bse

Indian Stocks BSE

2009-12-14T12:08:00.001-08:00

Indian Stocks BSE

Posted: 14 Dec 2009 07:53 AM PST

Free Intraday Cash Tips from Tipz.in for 15th December 09
516007 ( MANGALAM TIM)

Action	Trigger Price	Stop Loss	Target 1	Target 2
BUY ABOVE	28.8	28.6	30.7	32.3
S.SELL BELOW	28.4	28.7	27.2	25.1

526263 ( MOLD-TEK TEC)

Action	Trigger Price	Stop Loss	Target 1	Target 2
BUY ABOVE	73	72.5	75	77.5
S.SELL BELOW	72	72.7	70.5	68

530499 ( A.K.CAPITAL )

Action	Trigger Price	Stop Loss	Target 1	Target 2
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S.SELL BELOW	270	272	260	245

MANGALAM TIM ( 516007 )

Posted: 14 Dec 2009 07:51 AM PST

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[stock_win_india] Stock Split and Record Dates

2009-12-14T06:26:00.001-08:00

Hi All,

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KRBL Jumped on stock-split plan

While we talked about the KRBL stock split announcement yesterday, today the stock jumped around 4% on the news of board meeting on 17th December to consider the stock split. Hold on to the share until you hear more about it on 17th Dec.

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Kanani Industries hits Upper Circuit on Stock-Split plan

Kanani Industries yesterday hit upper limit and closed at Rs. 301 on BSE after the company said its board will meet on 12 December 2009 to fix record date for a 2-for-1 stock split [2:1]. The company is engaged in manufacturing copper tubes.

Record date for RFL International consolidation of shares

RFL International has fixed 04 January 2010 as the record date for the purpose of consolidation of shares of the Company. It will be consolidation of 5 equity shares of Rs. 2/- each into 1 equity share of Rs. 10/- each and thus each of the 2,75,00,000 equity shares of the nominal value of Rs. 2/- each in the authorized share capital of the Company be consolidated into 55,00,000 equity shares of Rs. 10/- each.

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[sharetrading] FW: Market Strategy - 14 December 2009 [1 Attachment]

2009-12-14T06:06:00.000-08:00

[Attachment(s) from minesh temkar included below]

14^th December 2009

Good Morning,

Market Synopsis: 14^th December 2009.

Market Direction: Market direction is Neutral - Down. Keep a lookout for the level of 5185.00 on Nifty on the upper end and 5038 – 5056 on the lower end of the trading spectrum. These levels will be the point of reference that will guide you through the day. If 5070 is taken out on the lower end on closing basis, expect the markets to achieve a target of 4960 – 4990 in the lower range. Similarly on the higher side if 5185 is taken out, expect the markets to touch a level of 5250 – 5300. Anything is possible as there are contradictory signals. Also the cycle turning date falls between the 14^th and 16^th of December 2009. It is during the time of Cycle change that one has to be on the right side of the market as the movement in either direction would be fast and furious.

Players Strength: Technical studies suggest that bears are in charge for the day but the put call ratio points towards the bulls being in charge but this can change, as majority of the calls are written in the range of 5300 - 5350. As the market is looking for a direction the market players are in a state of equilibrium as of now. Today could be the day that decides who will come out trumps in the short term.

Action: Be long in the market for the day after the Nifty touches the level of 5038 – 5056 on the lower end or on a breakout above 5185. Or take positions only if you have dependable information. It won't be long before a clear trend would be visible. For today if Nifty trades below 5070 use shorts to play the market.

Short Term Opinion: Trading would be in a range between 5038 – 5185. There is still a move left which will take the markets up, before this up move terminates. But this will be discussed when the time is appropriate. In case 5038 is taken out expect Markets to move down to the levels of 4960 – 4990.

Stocks: No stocks have been given to trade as the studies have thrown up inconclusive results. It is better to watch until a clear trend develops as we are trading in a very narrow band. It is prudent to be on the right side of this trading range.

Score Card:
11^th December 2009,

Today Nifty performed within the limits that were mentioned in the Chart Construction. The Nifty performed according to the Chart Construction. As Nifty crossed the level of 5137 – 5144, which was the Bullish Above level, higher targets were achieved. Nifty made a high of 5182.55 against the level of 5181 - 5185, which was forecasted as a Probable Top in the Chart Construction. This level was spot on to confirm the accuracy of the Chart Construction for the day. Nifty opened at 5136.05 and moved up to make a high of 5182.55 before closing at 5117.30. If you observed the Nifty play for the day dated 11 December 2009, you must have noticed that the Nifty respected all the levels on the Chart Construction by moving up or down from them. On the whole Nifty lost 17.35 points over yesterday's closing of 5134.65. Today Nifty did not move below the level of 5073 – 5078, which was the Max Low level on the Chart Construction. Thereby giving credibility to Neutral sentiments that prevailed through the rather dull day. The market breadth was in the range favoring the sellers. The advancing stocks and the declining stocks were not in equilibrium. 381 stocks advanced and 839 stocks declined while 24 stocks remained unchanged. Today the Markets were looking for a direction which was up, as is evident from the miserly loss of only 17.35 points on the Nifty and a ratio of 1: 0.45 in favor of declining stocks. It sure was a difficult day to trade.

