The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Week 10 - Football Sports Betting

2009-11-15T10:53:00.002-05:00

5-0 last week. Things seem to be getting back on track. Today's plays:

Tennessee Titans -8 over Buffalo Bills
Jacksonville Jaguars +7 (-115) over New York Jets
Philadelphia Eagles Pick over San Diego Chargers
Seattle Seahawks +9 over Arizona Cardinals

That's all for now. I might have a Monday Night Football bets too, but I'm still watching a few things. I'll post it later if I bet it.

All lines are from BoDog.
09 NFL Season Record: 18-19

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Week 9 - Football Sports Betting

2009-11-08T11:00:00.003-05:00

Tough week last week. But you can't stop firing. Today's plays:

Cincinnati Bengals +3 (-115) over Baltimore Ravens
Atlanta Falcons -10 (-105) over Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals +3 (-140) over Chicago Bears
Tennessee Titans+5 over San Francisco 49ers

Monday Night Football Bet:
Pittsburgh Steelers -3 over Denver Broncos

All lines are from BoDog.

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Week 8 - Football Sports Betting (and a World Series bet)

2009-10-31T10:24:00.007-05:00

Terrible set of picks last weekend... let's pick some better games for Sunday

Minnesota Vikings +3 over Green Bay Packers
Arizona Cardinals -10½ (-105) over Carolina Panthers
New York Giants -1½ over Philadelphia Eagles
Oakland Raiders +17 (-115) over San Diego Chargers
New York Jets -3½ (EVEN) over Miami Dolphins

Plus a Halloween World Series Bet -
New York Yankees Andy Pettitte (L) -118 over Philadelphia Phillies Cole Hamels (L)

All lines are from BoDog.
09 NFL Season Record: 11-16

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Week 7 - Football Sports Betting

2009-10-25T09:18:00.003-05:00

Extremely busy recently. I still did my research, but have no time for write ups.

Miami Dolphins +7 (-120) over New Orleans Saints.
New York Giants -7 (-115) over Arizona Cardinals
Chicago Bears Pick over Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs +6 (-115) over San Diego Chargers

All lines are from BoDog.
09 Season Record: 11-12

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Week 6 - Football Sports Betting

2009-10-17T15:00:00.003-05:00

New York Giants +3 (EVEN) over New Orleans Saints

This is the match up of the week, and I expect both teams to be focused. This will also be the first real test for both these teams. The Giants have a cupcake schedule so far, with their only real challenge coming from Dallas. They easily won that game. The Saints beat the Jets with a rookie QB and Philly without McNabb. Two good, but untested teams... I'm taking the points. Expect the Giants to be able to get it done on both sides of the ball, and the Saints to have a little trouble against a good defense (like the problems they had vs the Jets).

Atlanta Falcons -3½ (+105) over Chicago Bears

Atlanta surprised me last week. Their offense is complete and their defensive play was better than expected. The Bears are coming off a bye, and will be ready to fight, but their defense just isn't as good as it was in the past. They will need their offense to pick up the slack, and I don't see that happening.

St. Louis Rams +10 (-120) over Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jags have the better record, but they haven't had a quality win yet this year. In fact they get their asses kicked by any decent team. Only 1 of their 2 wins came by 10 points or more. The Rams on the other hand are winless verse a much tougher schedule. I don't expect them to win this week, but 10 points are too many.

I might be back with more later. I also have a strong lean for Monday Night. Still deciding on a play...

All lines are from BoDog.
09 Season Record: 9-11

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Week 5 - Football Sports Betting

2009-10-08T20:04:00.006-05:00

I know that these picks might seem a little strange with 2 sides and totals on 2 games. But I think they're quality bets with value, so I'm on them. I'm also have a few leans that I'm not ready to pull the trigger on yet. I might by Sunday.

Houston Texans +5½ over Arizona Cardinals

The Cards are at home coming off a bye, which would normally mean trouble, but there is too much value in this line to pass. Zona can't seem to shake the Super Bowl hangover, and they're 0-2 at home this year. I'll take the points on this side.

Houston Texans/Arizona Cardinals OVER 50

Neither team is very strong on defense. The Texans have a lot of offensive weapons and the Cards are always good to score a few points.

San Francisco 49ers -3 (-105) over Atlanta Falcons

San Fran is at home and going into a bye. They're defense is good and should give the Falcons plenty of problems. Missing Frank Gore shouldn't be much of a problem.

Atlanta Falcons/San Francisco 49ers UNDER 41

Again, San Fran's defense is good and Frank Gore is out.

Indianapolis Colts -4 over Tennessee Titans

Indy's headed into a bye and should be focused this week. The Titans should be close to giving up.

