiration for dignity,<br />opportunity, and a state of their own. (Applause.)<br />For decades then, there has been a stalemate: two peoples with legitimate aspirations,<br />each with a painful history that makes compromise elusive. It's easy to point fingers --<br />for Palestinians to point to the displacement brought about by Israel's founding, and for<br />Israelis to point to the constant hostility and attacks throughout its history from within its<br />borders as well as beyond. But if we see this conflict only from one side or the other,<br />then we will be blind to the truth: The only resolution is for the aspirations of both sides<br />to be met through two states, where Israelis and Palestinians each live in peace and<br />security. (Applause.)<br />That is in Israel's interest, Palestine's interest, America's interest, and the world's interest.<br />And that is why I intend to personally pursue this outcome with all the patience and<br />dedication that the task requires. (Applause.) The obligations -- the obligations that the<br />parties have agreed to under the road map are clear. For peace to come, it is time for<br />them -- and all of us -- to live up to our responsibilities.<br />Palestinians must abandon violence. Resistance through violence and killing is wrong<br />and it does not succeed. For centuries, black people in America suffered the lash of the<br />whip as slaves and the humiliation of segregation. But it was not violence that won full<br />and equal rights. It was a peaceful and determined insistence upon the ideals at the center<br />of America's founding. This same story can be told by people from South Africa to<br />South Asia; from Eastern Europe to Indonesia. It's a story with a simple truth: that<br />violence is a dead end. It is a sign neither of courage nor power to shoot rockets at<br />sleeping children, or to blow up old women on a bus. That's not how moral authority is<br />claimed; that's how it is surrendered.<br />Now is the time for Palestinians to focus on what they can build. The Palestinian<br />Authority must develop its capacity to govern, with institutions that serve the needs of its<br />people. Hamas does have support among some Palestinians, but they also have to<br />recognize they have responsibilities. To play a role in fulfilling Palestinian aspirations, to<br />unify the Palestinian people, Hamas must put an end to violence, recognize past<br />agreements, recognize Israel's right to exist.<br />At the same time, Israelis must acknowledge that just as Israel's right to exist cannot be<br />denied, neither can Palestine's. The United States does not accept the legitimacy of<br />continued Israeli settlements. (Applause.) This construction violates previous<br />agreements and undermines efforts to achieve peace. It is time for these settlements to<br />stop. (Applause.)<br />And Israel must also live up to its obligation to ensure that Palestinians can live and work<br />and develop their society. Just as it devastates Palestinian families, the continuing<br />humanitarian crisis in Gaza does not serve Israel's security; neither does the continuing<br />lack of opportunity in the West Bank. Progress in the daily lives of the Palestinian people<br />must be a critical part of a road to peace, and Israel must take concrete steps to enable<br />such progress.<br />And finally, the Arab states must recognize that the Arab Peace Initiative was an<br />important beginning, but not the end of their responsibilities. The Arab-Israeli conflict<br />should no longer be used to distract the people of Arab nations from other problems.<br />Instead, it must be a cause for action to help the Palestinian people develop the<br />institutions that will sustain their state, to recognize Israel's legitimacy, and to choose<br />progress over a self-defeating focus on the past.<br />America will align our policies with those who pursue peace, and we will say in public<br />what we say in private to Israelis and Palestinians and Arabs. (Applause.) We cannot<br />impose peace. But privately, many Muslims recognize that Israel will not go away.<br />Likewise, many Israelis recognize the need for a Palestinian state. It is time for us to act<br />on what everyone knows to be true.<br />Too many tears have been shed. Too much blood has been shed. All of us have a<br />responsibility to work for the day when the mothers of Israelis and Palestinians can see<br />their children grow up without fear; when the Holy Land of the three great faiths is the<br />place of peace that God intended it to be; when Jerusalem is a secure and lasting home<br />for Jews and Christians and Muslims, and a place for all of the children of Abraham to<br />mingle peacefully together as in the story of Isra -- (applause) -- as in the story of Isra,<br />when Moses, Jesus, and Mohammed, peace be upon them, joined in prayer. (Applause.)<br />The third source of tension is our shared interest in the rights and responsibilities of<br />nations on nuclear weapons.<br />This issue has been a source of tension between the United States and the Islamic<br />Republic of Iran. For many years, Iran has defined itself in part by its opposition to my<br />country, and there is in fact a tumultuous history between us. In the middle of the Cold<br />War, the United States played a role in the overthrow of a democratically elected Iranian<br />government. Since the Islamic Revolution, Iran has played a role in acts of hostagetaking<br />and violence against U.S. troops and civilians. This history is well known. Rather<br />than remain trapped in the past, I've made it clear to Iran's leaders and people that my<br />country is prepared to move forward. The question now is not what Iran is against, but<br />rather what future it wants to build.<br />I recognize it will be hard to overcome decades of mistrust, but we will proceed with<br />courage, rectitude, and resolve. There will be many issues to discuss between our two<br />countries, and we are willing to move forward without preconditions on the basis of<br />mutual respect. But it is clear to all concerned that when it comes to nuclear weapons,<br />we have reached a decisive point. This is not simply about America's interests. It's about<br />preventing a nuclear arms race in the Middle East that could lead this region and the<br />world down a hugely dangerous path.<br />I understand those who protest that some countries have weapons that others do not. No<br />single nation should pick and choose which nation holds nuclear weapons. And that's<br />why I strongly reaffirmed America's commitment to seek a world in which no nations<br />hold nuclear weapons. (Applause.) And any nation -- including Iran -- should have the<br />right to access peaceful nuclear power if it complies with its responsibilities under the<br />nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. That commitment is at the core of the treaty, and it<br />must be kept for all who fully abide by it. And I'm hopeful that all countries in the region<br />can share in this goal.<br />The fourth issue that I will address is democracy. (Applause.)<br />I know -- I know there has been controversy about the promotion of democracy in recent<br />years, and much of this controversy is connected to the war in Iraq. So let me be clear:<br />No system of government can or should be imposed by one nation by any other.<br />That does not lessen my commitment, however, to governments that reflect the will of the<br />people. Each nation gives life to this principle in its own way, grounded in the traditions<br />of its own people. America does not presume to know what is best for everyone, just as<br />we would not presume to pick the outcome of a peaceful election. But I do have an<br />unyielding belief that all people yearn for certain things: the ability to speak your mind<br />and have a say in how you are governed; confidence in the rule of law and the equal<br />administration of justice; government that is transparent and doesn't steal from the<br />people; the freedom to live as you choose. These are not just American ideas; they are<br />human rights. And that is why we will support them everywhere. (Applause.)<br />Now, there is no straight line to realize this promise. But this much is clear:<br />Governments that protect these rights are ultimately more stable, successful and secure.<br />Suppressing ideas never succeeds in making them go away. America respects the right of<br />all peaceful and law-abiding voices to be heard around the world, even if we disagree<br />with them. And we will welcome all elected, peaceful governments -- provided they<br />govern with respect for all their people.<br />This last point is important because there are some who advocate for democracy only<br />when they're out of power; once in power, they are ruthless in suppressing the rights of<br />others. (Applause.) So no matter where it takes hold, government of the people and by<br />the people sets a single standard for all who would hold power: You must maintain your<br />power through consent, not coercion; you must respect the rights of minorities, and<br />participate with a spirit of tolerance and compromise; you must place the interests of your<br />people and the legitimate workings of the political process above your party. Without<br />these ingredients, elections alone do not make true democracy.<br />AUDIENCE MEMBER: Barack Obama, we love you!<br />PRESIDENT OBAMA: Thank you. (Applause.) The fifth issue that we must address<br />together is religious freedom.<br />Islam has a proud tradition of tolerance. We see it in the history of Andalusia and<br />Cordoba during the Inquisition. I saw it firsthand as a child in Indonesia, where devout<br />Christians worshiped freely in an overwhelmingly Muslim country. That is the spirit we<br />need today. People in every country should be free to choose and live their faith based<br />upon the persuasion of the mind and the heart and the soul. This tolerance is essential for<br />religion to thrive, but it's being challenged in many different ways.<br />Among some Muslims, there's a disturbing tendency to measure one's own faith by the<br />rejection of somebody else's faith. The richness of religious diversity must be upheld --<br />whether it is for Maronites in Lebanon or the Copts in Egypt. (Applause.) And if we are<br />being honest, fault lines must be closed among Muslims, as well, as the divisions<br />between Sunni and Shia have led to tragic violence, particularly in Iraq.<br />Freedom of religion is central to the ability of peoples to live together. We must always<br />examine the ways in which we protect it. For instance, in the United States, rules on<br />charitable giving have made it harder for Muslims to fulfill their religious obligation.<br />That's why I'm committed to working with American Muslims to ensure that they can<br />fulfill zakat.<br />Likewise, it is important for Western countries to avoid impeding Muslim citizens from<br />practicing religion as they see fit -- for instance, by dictating what clothes a Muslim<br />woman should wear. We can't disguise hostility towards any religion behind the pretence<br />of liberalism.<br />In fact, faith should bring us together. And that's why we're forging service projects in<br />America to bring together Christians, Muslims, and Jews. That's why we welcome<br />efforts like Saudi Arabian King Abdullah's interfaith dialogue and Turkey's leadership in<br />the Alliance of Civilizations. Around the world, we can turn dialogue into interfaith<br />service, so bridges between peoples lead to action -- whether it is combating malaria in<br />Africa, or providing relief after a natural disaster.