tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-84513291668403435972007-08-01T14:15:00.000-04:002007-08-01T14:15:00.000-04:00First, I think it's important to point out that th...First, I think it's important to point out that the "best" computer models had a test set of only 2 weeks. From what I've seen, it's not terribly difficult to find 2-week periods of very high predictive success.<BR/><BR/>By DVOA standards, the overall better team wins about 63% of the time, but that total varies significantly from year to year.<BR/><BR/><Bee in bonnet><BR/>To me, Derekhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17941314072950152029noreply@blogger.com