tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-45968602107626035922008-02-21T09:57:00.000-05:002008-02-21T09:57:00.000-05:00

True, but the Football Outsiders' approach is similar only in that they grade each team on a play-by-play basis. But DVOA is an ad hoc retrospective scoring system for ranking teams, not a risk/reward analysis tool.<BR/><BR/>What I'm proposing is using the risk/reward math to identify future optimum strategies for play selection and other decisions. I'm not proposing this as a prediction model or

Brian Burkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.com