<br />The sixth issue -- the sixth issue that I want to address is women's rights. (Applause.) I<br />know –- I know -- and you can tell from this audience, that there is a healthy debate about<br />this issue. I reject the view of some in the West that a woman who chooses to cover her<br />hair is somehow less equal, but I do believe that a woman who is denied an education is<br />denied equality. (Applause.) And it is no coincidence that countries where women are<br />well educated are far more likely to be prosperous.<br />Now, let me be clear: Issues of women's equality are by no means simply an issue for<br />Islam. In Turkey, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Indonesia, we've seen Muslim-majority<br />countries elect a woman to lead. Meanwhile, the struggle for women's equality continues<br />in many aspects of American life, and in countries around the world.<br />I am convinced that our daughters can contribute just as much to society as our sons.<br />(Applause.) Our common prosperity will be advanced by allowing all humanity -- men<br />and women -- to reach their full potential. I do not believe that women must make the<br />same choices as men in order to be equal, and I respect those women who choose to live<br />their lives in traditional roles. But it should be their choice. And that is why the United<br />States will partner with any Muslim-majority country to support expanded literacy for<br />girls, and to help young women pursue employment through micro-financing that helps<br />people live their dreams. (Applause.)<br />Finally, I want to discuss economic development and opportunity.<br />I know that for many, the face of globalization is contradictory. The Internet and<br />television can bring knowledge and information, but also offensive sexuality and<br />mindless violence into the home. Trade can bring new wealth and opportunities, but also<br />huge disruptions and change in communities. In all nations -- including America -- this<br />change can bring fear. Fear that because of modernity we lose control over our economic<br />choices, our politics, and most importantly our identities -- those things we most cherish<br />about our communities, our families, our traditions, and our faith.<br />But I also know that human progress cannot be denied. There need not be contradictions<br />between development and tradition. Countries like Japan and South Korea grew their<br />economies enormously while maintaining distinct cultures. The same is true for the<br />astonishing progress within Muslim-majority countries from Kuala Lumpur to Dubai. In<br />ancient times and in our times, Muslim communities have been at the forefront of<br />innovation and education.<br />And this is important because no development strategy can be based only upon what<br />comes out of the ground, nor can it be sustained while young people are out of work.<br />Many Gulf states have enjoyed great wealth as a consequence of oil, and some are<br />beginning to focus it on broader development. But all of us must recognize that<br />education and innovation will be the currency of the 21st century -- (applause) -- and in<br />too many Muslim communities, there remains underinvestment in these areas. I'm<br />emphasizing such investment within my own country. And while America in the past has<br />focused on oil and gas when it comes to this part of the world, we now seek a broader<br />engagement.<br />On education, we will expand exchange programs, and increase scholarships, like the one<br />that brought my father to America. (Applause.) At the same time, we will encourage<br />more Americans to study in Muslim communities. And we will match promising Muslim<br />students with internships in America; invest in online learning for teachers and children<br />around the world; and create a new online network, so a young person in Kansas can<br />communicate instantly with a young person in Cairo.<br />On economic development, we will create a new corps of business volunteers to partner<br />with counterparts in Muslim-majority countries. And I will host a Summit on<br />Entrepreneurship this year to identify how we can deepen ties between business leaders,<br />foundations and social entrepreneurs in the United States and Muslim communities<br />around the world.<br />On science and technology, we will launch a new fund to support technological<br />development in Muslim-majority countries, and to help transfer ideas to the marketplace<br />so they can create more jobs. We'll open centers of scientific excellence in Africa, the<br />Middle East and Southeast Asia, and appoint new science envoys to collaborate on<br />programs that develop new sources of energy, create green jobs, digitize records, clean<br />water, grow new crops. Today I'm announcing a new global effort with the Organization<br />of the Islamic Conference to eradicate polio. And we will also expand partnerships with<br />Muslim communities to promote child and maternal health.<br />All these things must be done in partnership. Americans are ready to join with citizens<br />and governments; community organizations, religious leaders, and businesses in Muslim<br />communities around the world to help our people pursue a better life.<br />The issues that I have described will not be easy to address. But we have a responsibility<br />to join together on behalf of the world that we seek -- a world where extremists no longer<br />threaten our people, and American troops have come home; a world where Israelis and<br />Palestinians are each secure in a state of their own, and nuclear energy is used for<br />peaceful purposes; a world where governments serve their citizens, and the rights of all<br />God's children are respected. Those are mutual interests. That is the world we seek. But<br />we can only achieve it together.<br />I know there are many -- Muslim and non-Muslim -- who question whether we can forge<br />this new beginning. Some are eager to stoke the flames of division, and to stand in the<br />way of progress. Some suggest that it isn't worth the effort -- that we are fated to<br />disagree, and civilizations are doomed to clash. Many more are simply skeptical that real<br />change can occur. There's so much fear, so much mistrust that has built up over the<br />years. But if we choose to be bound by the past, we will never move forward. And I<br />want to particularly say this to young people of every faith, in every country -- you, more<br />than anyone, have the ability to reimagine the world, to remake this world.<br />All of us share this world for but a brief moment in time. The question is whether we<br />spend that time focused on what pushes us apart, or whether we commit ourselves to an<br />effort -- a sustained effort -- to find common ground, to focus on the future we seek for<br />our children, and to respect the dignity of all human beings.<br />It's easier to start wars than to end them. It's easier to blame others than to look inward.<br />It's easier to see what is different about someone than to find the things we share. But we<br />should choose the right path, not just the easy path. There's one rule that lies at the heart<br />of every religion -- that we do unto others as we would have them do unto us.<br />(Applause.) This truth transcends nations and peoples -- a belief that isn't new; that isn't<br />black or white or brown; that isn't Christian or Muslim or Jew. It's a belief that pulsed in<br />the cradle of civilization, and that still beats in the hearts of billions around the world. It's<br />a faith in other people, and it's what brought me here today.<br />We have the power to make the world we seek, but only if we have the courage to make a<br />new beginning, keeping in mind what has been written.<br />The Holy Koran tells us: "O mankind! We have created you male and a female; and we<br />have made you into nations and tribes so that you may know one another."<br />The Talmud tells us: "The whole of the Torah is for the purpose of promoting peace."<br />The Holy Bible tells us: "Blessed are the peacemakers, for they shall be called sons of<br />God." (Applause.)<br />The people of the world can live together in peace. We know that is God's vision. Now<br />that must be our work here on Earth.<br />Thank you. And may God's peace be upon you. Thank you very much. Thank you.<br />(Applause.)<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-5944394505196386195?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-90785043842174809652009-04-28T20:07:00.001-07:002009-04-28T20:17:51.490-07:00Stop Torturing Obama's Torture PoliciesI read the Krugman critique of how gently Obama is handling the torture issue but I basically disagree with him, and remain supportive of Obama on how he's moving ahead with this. I do think his basic plan is to delegate a process for handling this that leaves him out of direct decisions - perhaps through the duration of the process. But I'm sympathetic to Obama's reluctance to tackle prosecutions of the lower level people or to vigorously explore the renditions abuses and crimes. The moral good of doing that is reasonably weighed against the costs - how this could make decisions of huge consequence to millions even harder for Obama if he's embroiled in prosecuting his previous administration's policymakers. <br /><br />Legal systems are not rigid and few would support the police tracking down every violation without any regard to the consequences of those prosecutions. It is appropriate to work towards fixing systemic abuses that create a climate and system where torture happens. That has been done, and was a top Obama priority. It's another thing to become so concerned with prosecuting wrongdoing in one area that you lose track of the far greater threats and solutions such as nation building in the Iraq we partly destroyed, peacemaking in Gaza and future Palestinian "two state solution" lands we have allowed to be destroyed with a misguided Israel policy. Obama's election was to many in the Arab world a huge and powerful statement by the US that the Bush policies were unacceptable to the USA people and changes would come soon. <br /><br />Strategically I think getting bogged down with torture prosecutions will weaken our chances for change there with questionable corresponding benefits. <br /> <b><br />The key torture issue point: We should proceed with the current Obama policies of "no torture", no renditions, and a slow close of Guantanamo.</b> <br /><br />In terms of "looking back" I would argue that the GW administration criminal activity never rose to anything like the levels we see in many countries on a daily basis, and I think that is an extremely relevant point when you want to bring in appropriate accountability to past administrations. We want and need a vibrant, accountable, flexible, intelligent, relevant, effective government structure. Therefore I don't think it's in the best interests of the long term viability of the system to focus so heavily on small numbers of policy abuses that remained confined to small numbers of people were generally posing a realistic potential of catastrophic threats. It *matters* that the people who were illegally abused posed potentially catastrophic risk to national security. Although I agree with those including Obama and McCain who say torture comes with a moral hazard so great we should not use it *even if it would provide relevant information* as some interrogation experts believe it does under some circumstances. <br /><br />However the incidents of torture generally seem to fall into the realm of warfare where all the participants implicitly agree that problems were going to happen. It's functional for a society to apply rules of law to those who hate that system, but it's not functional (in fact it is dangerous) to have more than trivial sympathy for those that seek to utterly destroy it. There is a real terror threat and I'm alarmed by how many people think this is simply a neoconservative fiction. I think the basic anti-power argument leans way too far in the direction of holding Obama to unsustainable standards of behavior where we spend so much money and time preserving the liberties of those who threaten us so dangerously.