All lines are from BoDog.
09 Season Record: 8-7

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Week 4 - Football Sports Betting

2009-10-03T09:28:00.003-05:00

2-3 last week, 6-5 so far for the season. Remember it's a marathon, not a sprint. The goal is to win money over the course of the season. There will be some good and some bad weeks along the way.

New York Jets/New Orleans Saints UNDER 45 (-110)

Jets have a great defense. The Saints sat on their lead last week. The public is all over the OVER in this game, but the line has dropped from 48 to 45. The smart (and big) money is on the under.

Detroit Lions +10 (-110) over Chicago Bears

The Lions won a game last week! And the Skins aren't that bad a team. I see the Bears winning this week, but I think it will be closer than 10. Chicago hasn't won a game by more than 10 this year, and struggled last week against the Seahawks who had a lot of injuries. The Bears are also banged up on defense and Kevin Smith will play.

Baltimore Ravens +1½ (-110) over New England Patriots

The Pats only lost this season has come against a good defense. Baltimore is known of their defense. They can and will blitz all day and keep Brady out of the pocket and off balance. Also the Ravens currently have the best offense in the AFC.

Monday Night Football Play! (my first of the season)

Minnesota Vikings -3½ (-110) over Green Bay Packers

At home against his old team, expect Farve to win. The student (Rogers) does not become the mentor (Farve) this game. I don't like the extra 1/2 point over 3, but I'll take it since I still see value in this line.

That's all for now. I'll probably have a few plays tomorrow.

All lines are from BoDog.
09 Season Record: 6-5

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Week 3 - Football Sports Betting - Final Card

2009-09-27T08:40:00.003-05:00

Cincinnati Bengals +4 (-115) over Pittsburgh Steelers

Cincy has an offense. Pitt has key defensive injuries. Pitt's offense has looked slow this season, and has gone 1-1 in 2 close games. The public loves to back the Super Bowl winner's, but the line has moved against them. Cincy is at home and getting points.

New York Jets -3 (+125) over Tennessee Titans

Everyone loved betting the Jets last week as home dogs, but for some reason the 0-2 Titans are getting love this week. I don't think they should be. The Titans haven't looked good in either of their games this year. They've currently given up the most pass yards in the league, and the Jets defense shouldn't have a tough time shutting them down. This game looks too easy, and hopefully it will be.

Already on:
Buffalo Bills +6 (-105) over New Orleans Saints
St. Louis Rams +7 (-125) over Green Bay Packers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers/New York Giants OVER 44

All lines are from BoDog.
09 Season Record: 4-2

Good Luck.
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Week 3 - Football Sports Betting - Added Bets

2009-09-26T09:50:00.006-05:00

All my lines all season are from BoDog. Sometimes you might get different lines than I have, but BoDog has good lines that can be found almost universally online and in Vegas.

So far I've only had 3 bets each week. Well, it's still early in the season. I don't really like picking a lot of games until week 5. Now more bets:

Buffalo Bills +6 (-105) over New Orleans Saints

This is an interesting home dog. The Bills are 1-1 (and could easily be 2-0). The Saints are on the road for their second week, and this is their first real test of the year. This line has value. The public loves the Saints, even though they haven't faced a good team yet this year. They killed the Lions and then beat Philly without McNabb. 6 points is too much to give the Bills at home.

St. Louis Rams +7 (-125) over Green Bay Packers

Another interesting home dog. The public hates the Rams, but a lot of money has been placed on them. The Rams are underrated in this spot. This is their home opener. They haven't been able to get a lot going on offense, but expect that to change this week against the Packers' weaker defense. It's no secret that Green Bay's O-line is terrible. St. Louis has played decent defense so far this year. There is value in this line.

I'm already on:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers/New York Giants OVER 44

That's all for today. I might have some more for tomorrow. (watching the news out of NE.)

2009 Season Record: 4-2

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Week 3 - Football Sports Betting

2009-09-24T18:09:00.006-05:00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers/New York Giants OVER 44

Both these teams can put up points. TB is a running team, and the Giants have had problems stopping the run. The Giants also just lost their strong safety (out for the year). TB hasn't won a game this year, and gave up 34 and 33 points so far this year. My money is on the over.

It's the week of the home dog with at 7 lines favoring away teams. I'm still looking at games, and I'll have more bets later in the week.

YTD record: 4-2

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

Fantasy Football Week 3 Waiver Wires Pick Ups

2009-09-22T17:45:00.003-05:00

3-0 last weekend. 4-2 for the year. Making some money already :O)

I didn't have a play on yesterday's game. I usually start betting on Monday night football later in the year, so if you're following me, check back on Mondays to see if I have a play.