Trading Scorecard: 11^th December 2009:

Cairn Ind: Target Achieved.
Essel Propack: Strategy not activated.
Ind Swift Labs: Neutral.
Jaiprakash Assoc: Strategy not activated.
KLG Systel: Target Achieved.
Patni Computers: Target Achieved.

Considering the market condition on the given day and the strategies recommended, not all the stocks performed to the given potential. Two strategies did not get activated. But the strategies that got activated did OK. As most of the Target levels coincided with the probable top of 5181 – 5185 on the Chart Construction. The strike rate today was 100 %, discounting the strategies that were not activated and were neutral. From the feedback we got the clients were in money today but not by much. What stands out is that in a market like today they did not lose monetarily.

Market Summary:

Nifty closed at 5117.30 for the day dated 11^th December 2009 with a loss of 17.35 points on Contracting Volumes. Giving a sense, the bulls and the bears were in a state of equilibrium in the market today, even if the markets closed with a small loss. Nifty was in a very dull environment for the day as the Intraday movement on the chart suggested. A close of 5137.00 was needed today to give the Bulls a good chance on 14^th December 2009. This did not happen today. Directional uncertainty prevailed in the markets today, as for a few days prior to today. The same can not be said for the Nifty Futures as the Nifty Futures too were flat but on Higher Volumes. What is evident from the volumes is that cash markets witnessed some Selling on lower volumes and the futures market there was buying on higher volumes. The Market is always right and we have to go by this maxim and only take positions opposite to the trend, only when the markets tell us to. Today the markets have told us to be silent until the next signal to a trend emerges.
Today the stocks surrendered some of the gains towards the end of the trading session. All in all the Nifty closed in a negative position. The downward move today was supported by all the major indices in the Nifty,

Market Analysis:

Nifty closed at 5117.30 for the day dated 11^th December 2009 with a loss of 17.35 points over the previous close of 5134.65 on Contracting Volumes. The ratio of advancing stocks to declining stock was in favor of Declines. 839 stocks declined and 381 stocks advanced while 24 stocks remained unchanged. The following is an analysis for the market on 14^th December 2009 in short, without mentioning all the details.

Price action: Prices are expected to move in a Neutral - Down direction with a bias towards the Down side. The analysis of Nifty has given an uncomfortable position on probability analysis. The probability analysis has come at 49 % for the markets moving up and 51 % for the markets moving down. There is a directional conflict as is evident from the analysis of daily charts. But if one observes the weekly charts there seems to be profit taking in the market. So it can be said with confidence that the markets are poised to move down if the level of 5070 is taken out on closing basis. The price action on Nifty is looking for a direction at the moment. The daily charts are showing a trend change; where as the Weekly Nifty Charts are still in a sideways mode. But the weekly charts are showing that they are nearing the end of the side ways movement that signifies that a trending market is soon to follow.

Volumes: Contracting Volumes with a small loss in price, suggesting a short term down move on daily charts. The point movement of Nifty on weekly charts suggests a Side ways move on contracting volumes. Nifty is in a trading range. If a trend develops from here you can expect a healthy move in the markets in the coming days but one will have to wait for the markets to give the sign of this upcoming move.

Trend: Market has got into a trading range, this suggests that the market would be neutral or move lower in the near term, as we are near the strong support zones. The market has to give a close above 5137.00 to confirm an up move. A close above 5154.00 will augur well for the bullish sentiments. A close below 5050.00 will ensure that Nifty has some more ground to lose before it can commence its up move and would be in charge of the bears.

Money Flow: Money flow is decreasing in the market as is evident by the rising status of price fall in the markets on the daily charts. On the weekly charts also the money has flowed out of the market on a minuette degree. In a situation like this there is an down move pending.

Volatility: Volatility would be neutral to mild today.

Sentiments: Nonaligned status is the order of the day with some short term players going long. HNI's and Institutional players are still not in profit booking mode, on the contrary they are in a buy mode. This is evident from the movement in the market and the fund based buying that has taken place. Suggesting that an up move is still pending.

Market Patterns: Neutral to down move in Nifty is suggested by the Pattern analysis, Candlesticks analysis, Indicator and Oscillator analysis, Fibonacci analysis, Gann analysis and Elliott Wave analysis over a short term time scale.

Cycles: The next cycle turning date falls between the 14 and 16 of December 2009. So expect the market to be neutral or lower as there is ample time to nurture this up move in the short term. There is a good chance that the Nifty could move lower today. A trend reversal can take place around these dates between the 14^th and the 16^th of December 2009.