<br /><br />Perhaps more importantly I think many executive decisions are complicated and dynamic enough that they should be made using the collective and often kind of messy processes we tend to use rather than by trying to focus narrowly and exclusively on these crimes when there are *millions of crimes* every day, many of which are against completely innocent and vulnerable parties who are far more deserving of our concerns than terror masterminds. This last point is very important, because there is a very odd tendency for people to get so wrapped up in their particular concerns they forget that the whole point of a legal system is to basically protect society from itself. Legal systems protect the overall system - they preserve rights of those who need protection. <br /><br />Too often people see the legal system / constitution / courts as a way to try to impose their views rather than as a process to make the necessary decisions about how to hold people accountable. Good systems are not rigid - they are flexible and adapt in ways that trend towards functional societies. A great example of this in action is the US long, ongoing struggles to bring racial equality. We've moved from diabolical (yet arguably "constitutional") rules that allowed slavery to affirmative action rules that are now under fire for creating reverse discrimination. In this case and many others there has been huge progress in the direction that supports broader human rights and higher functioning social systems.<br /><br />As Tim Geitner was pointing out during his congressional testimony about the TARP plan it is always imperative to ask "compared to what" when you are evaluating various options or working to bring systemic accountability. <br /><br />Critics will always focus narrowly on defects, missing the healthy forest for the defective trees. Judging the functionality of the entire US system based on the fact that policy makers allowed and facilitated the torture of a small number of people is not appropriate. It's certainly appropriate to investigate how this happened, who approved it,, etc, and we're doing that now. <br /><br />Although clearly we cannot pick and choose the recipients of legal protection I think we should almost always work harder and worry more about protecting little children than terrorists or even just terror suspects. Even though the legal issues are pretty much the same, the police and neighbors will very correctly will work harder to find an 8 year old missing from a playground than a 30 year old man missing from a late night bar crawl. We can't apply all the rules without regard to the context, yet critics love to ignore the terrorism context as if the stakes are much lower than any reasonable interpretation suggests. Even though my personal view is that the moral hazards of institutionalized torture are too high to bear I think those who think otherwise are not evil or psychopathic - they are doing a different moral calculation that suggests different results than mine does. <br /> <br />Why don't we focus on low hanging fruit solutions with huge ROI and little potential for undermining systems rather than the complex, high level abstractions that are the cornerstone of debates over executive branch high crimes, low crimes, and misdemeanors?<br /><br />Tangential point before people go off on some of the Neoconesque points above: I am discussing torture policy - something I do not think is very important in the broad scheme of things. In my view our bad policy has now been fixed - score a basket for Obama and move on to the economic and foreign policy items that threaten everybody's life and way of life for decades to come. <br /><br />I'm FAR more concerned in the irrationality and abysmally low ROI of the whole "fight terrorism" and military show which Obama and the new Democratic cabal is continuing with only relatively minor modifications. Our approx 580 billion on defense - some ten trillion over the past and next decade - is mostly money wasted in the pursuit of an unattainable level of security and stability the foolish electorate demands and Govt pretends is possible with more reckless spending in all sectors. This is NOT for the naive reasons the granola crowd has foolishly espoused - basically that we can negotiate our way out of trouble and use love and understanding against the bad guys - rather it's for the practical reason that protecting a life using a tank strategy costs 100-1000x as much as saving one using oral rehydration therapy. <br /><br />However I'm going to remain optimistic that the Obama Afghanistan policy will bring a lot more butter to bear with the guns we are sending there now.<br /><br />Personally I have seen little reason (though this is a very debatable point) to think global stability has been enhanced by our spending and arguably the terror biz has thrived far more and been directed at us far more because of our Israel policies than if we'd stayed out of that multi-millenniel mess. Interesting counterpoint was made recently - I think by Zbigniew Brzezinski - that despite lack of stability in Pakistan and middle east, Africa the world was no longer poised on the brink of apocalyptic destruction as we were during the USSR USA cold war. Something that's really been intriguing me lately are the merits of an idea I do NOT subscribe to - that our massive military has in fact stabilized a world that otherwise might have been subject to even more wars and hardships if we'd been isolationists. <br /><br />The stability-enhancement-by-massive-military-spending case is stronger for the new stability of the USSR USA China connections than for the third world where conditions are often worse in peace time than ours would be in a war. Therefore I remain convinced history will judge the developed world harshly - not at all for our terror and rights policies which are by constrast with developing world exceptional - but for our lack of concern and lack of engagement with the billions who suffer from basic needs. NOT because US capitalism has exploited them and stolen their water and food but because it has *ignored them* and allowed their shitty economic systems and corrupt leaders to keep them out of entrepreneurial capitalism - the only game that is likely to bring them even a modest level of prosperity.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-9078504384217480965?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-1035651769314426522009-03-25T11:09:00.000-07:002009-03-25T11:48:30.266-07:00President Obama: Open for QuestionsUpdate: I've had a chance to play around at this site and it's exceptional as you get to vote on which questions will be answered by the president. This is a brilliant use of "crowd sourcing" public opinion although it's unfortunate that Obama critics probably won't use the site much. Still, this is a great way to involve the public and "cut out" the media middlemen who all too often fail to ask the most relevant questions.<br /><br />Would the founders have loved this? You've got to bet they would have! <br /><br />In another exceptional move to open up the dialog between Government and the governed, President Obama will directly answer questions posed online at the "Open for Questions" website. <span style="font-weight: bold;"><br /><br /></span><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold;">Today, the President invited everyone to use a new feature on WhiteHouse.gov called <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/OpenForQuestions/">"Open for Questions"</a> to ask a question about the economy and rate other questions up or down. Then, on Thursday morning, the President will conduct a special online town hall on the economy and answer some of the most popular questions and the event will be streamed on WhiteHouse.gov.<br /><object width="400" height="225"><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"><param name="movie" value="http://vimeo.com/moogaloop.swf?clip_id=3823857&server=vimeo.com&show_title=1&show_byline=1&show_portrait=0&color=&fullscreen=1"><embed src="http://vimeo.com/moogaloop.swf?clip_id=3823857&server=vimeo.com&show_title=1&show_byline=1&show_portrait=0&color=&fullscreen=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" allowscriptaccess="always" width="400" height="225"></embed></object><br /><a href="http://vimeo.com/3823857">The White House is Open for Questions</a> from <a href="http://vimeo.com/whitehousevideos">White House</a> on <a href="http://vimeo.com/">Vimeo</a>.</div><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-103565176931442652?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-27585988603886843992009-03-23T12:50:00.000-07:002009-03-23T13:15:00.488-07:00Obama critics drowning in their own drivelIronically there are several reasons for real and even <span style="font-style: italic; font-weight: bold;">fake American conservatives*</span> to criticize the new President, who's policies in one sense really are betting the whole farm on a dubious economic premise - that massive redirected Government spending can lift the nation out of depression and into a major economic recovery.<br /><br />Yet the flimsy attacks on President Obama typically take a personal form, perhaps because pundits assume Americans can't understand "real" issues. We might expect this drivel from slothy fools like Rush Limbaugh who has built his media empire with the same type of character assassinations he himself deserves far more than those he attacks, but now it's coming from people like Fred Barnes who are really sharp guys:<br /><br />In an obnoxious piece called "<a href="http://www.weeklystandard.com/Content/Public/Articles/000/000/016/302xiamh.asp?ZoomFont=YES">Five Signs of a Flailing Presidency</a>" I expected Fred to point out some of the dubious fiscal assumptions behind the Obama recovery plan, but no. Barnes'<br />five "signs" are so inconsequential as to be *completely and utterly meaningless*, leading me to wonder if Barnes secretly admires the current policies since his criticisms of them are so timid.<br />These read as if they are from a Saturday Night Live skit. "President engages in hyperbole" ? News Flash Mr. Fred - that's how Presidents roll, and this one does less than most.<br /><br />Fake conservatives have a problem with Obama. He's honest, straightforward, and bright. If they make the Obama battleground his personal "faults" they'll lose the battle for the hearts and minds of the American people faster than you can appear on the Tonight Show. That may be a good thing but it's unhealthy to have an emasculated opposition when you face the greatest economic and international challenges since WWII.<br /><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">* Fake conservatives </span>don't believe in following the key principles of the founders that should drive true American conservatism: SMALL military, NO religion in Government, PROGRESSIVE foreign policy. Fake Conservatives pretend to want small Government but have supported massive Republican spending for decades.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-2758598860388684399?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-59474484003908482502009-03-04T10:19:00.000-08:002009-05-10T17:05:58.154-07:00The Four Buffoons of the Republican ApocalypseIt's hard to imagine the frustration many smart conservatives must be feeling as Rush Limbaugh, Sarah Palin, Sean Hannity, and Joe the Plumber rise to take the ideological helm of the Republican Party.<br /><br />The prestigious Party of Lincoln has historically been a bastion of economic sophistication and the principles of the founders of our great American experiment. It has now dissembled into a motley band of knee-jerk economic and social dimwits spewing red baiting nonsense and preying on the new found extreme ideological gullibility of conventional Republicans.<br /><br />Although I supported Obama for President, I've always shared many of the concerns of American conservatives about the economy, most importantly that massive government spending tends to go wrong and tends to lead to unintended, usually undesirable consequences.<br /><br />More importantly I very much agree with a cornerstone idea of true conservatives (noting there are few real conservatives left in the USA). We're spending too much now and have been for decades. The founders vision has largely been undermined by both the Democratic and Republican bureaucracy. The founders feared this sort of bureaucratic class would emerge without more citizen involvement and volunteerism than we have.<br /><br />Ironically the wildly successful American experiment, grounded in the ideas of personal liberty, free speech, and entrepreneurialism created so much wealth that an extremely powerful bureaucratic class developed both in government and especially in the military where we spend more than every other nation combined. Many who call themselves conservatives (but are reckless spenders and therefore no friend of the founders) suggest that big spending is called for in the military, but they haven't done any homework. The founders would not support the massive military and defense spending both parties now tolerate as part of our ongoing reckless fiscal policy.<br /><br />So, how in the world did conservatism and the Republican party get co-opted by the likes of Limbaugh, Palin, Hannity, and Joe the Plumber? Do people seriously think this parade of fools represents the best America has to offer? These people represent much of the worst in our great nation - hate, opportunism, and hypocrisy to name a few items.<br /><br />I think much of this lies in the popularity of the "culture wars" where hot button themes like abortion and religion are mixed with politics to incite hatred and divisiveness. Limbaugh and Hannity have made a mint off of of admirers playing on their fears and hate. They are brilliant entertainers and great snake oil salesman, but they are not good representatives of our great country.<br /><br />It is painful to watch smart conservatives like David Brooks and George Will get relatively little mainstream respect while buffoons like Limbaugh soak up attention, but Republicans are now reaping what they sowed in the last election.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-5947448400390848250?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-76493507660931036662009-01-20T10:12:00.001-08:002009-01-20T10:13:24.879-08:00Obama Inaugural Speech Complete Transcript<p> My fellow citizens:</p><p> I stand here today humbled by the task before us, grateful for the trust you have bestowed, mindful of the sacrifices borne by our ancestors. I thank President Bush for his service to our nation, as well as the generosity and cooperation he has shown throughout this transition.</p><p> Forty-four Americans have now taken the presidential oath. The words have been spoken during rising tides of prosperity and the still waters of peace. Yet, every so often, the oath is taken amidst gathering clouds and raging storms. At these moments, America has carried on not simply because of the skill or vision of those in high office, but because We the People have remained faithful to the ideals of our forebearers, and true to our founding documents.</p><p> So it has been. So it must be with this generation of Americans.</p><p> That we are in the midst of crisis is now well understood. Our nation is at war, against a far-reaching network of violence and hatred. Our economy is badly weakened, a consequence of greed and irresponsibility on the part of some, but also our collective failure to make hard choices and prepare the nation for a new age. Homes have been lost; jobs shed; businesses shuttered. Our health care is too costly; our schools fail too many; and each day brings further evidence that the ways we use energy strengthen our adversaries and threaten our planet.</p><p> These are the indicators of crisis, subject to data and statistics. Less measurable but no less profound is a sapping of confidence across our land -- a nagging fear that America's decline is inevitable, and that the next generation must lower its sights.</p> <!--startclickprintexclude--> <!--endclickprintexclude--><p> Today I say to you that the challenges we face are real. They are serious and they are many. They will not be met easily or in a short span of time. But know this, America: They will be met.</p><p> On this day, we gather because we have chosen hope over fear, unity of purpose over conflict and discord.</p><p> On this day, we come to proclaim an end to the petty grievances and false promises, the recriminations and worn-out dogmas, that for far too long have strangled our politics.</p><p> We remain a young nation, but in the words of Scripture, the time has come to set aside childish things. The time has come to reaffirm our enduring spirit; to choose our better history; to carry forward that precious gift, that noble idea, passed on from generation to generation: the God-given promise that all are equal, all are free, and all deserve a chance to pursue their full measure of happiness.</p><p> In reaffirming the greatness of our nation, we understand that greatness is never a given. It must be earned. Our journey has never been one of shortcuts or settling for less. It has not been the path for the fainthearted -- for those who prefer leisure over work, or seek only the pleasures of riches and fame. Rather, it has been the risk-takers, the doers, the makers of things -- some celebrated, but more often men and women obscure in their labor -- who have carried us up the long, rugged path toward prosperity and freedom.</p><p> For us, they packed up their few worldly possessions and traveled across oceans in search of a new life.</p><p> For us, they toiled in sweatshops and settled the West; endured the lash of the whip and plowed the hard earth.</p><p> For us, they fought and died, in places like Concord and Gettysburg; Normandy and Khe Sahn.</p><p> Time and again, these men and women struggled and sacrificed and worked till their hands were raw so that we might live a better life. They saw America as bigger than the sum of our individual ambitions; greater than all the differences of birth or wealth or faction.</p><p> This is the journey we continue today. We remain the most prosperous, powerful nation on Earth. Our workers are no less productive than when this crisis began. Our minds are no less inventive, our goods and services no less needed than they were last week or last month or last year. Our capacity remains undiminished. But our time of standing pat, of protecting narrow interests and putting off unpleasant decisions -- that time has surely passed. Starting today, we must pick ourselves up, dust ourselves off, and begin again the work of remaking America.</p><p> For everywhere we look, there is work to be done. The state of the economy calls for action, bold and swift, and we will act -- not only to create new jobs, but to lay a new foundation for growth. We will build the roads and bridges, the electric grids and digital lines that feed our commerce and bind us together. We will restore science to its rightful place, and wield technology's wonders to raise health care's quality and lower its cost. We will harness the sun and the winds and the soil to fuel our cars and run our factories. And we will transform our schools and colleges and universities to meet the demands of a new age. All this we can do. And all this we will do.</p><p> Now, there are some who question the scale of our ambitions -- who suggest that our system cannot tolerate too many big plans. Their memories are short. For they have forgotten what this country has already done; what free men and women can achieve when imagination is joined to common purpose, and necessity to courage.</p><p> What the cynics fail to understand is that the ground has shifted beneath them -- that the stale political arguments that have consumed us for so long no longer apply. The question we ask today is not whether our government is too big or too small, but whether it works -- whether it helps families find jobs at a decent wage, care they can afford, a retirement that is dignified. Where the answer is yes, we intend to move forward. Where the answer is no, programs will end. And those of us who manage the public's dollars will be held to account -- to spend wisely, reform bad habits, and do our business in the light of day -- because only then can we restore the vital trust between a people and their government.</p><p> Nor is the question before us whether the market is a force for good or ill. Its power to generate wealth and expand freedom is unmatched, but this crisis has reminded us that without a watchful eye, the market can spin out of control -- and that a nation cannot prosper long when it favors only the prosperous. The success of our economy has always depended not just on the size of our gross domestic product, but on the reach of our prosperity; on our ability to extend opportunity to every willing heart -- not out of charity, but because it is the surest route to our common good.</p><p> As for our common defense, we reject as false the choice between our safety and our ideals. Our Founding Fathers, faced with perils we can scarcely imagine, drafted a charter to assure the rule of law and the rights of man, a charter expanded by the blood of generations. Those ideals still light the world, and we will not give them up for expedience's sake. And so to all other peoples and governments who are watching today, from the grandest capitals to the small village where my father was born: Know that America is a friend of each nation and every man, woman and child who seeks a future of peace and dignity, and that we are ready to lead once more.</p><p> Recall that earlier generations faced down fascism and communism not just with missiles and tanks, but with sturdy alliances and enduring convictions. They understood that our power alone cannot protect us, nor does it entitle us to do as we please. Instead, they knew that our power grows through its prudent use; our security emanates from the justness of our cause, the force of our example, the tempering qualities of humility and restraint.</p><p> We are the keepers of this legacy. Guided by these principles once more, we can meet those new threats that demand even greater effort -- even greater cooperation and understanding between nations. We will begin to responsibly leave Iraq to its people, and forge a hard-earned peace in Afghanistan. With old friends and former foes, we will work tirelessly to lessen the nuclear threat, and roll back the specter of a warming planet. We will not apologize for our way of life, nor will we waver in its defense, and for those who seek to advance their aims by inducing terror and slaughtering innocents, we say to you now that our spirit is stronger and cannot be broken; you cannot outlast us, and we will defeat you.