S.W.O.T Analysis:

Strength: Based on the evidence that is thrown up by the Market Analysis it is projected that the Market would be neutral - down today. Most of the parameters point in this direction. The evidence of the analysis tells of the Bulls and Bears in the short term are in symmetry. Though the studies show a neutral to up move, it is prudent for the market to guide us. The prognosis is based on the probability analysis which suggests a 51 % probability of the markets being neutral or moving lower. Any percentage above 80 is good in guiding us for the trend for the day.

Weakness: There is very little strength in the market as shown by the studies; except for what the Global markets would do today. This would have a strong influence on Nifty and the direction it trades today. Nifty has to trade above 5185.00 to move upwards in the immediate future and if nifty gives a close below 5070.00, the bears will gain an upper hand.

Opportunity: Opportunity the market presents is to be neutral - down unless the Global Markets dictate otherwise. If the Nifty begins to trade above 5185.00, then it would not be prudent to be short in the market. And if the Nifty begins to trade below 5070.00 it would not be prudent to be long in the market. Use the Chart Construction to guide you in this respect. The opportunity lies in trading the markets on the short side today. Take informed decisions before trading.

Threat: There are no threats to the Bulls as yet. The Market has to be traded on the short side today. The Bulls would feel threatened only and only if Nifty begins to trade below 5050.00 in the short term. Secondly the cues from the Global Markets would be the guiding force behind our markets. Today is one day that we would heed the global cues as these will help our markets move higher on positive sentiments.

Market Insight and Prognosis:

Taking into consideration the Market Summary and Market Analysis, It can be said with a certain degree of confidence that the Markets are poised to move down or at the most be neutral on 14^th December 2009. A close above the level of 5185.00 will open the doors for an upside, in time and price. Nifty has to trade above 5185.00 to be in a short term bullish mode. If it fails to do so, expect a fall in the market in time to come. If the Nifty moves above 5185.00 on closing basis, a target of 5250 – 5300 can not be ruled out. But today being a possible down to a neutral day, the bullish sentiments may be overlooked. But then markets do have a tendency to surprise you when you least expect it.
It is always better to follow the markets than predict the turn around. Use the Daily Chart Construction to guide you through the day. In the markets any thing can happen. If the levels on the Daily Chart Construction are superseded revert to the Weekly Chart Construction. Strictly adhere to the suggested Stop Loss as this will ensure the safety of you capital. Never trade without a Stop loss. Thirdly observe what the Markets are doing near or at the target levels of the stocks given to trade. Relate this to the Chart Construction before you take your decision to exit or enter a trade. If this becomes a discipline with you, then trading would be a cake walk for you.

Strategic Action:

Nifty has been trading in a narrow for the past few days. Market is searching for direction and if 5187 is taken out on closing basis a target between 5250 - 5300 is expected. This forecasted up move would be rapid. On the lower side the target of 5038 - 5056 is possible on intraday basis. If a close takes place below this, we will see the nifty testing for 4960 - 4990 before moving up again. Most of the volatility instruments are showing that there would be an increase in volatility in the near future.
Close up above the breakout level of 5180 - 5187 will augur a short term buy positions for carry forward trades. As is evident the market is moving in a sideways pattern. If the market moves below 5070 on closing basis at target of 4960 - 4990 is visible. There is a possibility of sluggish markets today unless 5180 - 5187 is taken out on the upper side or 5065 - 5067 is taken out on the lower side. There is a strong possibility that a trending market will develop this week.
The markets are moving in a band between 5183 on the topside and 5070 on the lower end. If one has to trade this market, be certain that you are nimble footed and are able to take action at the drop of a hat.
Today it would be prudent to stay out of the market. One can trade this market on the short side if reliable information is available. As a trader one must wait for the trend to develop before one can take action. All in all we can recommend shorting as a strategic action today.

Wishing you a great trading day.

With Regards,
Ranjit.

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MARKET STRATEGY - 14 Dec - 18 Dec.pdf

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[stock_win_india] stock calls

2009-12-14T05:48:00.000-08:00

for free and profitable stock calls, mail your details to stocksmagic71@yahoo.com or just add my id in ur messenger

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2009-12-14T05:43:00.000-08:00

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[sharetrading] Nifty

2009-12-14T05:19:00.000-08:00

A close below 5095 will be seen as a real test for the bulls. Though things look a little tight for the bulls, there should be a bounce tomorrow, if all goes well. A bounce from 5030 however will be good for the markets. But break of 5200 upwards, is what almost all market participants are looking out for. All weekly indicators are still on for the bull ride.

Abe

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[sharetrading] Vivek Patil's Weekly Technical Analysis

2009-12-14T04:21:00.001-08:00

Weekly Technical Analysis

04 May 2009

- By Vivek Patil, India's foremost expert in Elliot Wave Analysis

Top Stories of the Week

Sensex remains range-bound in the truncated week, may attempt a breakout.
Auto sales see 5th straight month of growth.
Inflation inches up to 0.56%.
New insurance business down 11.6% in Q4.
U.S. economy shrinks 6.1% in Q1.
Hiring queries by companies jump 50% in Apr after a dismal previous quarter.
Swine Flu detected in Mexico, claims 150, now spreads to other continents.

Sensex on the verge of breaking out of 3-week resistances

Last week I said, "The action over the week formed 'Three Gaps Up' pattern on the Weekly candle, giving limited weakening sign, but is not a sure-shot sell signal. Its bearish implications can be rejected if we see the Index strongly trading above its high of 11363 … With previous resistances standing nearby, some profit-booking can be seen near this level … However, anything above 11363 will, in effect, can create 3^rd UP day as well as UP week."

Trading volatile during the 3-day truncated week, Sensex initially respected the resistances and dropped to 10961 on Tuesday. On Wednesday, however, it reversed 400 points back to test the 3-week resistance area. Though the net close for the week was only marginally higher, it created an UP week alright, with higher low and higher high compared to previous week.

IT Index outperformed with 4% gain, while Realty Index came under pressure losing 5.5%. Metals and Small-Cap Indexes lost 3-4%. Stock-wise, performance came from Mindtree, KPIT, ICICI Bank & JP Associates.

The volatile week completes 6 weeks into the rally from 8867, where I had shown completion on Triple Combination since Jan'08. As I have been showing on the chart below, Sensex is in the habit of rallying for 7 weeks, after 10 weeks of downward correction. Next week can be crucial from this perspective, as it will be the 7^th week of rally. Watch out on this time parameter therefore.

This caution will be in place despite the Index is on the verge of breaking out of its 3-week resistance area near 11400. Remember, near 11400, we had 200-day EMA, 6-month highs, upper end of the Black channel (equivalent to 'Oct rally), bearish Island on 15^th Oct'08, etc.

With structure still continuing positive, especially with last Wednesday's rally closing above the Dark Cloud Cover of 16^th Apr, break of these resistances can open upsides of 11800-12000.

As I showed last week, Sensex could be forming a Bow-Tie Diametric, as marked in Purple color on the 30-minute chart given below :

I had argued that "Within this pattern, 'd' is the contraction point. The 'c' & 'e', as well as 'b' and 'd' are equal in magnitude. This pattern will allow 'g' to reach equality to 'a' near 11800-12000."

Earlier I assumed the end of Triple Combination since Jan'2008, finishing with a small Terminal at 8867 (20^th Mar'09).

With higher bottom still to be formed for confirmation, we may be into the next upward wave, "b" wave, which could correct the 14-month long Triple Combination by as much as 50%. This would target about 14500 over a period 1 year or more.

I had said that "Within this up wave, Index may stop at about 11000, and then at 12500, before 14500 is achieved."

Index did stop at about 11400 for as much as three weeks, though correcting itself only to 10715. Breakout above 11400 would now take it closer to the second stop at about 12500.

As was advised, "During the coming year investors may take their calls accordingly."

As per 8-year cycle, we saw three bear phases unfolding during the life-time of the Sensex so far. These three phases are as follows :

1. 1992 : Index dropped 57% from 4546 (Apr'92) to 1980 (Mar'93).
2. 2000 : Index dropped 58% from 6150 (Feb'00) to 2595 (Sep'01).
3. 2008 : Index dropped 63% from 21206 (Jan'08) to 7697 (Oct'08) [so far].

A study of these three bear phases throws up an interesting list of similar parameters :

1. Sensex lost about 60%.
2. It took 13 to 16 months to achieve lowest point of the phase.
3. There were 4 to 5 sell-offs.
4. There was a particular group of stocks that performed at the tops, "Old Economy" during '1992, "New Economy" during '2000 and "Property" during '2008.
5. Cycle heroes faced difficult times for 5-10 years.
6. Stock market Scam.
7. Scam related to cycle performing sector, "old economy" during '1992, "new economy" during '2000 and "property" during '2008.
8. The scam-tainted bull was taken to jail, Harshad, Ketan, Raju.
9. The phase ended with a higher bottom higher top with faster retracement of the last falling segment.
10. The lowest level of the phase was hit after a catastrophic event unfolded, "Bombay Bomb Blast", "WTC collapse", ????.

Of this, the last parameter is still awaited to get unfolded. Students of Technical Analysis may note that "history repeats" is one of the three basic pillars of Technical Analysis.

While wondering when such an event takes place, I had explained how to deal with the situation wherein bottom is made without the occurrence of a catastrophic event.

I had argued that, "we may, look for higher bottom higher top formation with faster retracement of the last falling segment to make any judgment against the history."

As per the parameters for the 8-year cycle, Sensex has a habit of moving closer to the bottom after 4 to 5 sell offs.

The 5^th sell-off remained limited to 8047 due to high public readiness to benefit out of it, and absence of catastrophic event required to push it lower.