</p><p> For we know that our patchwork heritage is a strength, not a weakness. We are a nation of Christians and Muslims, Jews and Hindus -- and nonbelievers. We are shaped by every language and culture, drawn from every end of this Earth; and because we have tasted the bitter swill of civil war and segregation, and emerged from that dark chapter stronger and more united, we cannot help but believe that the old hatreds shall someday pass; that the lines of tribe shall soon dissolve; that as the world grows smaller, our common humanity shall reveal itself; and that America must play its role in ushering in a new era of peace.</p><p> To the Muslim world, we seek a new way forward, based on mutual interest and mutual respect. To those leaders around the globe who seek to sow conflict, or blame their society's ills on the West: Know that your people will judge you on what you can build, not what you destroy. To those who cling to power through corruption and deceit and the silencing of dissent, know that you are on the wrong side of history; but that we will extend a hand if you are willing to unclench your fist.</p><p> To the people of poor nations, we pledge to work alongside you to make your farms flourish and let clean waters flow; to nourish starved bodies and feed hungry minds. And to those nations like ours that enjoy relative plenty, we say we can no longer afford indifference to suffering outside our borders; nor can we consume the world's resources without regard to effect. For the world has changed, and we must change with it.</p><p> As we consider the road that unfolds before us, we remember with humble gratitude those brave Americans who, at this very hour, patrol far-off deserts and distant mountains. They have something to tell us today, just as the fallen heroes who lie in Arlington whisper through the ages. We honor them not only because they are guardians of our liberty, but because they embody the spirit of service; a willingness to find meaning in something greater than themselves. And yet, at this moment -- a moment that will define a generation -- it is precisely this spirit that must inhabit us all.</p><p> For as much as government can do and must do, it is ultimately the faith and determination of the American people upon which this nation relies. It is the kindness to take in a stranger when the levees break, the selflessness of workers who would rather cut their hours than see a friend lose their job which sees us through our darkest hours. It is the firefighter's courage to storm a stairway filled with smoke, but also a parent's willingness to nurture a child, that finally decides our fate.</p><p> Our challenges may be new. The instruments with which we meet them may be new. But those values upon which our success depends -- hard work and honesty, courage and fair play, tolerance and curiosity, loyalty and patriotism -- these things are old. These things are true. They have been the quiet force of progress throughout our history. What is demanded then is a return to these truths. What is required of us now is a new era of responsibility -- a recognition, on the part of every American, that we have duties to ourselves, our nation and the world; duties that we do not grudgingly accept but rather seize gladly, firm in the knowledge that there is nothing so satisfying to the spirit, so defining of our character, than giving our all to a difficult task.</p><p> This is the price and the promise of citizenship.</p><p> This is the source of our confidence -- the knowledge that God calls on us to shape an uncertain destiny.</p><p> This is the meaning of our liberty and our creed -- why men and women and children of every race and every faith can join in celebration across this magnificent Mall, and why a man whose father less than 60 years ago might not have been served at a local restaurant can now stand before you to take a most sacred oath.</p><p> So let us mark this day with remembrance, of who we are and how far we have traveled. In the year of America's birth, in the coldest of months, a small band of patriots huddled by dying campfires on the shores of an icy river. The capital was abandoned. The enemy was advancing. The snow was stained with blood. At a moment when the outcome of our revolution was most in doubt, the father of our nation ordered these words be read to the people:</p><p> "Let it be told to the future world ... that in the depth of winter, when nothing but hope and virtue could survive... that the city and the country, alarmed at one common danger, came forth to meet [it]."</p> America. In the face of our common dangers, in this winter of our hardship, let us remember these timeless words. With hope and virtue, let us brave once more the icy currents, and endure what storms may come. Let it be said by our children's children that when we were tested, we refused to let this journey end, that we did not turn back, nor did we falter; and with eyes fixed on the horizon and God's grace upon us, we carried forth that great gift of freedom and delivered it safely to future generations.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-7649350766093103666?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-66949322700236625052008-12-18T20:48:00.000-08:002008-12-18T21:17:32.727-08:00Pastor Rick Warren a Good Choice by ObamaAlthough I should not have to I want to preface this post by saying I don't agree with Rick Warren on many things and unlike Warren (and unlike Obama) I am in favor gay marriage and an expansion of gay rights. But it's precisely for this reason that I think Rick Warren is an excellent choice by President Elect Obama to give the Presidential inaugural invocation which will certainly be one of the most watched religious statements in history. He does not reflect *my* opinions but he reflects those of many fellow Americans. Obama's assuming leadership of all of us, not just the folks with whom he agrees.<br /><br />Critics of this choice seem to forget that for the most part their worldview won this election. Although it may be tempting to rub that win in the face of the opposition by ignoring their opinions and beliefs, Obama has risen to the occaision yet again to choose somebody who reflects the views of millions of Americans who are in what most would call the "religious center" of American religious opinion. <br /><br />I certainly appreciate the right of gay folks to be disappointed in this choice - wanting your views to prevail, and wanting broader and deserved recognition of gay rights is something I want to happen as well. However I think that even more important than that - and arguably the path to that - is bringing everybody to the table who is willing to talk in a respectful way. Rick Warren has done that in many venues - most notably with the excellent Presidential candidate interviews and with the tolerance he preaches to his very large evangelical following. <br /><br />This is another excellent choice by Obama. Not because it matches *my views*, but because it is a important reflection on and upon the diversity of opinion in our huge and complex nation.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-6694932270023662505?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-25488454803587212572008-12-05T23:08:00.000-08:002008-12-05T23:17:16.589-08:00Caroline Kennedy Likely to Take Clinton's NY Senate SeatReports are suggesting that Caroline Kennedy is likely to take over the NY Senate Seat vacated by Hillary Clinton in January when she assumes the role of US Secretary of State. Kennedy was on the "short list" for this position and now she has indicated interest in the job. As a key figure in politics for many years and an early and prominent Obama supporter, Kennedy appears likely to get the nod soon for the Senate.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-2548845480358721257?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-48244562464171577882008-12-01T07:44:00.000-08:002008-12-01T07:56:11.083-08:00Obama announces his security / foreign policy teamPresident Elect Obama announced his national security and foreign policy team this morning which includes Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State, Acting Defense Secretary Gates who will stay in his current position at Defense, Janet Napolitano as Secretary of Homeland Security, Eric Holder as US Attorney General, Susan Rice as UN Representative. and General James Jones as National Security Advisor.<br /><br />Clinton is one of the most intriguing choices for a major player in decades, and promises at the very least to be one of the most prominent international representatives of the USA in some time. Although it's unlike we'll see Bill Clinton at her side during international trips, his Presidential status and extraordinary number of prominent contacts throughout the world is likely to give Hillary Clinton unprecedented levels of access and potential acceptance on the international stage.<br /><br />Obama inherits some of the nation's greatest challenges both on the economic and foreign policy fronts and it will be interesting to see how well his approach can work by essentially placing a Clinton style cabinet at his side.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-4824456246417157788?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-12807945209986465402008-11-30T12:44:00.000-08:002008-11-30T12:58:01.041-08:00Napolitano to become Secretary of Homeland Security in Obama Administration<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Janet Napolitano to be Secretary of Homeland Security</span><br /></div> <a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_tmfZ35MY7Y4/STL76O14GSI/AAAAAAAAAMo/klL1sFrcrTg/s1600-h/JanetNapolitano.jpg"><img style="margin: 0px auto 10px; display: block; text-align: center; cursor: pointer; width: 225px; height: 315px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_tmfZ35MY7Y4/STL76O14GSI/AAAAAAAAAMo/klL1sFrcrTg/s400/JanetNapolitano.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5274555091439327522" border="0" /></a><br />President Elect Obama will name Arizona Governor Janet Napolitano as the new secretary of Homeland Security, a key cabinet post that determines - in conjunction with other posts - how the USA allocates and strategizes for defenses against global terrorism.<br /><br />Obama's cabinet nominees appear to signal a moderate Presidential approach where very seasoned and experienced former players in the Clinton administration will work with several new faces and a small number of transitional figures from the GW Bush administration to align US policy with Obama's stated objectives in the election - restoring international respect for the USA while sending a clear signal to potential adversaries that the US will not continue to attack those who seek to undermine the international status quo in violent ways.<br /><br />Unfortunately it appears that attacks like those in India this week may escalate as terrorists and their supporters realign their own strategies - feeling out how the new administration will deal with the ongoing violence.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-1280794520998646540?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-34232406359258257812008-11-15T10:28:00.001-08:002008-11-15T10:35:15.707-08:00Google's Norvig on the 2008 ElectionGoogle's Peter Norvig is one of the top researchers in search and artificial intelligence but also something of a political junkie. His take on many points that swirled around the 2008 election is very insightful:<br /><a href="http://norvig.com/election-faq.html">http://norvig.com/election-faq.html</a><br /><br /><br />Norvig is here at the Converge08 conference in Mountain View and just answered the question of how to advise President-elect Obama with regard to moving forward in technology.