Earlier I showed that the bear phase since Jan'2008 was a Triple Combination. I had said, "Triple Combination can occur only as the largest leg of a Triangle (or Terminal). Therefore, the fall from 'Jan highs is likely to be the "a" or first leg of the larger Triangle."

(The fact that the 3^rd corrective did not drop below Oct'08 lows can be explained through what is called an "Exception Rule", which can be occasionally applied at important major turning points and under unusual conditions.)

A Triangle always has exactly five legs, to be marked as a-b-c-d-e. Once "a" of Triangle is over, configuring as a Triple Combination, "b" leg should move higher to about 50% of "a" leg. Of the four retracing legs of a Triangle, 3 out of 4 should retrace at least 50% of their respective previous legs. On confirmation, as explained above, the current up-move will be labeled as the "b" leg of such Triangle.

Since "a" leg would have consumed about 14-15 months since Jan'08, the entire Triangle, consisting of five legs, could consume 5 years.

The suspected 5-year Triangle would be 2^nd wave within the larger 5^th. This 5^th wave could be forming as a Terminal. Terminal confirms if the Sensex drops below the 2-4 line on one higher degree. One may see the last chart of this Report (Yearly chart), which shows the 2-4 line and its value. Remember, Terminal development usually violates the 2-4 line.

From the channel perspective, the upper limits for any bear market rally were shown to be closer to the Purple lines shown on the Weekly chart below. Note that the latest highs have broken above the middle channel line.

The Index is now testing the upper channel line at about 11200 for the coming week, where we had been watching for resistance, if any.

One may also see that 'Oct lows achieved the projection based upon the height of the Head & Shoulders formation, shown in Red.

The yearly channel, which I used earlier to project 20000 level for Sensex during '2007, was broken when the Sensex moved below 17200. Break of this long-term channel weighed in favor of the larger bear phase as per 8-year cycle, and Index lost 62% from highs.

The 8-Year Cycle and its implications

The Sensex is assumed to be under a larger 8-year cycle ever since its birth. As shown on the chart below, '1984 was the beginning of 8-year long bull-run till '1992. In my Super-Cycle Degree count, shown on ASA Long-Term chart under a separate paragraph, I have, in fact, taken '1984 as the beginning point for the most dynamic 3rd wave.

The next two important turning points occurred exactly 8 years thereafter, in '1992 and '2000. Both these turning points were marked by stock market scams, because of which the leaders of the rally had extremely difficult time later. For example, ACC, the leading stock of '1992 bull market, remained below its highs till end of '2004. Similarly, the IT stocks, which were leaders of '2000 rally, lost as much as 90% of their top valuations by the year '2003, and most are below their top levels even today.

Last year, we were sitting on this very important cycle, which therefore, threw up similar possibilities.

Remember, every 8 years, market does see a deep cut in valuations. In the previous 8-year cycle top during '1992-93, Sensex lost 56% from 4546 to 1980. In the next cycle top, the cut was almost 58% from 6150 in '2000 to 2594 in '2001. Time-wise, '1992 cycle completed the bear phase in 12-16 months, while the '2000 cycle took 19 months only to hit the low, which was then followed by 19 months of base formation before bull phase could begin again.

I had, accordingly, targeted sub-10k levels for Sensex price-wise, and a minimum of 13 months into bear phase time-wise. Index achieved price/time targets.

Besides price \ time damage, I have been mentioning scam as a usual occurrence after 8-year cycle top. In the current cycle, this may have, or will unfold further in the Global financial markets. The size of the figures will, therefore, be much larger than the earlier ones, and so will be the number of people involved in it.

Furthermore, the history shows that the bull always goes to jail. (Raju did).

Another parameter that leads to the actual lowest value of the bear cycle is the catastrophic event. Such event would be a terrible disaster or accident, especially the one that leads to a great loss of life. The last two cycles had seen terrorist activities, serial blast in Mumbai during '1993 and WTC tower collapse during '2001.

These events happen suddenly, without any warning, and their catastrophic proportions are not known even while they are happening. During '1993, one blast would have been normal, but 13 serially proved catastrophic. During '2001, 1^st hit could have been an accident, but two in succession was catastrophic.

These events led to such desperation that the lows created thereafter were never ever broken again, Sensex low of 1980 during '1993 and 2584 during '2001.

Ironically, therefore, such events did, and will provide the best of the investment opportunity to an investor, who is able to take it when it comes. If so, we could be on watch, from now till whenever it occurs.

With recent accounting scam from Satyam, one more parameter of bear market has unfolded as was argued for. The last remaining parameter would the catastrophic event, which we are waiting for.

However, as I explained earlier, the bottom will in place once we see a faster retracement and formation of higher bottom higher top. Once that technical position is established, even a catastrophic even is likely to create only a higher bottom.

Alternative scenarios for Sensex

As far as larger wave scenario is concerned, I have been explaining two alternatives :

The first one assumes that a large Triple Combination corrective, beginning Sep'1994 got over in Oct'2005 at 7656. The last corrective within this Complex Corrective phase formed as a "Non-Limiting" Running Triangle, the breakout from which has already happened. This has been my preferred scenario for many years. (Remember, Non-limiting Triangles, as the name suggests, do not impose any limit on the post-pattern behavior).

This scenario also combines well with the traditional channeling technique. Sensex followed a parallel channel for 11 long years from Apr'1992 to May'2003. As I had shown, if one projects the width of this channel on upper side, such a projection also gave 20000 as the "minimum" target. The forecast was achieved.

As per the alternative bearish scenario, a Diametric had been developing into Sensex' 5th leg of impulse. In this alternative, the 4th wave ended at May'2003 low near 2904. The 5^th leg, being a non-extended wave of the Impulse, should not have gone much beyond 61.8% ratio to the 3^rd, which projected a maximum of 13300. In this argument, the 5th wave was assumed to be the "non-extended" leg within the 3^rd which began at 259 in Nov'1984 as shown below. (in an Impulse pattern, only one directional leg can be the extended leg.) As per this wave-structure, the 3rd (of the 3^rd) was shown to be the extended leg, which achieved exactly 261.8% ratio to the 1^st on log scale. The 2nd was exactly 61.8% of 1st value-wise, and 161.8% time-wise. The 4th was 38.2% of 3rd value-wise, and 261.8% time-wise, as shown below.

There are good ratios present within different waves, as explained on the chart, to support this scenario. However, the Sensex sustaining well above 13300 thereafter, may lead to a "Double Extension" scenario by this alternative, wherein both 3rd as well as 5th would be extended waves.

The development into 5th wave was read as a "Diametric" formation, as marked above. It was explained that the well-channeled Complex Corrective legs, with a subsequent correction of less than 61.8%, led to the suspicion of a "Diametric" formation. (Remember, channeled moves indicate complex correctives, which should normally get retraced more than 61.8%, except within a new pattern called "Diametric"). Diametric formation has 7 legs, marked as a-b-c-d-e-f-g. It is called "Diametric" because it combines two Triangular patterns, one initially contracting up to the "d" leg, followed by an Expanding one, thereafter. The contraction point is the "d" leg, and the legs on either sides of it tend to be equal. Accordingly, "c" and "e" were equal in "log scale", both showing about 60% gains. Similarly, "g" would be equal to "a", both showing about 115% gain.

This Diametric could be taken as the 1st of the 5th (5th, which, due to its corrective structure on one lower degree, could be developing as a Terminal wave). This 1^st leg Diametric appears to have ended at 'Jan'08, and we may be looking at the 2nd wave, which, due to its violent beginning, could be forming as a Triangle.

.

The "Double Extension" scenario was also shown on ASA Adjusted Long-term Index chart. I've created this chart combining Index figures compiled by a British advisor (from '1938 to '1945), RBI Index figures ('1945 to '1969), F.E Index ('1969 to '1980) and Sensex (thereafter till date).

The chart shows the Super-Cycle-Degree count that I had been presenting since many years ago. The labeling shows that the market is into the 5th of the SC-degree 3rd wave. This 5th leg (within SC degree 3rd) may have begun either from 2904 (May'2003) or from 7656 (Oct'05). If a "Double Extension" unfolds, Sensex could be projected to achieve even 50000+. Break of 2-4 line, however, would confirm the Terminal development inside the 5^th, and would therefore, restrict the upsides to much lower levels, though higher than 21206.

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[stock_win_india] Free nifty and equity calls......

2009-12-14T02:16:00.001-08:00

Free nifty and equity calls......

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[stock_win_india] Re: Hurry!! Book Profit 5200PUT PERFECT HIT HIGH 168

2009-12-14T01:22:00.000-08:00

Pls join us for such amazing Results...

http://in.groups. yahoo.com/ group/MoneyCreat ion/

Regards,
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--- On Mon, 14/12/09, Stock Winner <moneycreation@ymail.com> wrote:

From: Stock Winner <moneycreation@ymail.com>
Subject: Re: Hurry!! BUY 5200PUT PERFECT HIT HIGH 168
To: MoneyBhai@yahoogroups.com, moneycreation@yahoogroups.com, stock_win_india@yahoogroups.co.in, NSEdaytrading@yahoogroups.com, nseindia@yahoogroups.com, bcoz_money@yahoogroups.com, bse-nse20055@yahoogroups.com, capitalmarketjobs@yahoogroups.com, DreamGains@yahoogroups.com, GujjuBulls@yahoogroups.com, indian_bulls_market@yahoogroups.com, indian-share-guru@yahoogroups.com, indianstockmarket@yahoogroups.com, investortalks@yahoogroups.com, intradaycalls@yahoogroups.com, pick-bse@yahoogroups.com, ShareGuru@yahoogroups.com, sharemasterindia@yahoogroups.com, sharetrading@yahoogroups.com, Technical-Investor@yahoogroups.com, Tipss_Bse_Nse@yahoogroups.co.in, Trading-4-Profit@yahoogroups.co.in
Date: Monday, 14 December, 2009, 9:21 AM

25% profit in just 30minutes.. Hope everybody has booked profit...