<br /><br />Barney Pell of Powerset/ Microsoft fame is suggesting that Nanotech innovations and health innovations should be top priorities.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-3423240635925825781?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-6876465772898566602008-11-04T22:19:00.000-08:002008-11-04T22:22:42.947-08:00Obama Speech Transcript - Presidential Victory Speech of November 4th 2008Hello, Chicago.<br /><br />If there is anyone out there who still doubts that America is a place where all things are possible, who still wonders if the dream of our founders is alive in our time, who still questions the power of our democracy, tonight is your answer.<br /><br />It's the answer told by lines that stretched around schools and churches in numbers this nation has never seen, by people who waited three hours and four hours, many for the first time in their lives, because they believed that this time must be different, that their voices could be that difference.<br /><br />It's the answer spoken by young and old, rich and poor, Democrat and Republican, black, white, Hispanic, Asian, Native American, gay, straight, disabled and not disabled. Americans who sent a message to the world that we have never been just a collection of individuals or a collection of red states and blue states.<br /><br />We are, and always will be, the United States of America.<br /><br />It's the answer that led those who've been told for so long by so many to be cynical and fearful and doubtful about what we can achieve to put their hands on the arc of history and bend it once more toward the hope of a better day.<br /><br />It's been a long time coming, but tonight, because of what we did on this date in this election at this defining moment change has come to America.<br /><br />A little bit earlier this evening, I received an extraordinarily gracious call from Sen. McCain.<br /><br />Sen. McCain fought long and hard in this campaign. And he's fought even longer and harder for the country that he loves. He has endured sacrifices for America that most of us cannot begin to imagine. We are better off for the service rendered by this brave and selfless leader.<br /><br />I congratulate him; I congratulate Gov. Palin for all that they've achieved. And I look forward to working with them to renew this nation's promise in the months ahead.<br /><br />I want to thank my partner in this journey, a man who campaigned from his heart, and spoke for the men and women he grew up with on the streets of Scranton and rode with on the train home to Delaware, the vice president-elect of the United States, Joe Biden.<br /><br />And I would not be standing here tonight without the unyielding support of my best friend for the last 16 years the rock of our family, the love of my life, the nation's next first lady Michelle Obama.<br /><br />Sasha and Malia I love you both more than you can imagine. And you have earned the new puppy that's coming with us to the new White House.<br /><br />And while she's no longer with us, I know my grandmother's watching, along with the family that made me who I am. I miss them tonight. I know that my debt to them is beyond measure.<br /><br />To my sister Maya, my sister Alma, all my other brothers and sisters, thank you so much for all the support that you've given me. I am grateful to them.<br /><br />And to my campaign manager, David Plouffe, the unsung hero of this campaign, who built the best -- the best political campaign, I think, in the history of the United States of America.<br /><br />To my chief strategist David Axelrod who's been a partner with me every step of the way.<br /><br />To the best campaign team ever assembled in the history of politics you made this happen, and I am forever grateful for what you've sacrificed to get it done.<br /><br />But above all, I will never forget who this victory truly belongs to. It belongs to you. It belongs to you.<br /><br />I was never the likeliest candidate for this office. We didn't start with much money or many endorsements. Our campaign was not hatched in the halls of Washington. It began in the backyards of Des Moines and the living rooms of Concord and the front porches of Charleston. It was built by working men and women who dug into what little savings they had to give $5 and $10 and $20 to the cause.<br /><br />It grew strength from the young people who rejected the myth of their generation's apathy who left their homes and their families for jobs that offered little pay and less sleep.<br /><br />It drew strength from the not-so-young people who braved the bitter cold and scorching heat to knock on doors of perfect strangers, and from the millions of Americans who volunteered and organized and proved that more than two centuries later a government of the people, by the people, and for the people has not perished from the Earth.<br /><br />This is your victory.<br /><br />And I know you didn't do this just to win an election. And I know you didn't do it for me.<br /><br />You did it because you understand the enormity of the task that lies ahead. For even as we celebrate tonight, we know the challenges that tomorrow will bring are the greatest of our lifetime -- two wars, a planet in peril, the worst financial crisis in a century.<br /><br />Even as we stand here tonight, we know there are brave Americans waking up in the deserts of Iraq and the mountains of Afghanistan to risk their lives for us.<br /><br />There are mothers and fathers who will lie awake after the children fall asleep and wonder how they'll make the mortgage or pay their doctors' bills or save enough for their child's college education.<br /><br />There's new energy to harness, new jobs to be created, new schools to build, and threats to meet, alliances to repair.<br /><br />The road ahead will be long. Our climb will be steep. We may not get there in one year or even in one term. But, America, I have never been more hopeful than I am tonight that we will get there.<br /><br />I promise you, we as a people will get there.<br /><br />There will be setbacks and false starts. There are many who won't agree with every decision or policy I make as president. And we know the government can't solve every problem.<br /><br />But I will always be honest with you about the challenges we face. I will listen to you, especially when we disagree. And, above all, I will ask you to join in the work of remaking this nation, the only way it's been done in America for 221 years -- block by block, brick by brick, calloused hand by calloused hand.<br /><br />What began 21 months ago in the depths of winter cannot end on this autumn night.<br /><br />This victory alone is not the change we seek. It is only the chance for us to make that change. And that cannot happen if we go back to the way things were.<br /><br />It can't happen without you, without a new spirit of service, a new spirit of sacrifice.<br /><br />So let us summon a new spirit of patriotism, of responsibility, where each of us resolves to pitch in and work harder and look after not only ourselves but each other.<br /><br />Let us remember that, if this financial crisis taught us anything, it's that we cannot have a thriving Wall Street while Main Street suffers.<br /><br />In this country, we rise or fall as one nation, as one people. Let's resist the temptation to fall back on the same partisanship and pettiness and immaturity that has poisoned our politics for so long.<br /><br />Let's remember that it was a man from this state who first carried the banner of the Republican Party to the White House, a party founded on the values of self-reliance and individual liberty and national unity.<br /><br />Those are values that we all share. And while the Democratic Party has won a great victory tonight, we do so with a measure of humility and determination to heal the divides that have held back our progress.<br /><br />As Lincoln said to a nation far more divided than ours, we are not enemies but friends. Though passion may have strained, it must not break our bonds of affection.<br /><br />And to those Americans whose support I have yet to earn, I may not have won your vote tonight, but I hear your voices. I need your help. And I will be your president, too.<br /><br />And to all those watching tonight from beyond our shores, from parliaments and palaces, to those who are huddled around radios in the forgotten corners of the world, our stories are singular, but our destiny is shared, and a new dawn of American leadership is at hand.<br /><br />To those -- to those who would tear the world down: We will defeat you. To those who seek peace and security: We support you. And to all those who have wondered if America's beacon still burns as bright: Tonight we proved once more that the true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals: democracy, liberty, opportunity and unyielding hope.<br /><br />That's the true genius of America: that America can change. Our union can be perfected. What we've already achieved gives us hope for what we can and must achieve tomorrow.<br /><br />This election had many firsts and many stories that will be told for generations. But one that's on my mind tonight's about a woman who cast her ballot in Atlanta. She's a lot like the millions of others who stood in line to make their voice heard in this election except for one thing: Ann Nixon Cooper is 106 years old.<br /><br />She was born just a generation past slavery; a time when there were no cars on the road or planes in the sky; when someone like her couldn't vote for two reasons -- because she was a woman and because of the color of her skin.<br /><br />And tonight, I think about all that she's seen throughout her century in America -- the heartache and the hope; the struggle and the progress; the times we were told that we can't, and the people who pressed on with that American creed: Yes we can.<br /><br />At a time when women's voices were silenced and their hopes dismissed, she lived to see them stand up and speak out and reach for the ballot. Yes we can.<br /><br />When there was despair in the dust bowl and depression across the land, she saw a nation conquer fear itself with a New Deal, new jobs, a new sense of common purpose. Yes we can.<br /><br />When the bombs fell on our harbor and tyranny threatened the world, she was there to witness a generation rise to greatness and a democracy was saved. Yes we can.<br /><br />She was there for the buses in Montgomery, the hoses in Birmingham, a bridge in Selma, and a preacher from Atlanta who told a people that "We Shall Overcome." Yes we can.<br /><br />A man touched down on the moon, a wall came down in Berlin, a world was connected by our own science and imagination.<br /><br />And this year, in this election, she touched her finger to a screen, and cast her vote, because after 106 years in America, through the best of times and the darkest of hours, she knows how America can change.<br /><br />Yes we can.<br /><br />America, we have come so far. We have seen so much. But there is so much more to do. So tonight, let us ask ourselves -- if our children should live to see the next century; if my daughters should be so lucky to live as long as Ann Nixon Cooper, what change will they see? What progress will we have made?<br /><br />This is our chance to answer that call. This is our moment.<br />advertisement<br /><br />This is our time, to put our people back to work and open doors of opportunity for our kids; to restore prosperity and promote the cause of peace; to reclaim the American dream and reaffirm that fundamental truth, that, out of many, we are one; that while we breathe, we hope. And where we are met with cynicism and doubts and those who tell us that we can't, we will respond with that timeless creed that sums up the spirit of a people: Yes, we can.<br /><br />Thank you. God bless you. And may God bless the United States of America.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-687646577289856660?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-84673113312552620482008-11-04T21:12:00.000-08:002008-11-04T21:13:17.245-08:00Congratulations to President Elect Obama and to … America!<a href="http://joeduck.com/2008/11/04/congratulations-to-obama-and-to-america/">Congratulations to President Elect Obama and to … America!</a> <div class="snap_preview"><p>John McCain is now conceding the election with an eloquence that would have benefited his campaign, noting how historic this election has been for America.</p> <p>CNN has projected what has been clear for several days now - Barack Obama will win the US Presidency, </p> <p>With this decision we leave behind a two year campaign - the longest transition of leadership in the history of *any* democracy, and we enter a new and potentially transformative time for America. We face some of the greatest challenges in the history of our proud Democracy, but working together we can overcome them all.</p> </div><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-8467311331255262048?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-82611987955672136682008-11-04T14:44:00.000-08:002008-11-04T14:58:57.968-08:00Election Day 2008Voting is still underway but the outcome is already clear - Obama will win by either a modest or large number of electoral votes and probably about 54% or more of the popular vote.<br /><br />Election and electoral irregularities, negative campaign strategies, and the flaws of Democracy aside, all Americans should be very proud that our nation will once again make our qauadrennial peaceful transition of executive leadership from one administration to another after a national vote.<br /><br />The Obama victory will likely be viewed for centuries as one of the most significant transformative events in American history both as one of the largest swings from "conservative Republican" to liberal Democrat leadership. Obama's rise to the presidency also is something of a nail in the coffin for the pervasive but wrong race-based mythology that has suggested for a generation that America could never transcend our history of predjudice and elect an African American to the highest office. <br /><br />Yet Americans can trancend the challenges of our past. <br /><br />We just did.<br /><br /><br /><br />For more about the <a href="http://www.u-s-history.com/">US History</a> check out "History and Travel" blog and website.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-8261198795567213668?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-59891473104363517962008-11-02T10:51:00.000-08:002008-11-02T11:03:51.081-08:00Obama to win in electoral landslideIt's now very clear that Barack Obama will win the US Presidency, probably in an electoral landslide of approximately 353 electoral votes for Obama & Biden to 185 electoral votes for McCain & Palin. Thankfully we won't have the close outcome that means vote counting problems, purging strategies, and lawsuits determine the outcome rather than the intention of voters. <br /><br />Obama's election is very likely even in the event of a disaster of unprecedented proportions because most now feel that Obama's leadership and intelligence make him the right choice to guide the country forward, because many people have already voted, and because Obama has by far the better "get out the vote" effort. Early voting and better polling makes in increasingly unlikely that we will see any big surprises on Tuesday, as we already have a very good idea about how close to 20% of the electorate has voted and those votes are lining up with the broad polling. All these signs point to Obama as the next president.<br /><br />President Picker Predicts:<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">353 electoral votes for Obama & Biden<br />185 electoral votes for McCain & Palin</span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-5989147310436351796?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-21933356972610526862008-11-01T23:14:00.000-07:002008-11-01T23:37:11.460-07:00Khalidi Smear Campaign: Schlussel appears to be lying again, so why is this story spreading?<p>The McCain smear campaign has really challenged me to examine a lot of my ideas about how people process information. I've usually assumed people may focus too much on a negative or a positive item, but after reading dozens of prominent right wing blog stories it is clear that almost every single Obama smear is simply a parroting of a fabrication where blog authors lie and distort things which are often picked up by reputable outlets.<br /></p><p>The latest smear places Obama at an event where dancers from Sanebel Al Quds dance troup are said to have done a mock beheading. The story is based on the work of a right wing discredited blogger named Schlussel. Although many reports don't note this she admits she was NOT at the same event as Obama.</p><p>Her “real” but irrelevant connection is the Sanibel (aka Sanabel) Al Quds dance troupe. She claims - I’m confident she is lying - that the dance troup did some sort of beheading skit at the one she “secretly” attended in Milwaukee. </p> <p>Hey, but she has pictures! Problem - they are not from Milwaukee and I doubt that is the Sanibel folk dancers anyway. Oh, and that does NOT appear to be a beheading skit - just a sword dance which is common in many folk forms and non threatening. <br /></p> <p>Even if there is some sort of skit somewhere by these folks the idea that Obama would have participated in a celebration like that is simply foolish nonsense. So are the folks spreading this garbage really this gullible? I actually think the answer is yes. Like their counterparts on the far left, their hatred of opposing people and ideas simply clouds their reason to the extent they no longer think clearly.<br /></p><p>The standard applied to Obama’s credibility is high as it should be. He passes easily - a very honest guy. Yet the standard applied to his detractors is zero. Liars like Schlussel simply make stuff up to fuel hatred and political agenda.</p> <p>No responsible national figures (e.g. McCain) believes any of this crap. Why? Because it’s all crap. </p> <p>It is perfectly fine to vote against Obama for several reasons, but if you vote against Obama for the smear reasons you’ve simply become a pawn in a second-rate campaign smear campaign preying on gullibility, fear, and ignorance. America is better than that.</p><br /><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-2193335697261052686?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-82910396044535706452008-10-31T14:47:00.000-07:002008-10-31T15:01:43.497-07:00Not Voting Obama? Fine! Believing the right wing talking points? You are just being a sucker and a fool.I've now spent many, many hours paying attention to the anti-Obama crowd in the interest of objectivity. I'm not impressed. <br /><br />What is frustrating about tracking down the anti-Obama smears they foolishly keep believing is that they are a simply formula of guilt by fake or exaggerated associations. Just ask John McCain, who correctly profiles Obama as a decent, patriotic guy.<br /><br />I tracked down a lot of right wing tips but found nothing of greater concern than what you'd have with McCain or most other politicians. In fact Obama's one of the clearest folks out there in terms of stating his ideas and acting consistently with them.<br /><br />Sure, Obama has some questionable stuff in his past that is of minor concern and he's certainly more left wing than I am but this is America. You want people with a broad, bright, global vision, and nobody has better fit that mold than Obama.<br /><br />Now, there are obviously issues that should incline you to vote McCain. Pro-life as your key issue? You absolutely should vote for McCain. is you income measured in the millions per year like Cindy McCain's? You should vote McCain. Obama is hammering the rich with taxes. I think probably at rates unreasonably high, but probably better them than....the other 95% of us.<br /><br />Right wing nonsense spewing has reached new heights as the campaign enters the final days, but it appears to me most of the clowns are simply *extremely* crappy profilers. They parrot the obviously inane points no political insider would ever believe. It is campaign theater but many of these bloggers and McCain advocates seem to think it's some form of a real truth.<br /><br />As a business guy and fiscal conservative I need to profile folks all the time, and Obama is *obviously* very much what he says he is: A liberal democrat. He's got support of brilliant capitalists like Warren Buffet and Robert Rubin. From brilliant foreign policy military folks like Wesley Clarke and Colin Powell. Why? Because he's *exactly* who he says he is and who he appears to be.<br /><br />It's hard to hold back the contempt and scorn I have for the inanely stupid notion that Obama is a racist, socialist, communist, or Kenyan citizen. This is unpatriotic nonsense - lies and fabrications of a spin machine out of control and outside of McCain's own belief system - squarely in the hands of nonsensical kooks who wouldn't know a socialist from a capitalisit from a halloween clown.<br /><br />There are many reasons you should NOT vote for Obama - Democratic liberalism has a history of mistakes, especially in the realm of spending foolishly and failing to assign individual accountability properly.<br /><br />But if you don't vote for Obama because you think he's a closet communist you are just .... a complete fool, suckered by spinmeisters and hoodwinked by hardball politics you don't even understand.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-8291039604453570645?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-16910922386869585552008-10-31T12:26:00.000-07:002008-10-31T13:27:01.950-07:00McCain Campaign Formula Yields Nonsense<p>The pattern was clear to many - even some McCain supporters - early on but I guess I expected them to vary this a bit when it became clear that that smear attacks were failing to sway any intelligent voters and only seemed to appeal to a crowd that had no interest in the truth about the candidates - only in an outcome. <br /></p><p>Every single major criticism of Obama now takes the following form. It’s a formula and it’s BS in every single case:<br /></p> <p>1) Review Obama records.</p> <p>2) Find where he crossed paths with objectionable people, esp. if there can be a connection to the buzzword “terror supporter”.</p> <p>3) Lie or wildly exaggerate the degree of connection to the people.</p> <p>4) Lie to suggest Obama *shares* the controversial or outrageous views of the people to whom he has little or no connection.</p> <p>5) Run high profile stories on right wing blogs until FOX picks up the distortions and then more reputable news outlets report the "accusations", thereby bringing a legitimacy to the issue it should not have.<br /></p>What I can’t believe is that there are some bright people who *actually believe* the nonsense as if they don't even understand this is a game, and McCain and his campaign know much better than any of us that Obama's exactly what he claims to be. As much as I can appreciate hardball politics I'm concerned that trying to brand Obama as sympathetic to terrorism or unAmerican activities will hurt his likely upcoming presidency in the profoundly unAmerican ways, even perhaps leading to violence by unstable elements in the far right.