Regards,
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--- On Mon, 14/12/09, Stock Winner <moneycreation@ymail.com> wrote:

From: Stock Winner <moneycreation@ymail.com>
Subject: Hurry!! BUY 5200PUT @ 125 target 155 Sl 115
To: MoneyBhai@yahoogroups.com, moneycreation@yahoogroups.com, stock_win_india@yahoogroups.co.in, NSEdaytrading@yahoogroups.com, nseindia@yahoogroups.com, bcoz_money@yahoogroups.com, bse-nse20055@yahoogroups.com, capitalmarketjobs@yahoogroups.com, DreamGains@yahoogroups.com, GujjuBulls@yahoogroups.com, indian_bulls_market@yahoogroups.com, indian-share-guru@yahoogroups.com, indianstockmarket@yahoogroups.com, investortalks@yahoogroups.com, intradaycalls@yahoogroups.com, pick-bse@yahoogroups.com, ShareGuru@yahoogroups.com, sharemasterindia@yahoogroups.com, sharetrading@yahoogroups.com, Technical-Investor@yahoogroups.com, Tipss_Bse_Nse@yahoogroups.co.in, Trading-4-Profit@yahoogroups.co.in
Date: Monday, 14 December, 2009, 6:32 AM

Again wait for the Magic!!!!!!!!!!!

See how 5200 PUT will touch 155......

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[stock_win_india] Re: Hurry!! BUY 5200PUT PERFECT HIT HIGH 168

2009-12-14T01:21:00.001-08:00

25% profit in just 30minutes.. Hope everybody has booked profit...

Regards,
Money Creation Group.

--- On Mon, 14/12/09, Stock Winner <moneycreation@ymail.com> wrote:

From: Stock Winner <moneycreation@ymail.com>
Subject: Hurry!! BUY 5200PUT @ 125 target 155 Sl 115
To: MoneyBhai@yahoogroups.com, moneycreation@yahoogroups.com, stock_win_india@yahoogroups.co.in, NSEdaytrading@yahoogroups..com, nseindia@yahoogroups.com, bcoz_money@yahoogroups.com, bse-nse20055@yahoogroups.com, capitalmarketjobs@yahoogroups.com, DreamGains@yahoogroups.com, GujjuBulls@yahoogroups.com, indian_bulls_market@yahoogroups.com, indian-share-guru@yahoogroups.com, indianstockmarket@yahoogroups.com, investortalks@yahoogroups.com, intradaycalls@yahoogroups.com, pick-bse@yahoogroups.com, ShareGuru@yahoogroups.com, sharemasterindia@yahoogroups.com, sharetrading@yahoogroups.com, Technical-Investor@yahoogroups.com, Tipss_Bse_Nse@yahoogroups.co.in, Trading-4-Profit@yahoogroups.co.in
Date: Monday, 14 December, 2009, 6:32 AM

Again wait for the Magic!!!!!!!!!!!

See how 5200 PUT will touch 155......

Regards,
Money Creation Group

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DG - Amazing Speech - Chetan Bhagat [1 Attachment]

2009-12-13T22:51:00.000-08:00

[Attachment(s) from RoHiT included below]

DG Group,

Here is an amazing speech by Chetan Bhagat. Must read.

Regards,
Rohit

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[stock_win_india] Hurry!! BUY 5200PUT @ 125 target 155 Sl 115

2009-12-13T22:32:00.001-08:00

Again wait for the Magic!!!!!!!!!!!

See how 5200 PUT will touch 155......

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[sharetrading] Intraday cum Delivery Buy TITAN cmp 1318 for tgt 1350-1375+ SL 1260

2009-12-13T21:44:00.000-08:00

Intraday cum Delivery Buy TITAN cmp 1318 for tgt 1350-1375+ SL 1260
our RAYMOND moving 194.50

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[sharetrading] MOSER BAER

2009-12-13T20:06:00.000-08:00

CMP – 85.9. This scrip has failed a break out and is seen moving down. But if it can bounce near 84.4, then this could target higher prices. On weekly it is a buy above 86.

Stay out till it remains below 85.7. Buy on upward move only. SL – 84.

Those interested in LT holding, may target this scrip as it is making a neat pattern on monthly chart. It has had more than 5 quarters of losses and overdue for a reversal. Is a consistent dividend paying co. Is into new technologies. With piracy on the decline with new technologies and strict enforcement, this scrip will return its value.

BV – 117. This is minimum target in near days.