<br /><br />Although I think most of the current rhetoric falls a bit short of "hate speech", it's still beneath *any* patriotic American to support the many lies and distortions that - successful or not as hardball politics - will compromise our ability to deal with many of the threats facing the USA. <br /><br />Lies and distortions are a challenge to our great system- they are unPatriotic and unAmerican, and a shameful way for the McCain campaign to wind up an otherwise honorable career.<br /><p><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-1691092238686958555?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-6391643296484882852008-10-30T18:41:00.000-07:002008-10-30T19:29:14.977-07:00Truth vs LiesAmerican campaigns are no stranger to falsehood, lies, and character attacks. That has been going on since the days of Washington and the rocky birth of our remarkable Democratic experiment.<br /><br />However that does not make the practice appealing, and clearly in the current campaign it has been the McCain campaign that has gone the farthest to bring up irrelevant nonsense and distort the truth.<br /><br />Following up on many of the right wing claims about Obama has been an exercise in frustration and shoddy thinking by Obama detractors. This has taken the form of crazy nonsense like the notion Obama was born in Kenya to juxtaposing Obama quotes to make a very reasonable statement seem unreasonable. <br /><br />Just today I reviewed a bogus claim that Obama, writing at Daily KOS<br />two years ago, had called for removing moderates from the Senate. Incredibly the writer had simply taken something Obama said should NOT be done in the interest of moderate approaches and then lifted the words in such as way to make it appear to state opposite. These cases of blog fraud or incomprehensibly stupid lack of reading comprehension would not be so bad if they were not immediately picked up by other sites and presented as "fact" along with the misquotes or lies.<br /><br />Even mainstream media "fact checking" is often very questionable. The latest "guilt by association" play suggests Obama is pals with a Palestinian activist named Khalidi, now a professor and consultant. One of the challenges in this case is that a John McCain board gave a Khalidi consultancy over $450,000 for projects polling in the middle east. Most of McCain's campaign has tried to rely on painfully weak connections to figures that mainstream Americans find objectionable in one way or another. Thankfully that strategy appears to have failed - and perhaps we can hope this is because we as voters have become more reasonable rather than simply because the McCain campaign failed to make the smears stick.<br /><br />All the smears have happened within a context of an arguably very unqualified Republican VP nominee hit with abuse of power charges *during the campaign* and McCain's very challenged personal history. The Obama campaign has chose not to focus on the personalities and character of the opposition, and stayed squarely on message in a near-flawless and mostly positive campaign. Will this approach succeed? If so, can we expect future campaigns to take a higher road than in the past?<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-639164329648488285?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-7019153692691859682008-10-29T22:15:00.000-07:002008-10-29T22:24:41.344-07:00The ObamercialPundits are wondering if Obama pulled in a few more voters with tonight's 30 minute five million dollar multi-network commercial extravaganza. <br /><br />I think that was only a small part of their objective as they probably only gained a point or so across the board and gaining votes is near-meaningless in California, New York, and most of the heavily populated states (and expensive media markets) that are already lined up for Obama in terms of electoral votes - the only votes that matter in the big show.<br /><br />However this was yet another master stroke of the nearly flawless Obama campaign. Why? It runs out the clock for two full days with only 6 days until the main election day, and with many people voting over the next few days in early voting areas. Obama does not need votes now - he needs to simply maintain his sizable lead. The status quo is Obama's friend and this piece helps to maintain that for him in addition to address, in a very stylish fashion, key concerns of key groups he needs. <br /><br />As with most of the Axlerod innovations this was brilliant and another reason the Obama campaign is likely to go down as *the best run big campaign* in American political history.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-701915369269185968?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-711383158735800672008-10-28T19:10:00.000-07:002008-10-28T19:14:00.223-07:00Early voting pollsMSNBC is reporting a Diagio poll that shows Obama 48% and McCain 47% of early votes. This is more like an exit poll that a predictive poll and would appear to suggest a close race, though normally since early voting probably skews Republican this is not necessarily contradicting poll results.<br /><br />Gallup on the other hand reports early voting polls are showing the same Obama lead that the normal polls show - a substantial margin and a huge positive sign for Obama.<br /><br />http://www.gallup.com/poll/111430/Early-Voting-Now-11-Could-Reach-30.aspx<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-71138315873580067?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-61681323891271949522008-10-28T17:17:00.000-07:002008-10-28T17:23:40.742-07:00Campaign 2008 - we ain't seen nothing yet?As the Obama and McCain campaigns make their final 7 day push to election day we'll see more ads and get out the vote effort than at any other time in history, especially for Obama (who has far more money), and especially in the key states of Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. <br /><br />Obama's get out the vote system is likely to go down in history as the most sophisticated ever. In Florida over 100,000 volunteers have been mobilized to help with the Obama campaign, and CNN reports that poll workers will scan names of those who voted into a system that will then make decisions about where to run targeted pre-recorded TV appeals by Obama to get out and vote. This is a brilliant tactic as failing to mobilize enough voters was a key reason for the Gore loss in 2000 and Kerry loss in 2004.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-6168132389127194952?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-11523477664117992752008-10-27T20:34:00.000-07:002008-10-27T20:59:01.453-07:00Counting OhioA flurry of stories and accusations have raised a lot of suspicion about vote counts, especially in Ohio and Florida in the 2004 presidential election.<br /><br />However the total Ohio recount conducted in December of 2004 that effectively shifted the results by only a few hundred results based on allowing previously rejecte ballots suggests to me that the claims of counting conspiracies are probably misguided:<br /><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/29/politics/29ohio.html">http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/29/politics/29ohio.html</a><br /><br />However I remain concerned by reports of defects in Diebold voting machines and optical scanner voting results that appeared to favor George Bush in 2004 by margins that are very hard to explain without invoking fraud.<br /><br />Without a doubt our elections process is flawed so seriously that outcomes were certainly affected in the 2000 election where Gore would have won Florida without ballot errors, though I do not think this was due to conspiratorial activity unless you count the aggressive vote purging efforts of Katherine Harris and other Secretaries of state as a conspiracy. These suppression activities are probably legal in the narrow sense, though I think vote suppression efforts appear to have become a strategic part of many campaigns and this probably should be considered a somewhat nuanced violation of voting rights laws. Suppression efforts generally seem to hide behind the notion of preventing votes by felons and vote fraud, but I think that in general the true purpose is to alter outcomes in a partisan way.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-1152347766411799275?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-46080140020407702982008-10-25T20:21:00.000-07:002008-10-25T20:30:16.433-07:00Obama's lead steady, McCain looking for a miracleUnless modern polling is pretty much a garbage science (it's not), the election appears to be wrapping up with Obama in a commanding lead and McCain poised for a defeat that will pull many states out of the proverbial "red" column. <br /><br />Here in Oregon Jeff Merkley is poised to wrestle away the seat of our excellent moderate Senator Gordon Smith. The campaign has been nasty and expensive and although Smith is well funded Merkley now has the help of national funding that will - in my opinion - give him the election, probably more on the basis of negative ads about Smith than platform issues.<br /><br />Perhaps as importantly, the financial troubles of the country and perceived foreign policy failures of the Bush administration appear to be taking the country towards a House and Senate that are so strongly controlled by the Democrats many policies will face low levels of opposition.<br /><br />This is likely to prove a mixed blessing unless the Democrats use this power with greater wisdom than either party has in the past. As the country and the world teeters on the brink of a potential depression the likes of which the world has not seen since the great Depression of the 1930s we can only hope that the new administration and congress will prove to be the most innovative and successful American political experiment of modern times. Anything short of that .... could be trouble.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-4608014002040770298?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38623135.post-54145604006182354392008-10-24T13:23:00.000-07:002008-10-24T13:27:22.815-07:00Ashley Todd - McCain Campaign Worker "Attack" is a Hoax<p>The Pittsburgh Pennsylvania Ashley Todd attack was a hoax designed by a low level McCain campaign worker to fuel the ongoing smear campaign against Obama:</p> <p><a href="http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/10/24/mccain-campaign-volunteer-admits-alleged-attack-hoax/" rel="nofollow">http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/10/24/mccain-campaign-volunteer-admits-alleged-attack-hoax/</a></p> <p>Although the right leaning Drudge Report and FOX News deserve some of credit for putting the “hoax” coverage on their internet home pages, enough damage has been done that any objective observer would question the motives of news agencies reporting as fact such a suspicious story. </p> <p>This was initially reported by Fox news in a totally questionable fashion that simply accepted Todd’s dramatic story that was designed to play on many of the irrational fears and stereotypes that have been used to smear Obama supporters. Drudge and FOX were (outrageously) running the lies last night even as it became crystal clear she was lying about all or some of this. That abuse of the news cycle is simply unconscionable. </p> <p>Also outrageous is that Todd was an official McCain *campaign worker*. Given the smears against Obama based on people and groups who have little or no connection to his campaign I think it’s clear we have a disturbing double standard. <br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/38623135-5414560400618235439?l=blog.presidentpicker.com'/></div>Joseph Hunkinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12901043695395702119jhunkins@gmail.com0