Abe

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[sharetrading] WORLD MARKETS

2009-12-13T19:39:00.001-08:00

Most Asian markets have opened in negative to sideways mode. Expect nothing more or less with India too.

Daily indicators……………….

Australia - on weak signs of revival. – In bear hold

Sensex – In bull hold.

Brasil – In bull hold

Dow – In bull hold

France – In sideways – bull hold.

UK – Sideways in Bear hold

Germany – Sideways in Bull hold.

US _ GSPC – Sideways in bull hold.

GSPTSE US – In bear hold sideways.

HK – Sideways in bear hold.

Indonesia – In firm bull hold.

Malaysia – In bear land sideways.

Korea – In firm bull land.

Japan – Trying to enter bull land.

NYA – US – Sideways failing to hold.

OIL – trying to make a come back from bear land.

Spain – In bear land

China – showing signs of reversal in bull land.

Singapore – Bullish

Taiwan – Sideways with a bullish hue.

All charts on weekly are on a hold with all indicating no exit as of now.

Abe

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Indian Stocks BSE

2009-12-13T12:07:00.000-08:00

Indian Stocks BSE

ESS DEE ALUM ( 532787 )

Posted: 12 Dec 2009 07:43 PM PST

Free Intraday Cash Tips from Tipz.in for 14th December 09
532787 ( ESS DEE ALUM)

Action	Trigger Price	Stop Loss	Target 1	Target 2
BUY ABOVE	359	356	368	376
S.SELL BELOW	355	357	351	339

506285 ( BAYER CROP )

Action	Trigger Price	Stop Loss	Target 1	Target 2
BUY ABOVE	499	496	503	508
S.SELL BELOW	494	498	487	481

513059 ( G.S.AUTO INT)

Action	Trigger Price	Stop Loss	Target 1	Target 2
BUY ABOVE	30.5	30.2	31.3	31.9
S.SELL BELOW	30	30.3	29.8	28.8

ZENITH HEALT ( 530665 )

Posted: 12 Dec 2009 07:42 PM PST

Hot Stocks from Tipz.in for 14th December 09
530665(ZENITH HEALT), 517564(G.R.CABLES ), 532787(ESS DEE ALUM),
532626(PONDY OXIDES), 532275(LANDMARC LEI), 521016(INDO COUNT ),
506285(BAYER CROP ), 513059(G.S.AUTO INT), 511611(DCM FINANCIA),
532421(IQ INFOTECH ), 509077(NUCENT FIN. ), 519532(ASIAN TEA ).

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2009-12-13T08:32:00.005-08:00

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File - Welcome.txt

2009-12-13T08:32:00.003-08:00

Hi,

Hope you are having an exciting and adrenalin pumping ride at the markets. More than making money, I love the excitement it gives me! What about you? Money is side business to me. The main thing is that excitement and the excitement and high that you get when you are on the right side of the trade.

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[stock_win_india] stock calls

2009-12-13T05:33:00.001-08:00

for free and profitable stock calls, mail ur details to stocksmagic71@yahoo.com or just add my id in ur messenger

thanks

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[sharetrading] Coming week watch ....Buy RAYMOND cmp 191 sl 180 tgt 200-225+

2009-12-13T05:22:00.000-08:00

Coming week watch

Buy RAYMOND cmp 191 sl 180 tgt 200-225+

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Re: [sharetrading] Indraprastha Gas Ltd O

2009-12-13T03:23:00.000-08:00

how to performance coming week tata steel

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Stock Market India - Online Share Trading - IPO Updates

2009-12-12T18:12:00.001-08:00

Stock Market India - Online Share Trading - IPO Updates

Record date for RFL International consolidation of shares
Kanani Industries hits Upper Circuit on Stock-Split plan
KRBL Jumped on stock-split plan

Record date for RFL International consolidation of shares

Posted: 12 Dec 2009 01:32 AM PST

Kanani Industries hits Upper Circuit on Stock-Split plan

Posted: 12 Dec 2009 01:14 AM PST

KRBL Jumped on stock-split plan

Posted: 12 Dec 2009 01:04 AM PST

[sharetrading] Indraprastha Gas Ltd O [1 Attachment]

2009-12-12T17:38:00.001-08:00

[Attachment(s) from ekam ber included below]

Indraprastha Gas Ltd - Anagram - 12 12 09

Valuation and Outlook

We believe that IGL is likely to benefit as PNGRB might give authorisation to expand its geographical network. This authorisation to supply gas will be a positive for the company and this stock will outperform the market.

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[stock_win_india] Day Trading Stock Tips

2009-12-12T11:20:00.001-08:00

Day Trading Stock Tips

We have Tips for Intraday Traders trading in Stocks and Commodities. Tips are provided for NSE, MCX, NCDEX and other stock exchanges in India. We have a accuracy level of 85-90%. You will be surprised by our monthly Jackpot call. So, get registered to our Free Trial and know the details after considering and watching our tips.

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