I don't often post fantasy football pick ups (and who knows if I ever will again), but almost everyone plays now, so I thought I'd throw out a few names that I'm targeting this week.

Mario Manningham - #2 WR on the Giants. Had TDs in their first 2 games.

Johnny Knox - He seems to be Cutler's new favorite target. He had a TD and 70 yards last week. He could become the #1 WR in Chicago.

Justin Forsett - He's current splitting carries with Julius Jones. Jones is the starter in Seattle, but he outplayed him on Sunday.

Mike Sims-Walker - Troy Williamson is out of the year, so Sims-Walker is now the #2 WR in Jacksonville. He had 106 yards and a TD last week.

Chris Brown - No, not the singer. He's that back up RB in Houston. With Steve Slaton's struggles, it's not a bad idea to grab Brown now. He got 8 carries last week, and he could start stealing more.

That's all for now. I'll have some bets for you later in the week.

Good Luck

The Online Sports Bettor

Football Sports Betting - NFL Week 2 - Added Bet

2009-09-19T09:38:00.004-05:00

Baltimore Ravens +3 (-130) over the San Diego Chargers

The Ravens look better on offense, while the Chargers looked worse. LT is banged up already, and the Ravens have not allowing a 100-yard rusher in 36 straight games. Their D also had a league-high 34 turnovers last year, and they look just as good this year. San Diego struggled against Oakland, and is now coming off a short week and facing a very strong Ravens team.

I already bet:
New York Jets +4 over New England Patriots
San Francisco 49ers -1½ over Seattle Seahawks

Good Luck

The Online Sports Bettor

Football Sports Betting - NFL Week 2

2009-09-17T18:40:00.004-05:00

New York Jets +4 over New England Patriots

The Jets looked great last week, and they seem to have figured things out on defense. They also have a good QB, an O-line and a running game. Pats are coming off a short week and struggled against the Bills at home on Monday night. The Bills aren't a good team. The Jets are a good home dog bet.

San Francisco 49ers -1½ over Seattle Seahawks

I'm starting Matt Hasselback and Julius Jones in fantasy leagues this week, but I started Warner and Fitz in leagues last week and bet against them too. When you're in a few fantasy leagues, you'll have at least several good betting opportunities a year against your fantasy players. I'm not going to pass on a bet just because I want to root for my fantasy guys. This is real money (and so are my fantasy leagues), but you still have to make bets when you see value, and I see value here.

Value: The Hawks beat up on a bad team last week at home, while San Fran went on the road to defeat the NFC champions. Now the Hawks face a decent team on the road. It's too early in the year to say that the Seattle is good again.

That's all for now. More bets later in the week.

YTD record: 1-2

Good Luck

The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Week 1 Football Bets - Final Card

2009-09-13T09:14:00.004-05:00

Adding 1 game... and this will be it for Sunday.

Cincinnati Bengals -4½ (-115) over Denver Broncos (line from BoDog)
The Broncos have problems. Cinci has problems too, but Cinci's problems should have gotten better this off season while the Broncos' got worse. I don't expect either team to be that good, but Denver should be plan bad this week. I'm taking the Bungles and not looking back.

I'm also on:
San Francisco 49ers +6 (-105) over Arizona Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys/Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 39

I might have something later for Monday's games.

Good Luck

The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Week 1 Football Sports Betting - Added Play

2009-09-12T10:35:00.004-05:00

San Francisco 49ers +6 (-105) over Arizona Cardinals (bet at BoDog)

I'm taking this game now. Early news doesn't look good for Boldin. He'll probably be limited even if he does play.

Super Bowl hangover - teams that lose the Super Bowl are 0-9 ATS over the last 9 years on opening day the next year. The public overrates them, and they are often too comfortable in the off season.

I'm already on:
Dallas Cowboys/Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 39

Thinking about a bet on Green Bay...

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

First NFL bet of the year - Week 1 Football Betting

2009-09-11T19:14:00.009-05:00

I didn't realize that my last post was titled "football picks", and I didn't post any picks... Anyway, if you followed my lean on the Titans, congrats you won your first game of the year. Now I'm trying to win mine.

Dallas Cowboys/Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 39

Who knows what these offenses will do? The Cowboys are without TO and are facing the 2008's 4th best pass defense. Tampa's offense is a mess. They fired their offensive coordinator a couple weeks ago and are installing a new West Coast offense lead by Byron Leftwich. They're still a rushing offense, but without a good running back. Instead they'll be cycling 3 different RBs on and off the field. This early in the year, I expect both these teams to struggle offensively and focus on the run (and eat the clock).

Thoughts:
There's been a lot of money dumped on San Fran today. With Boldin questionable and Fitz matched up vs Nate Clements, this could be a long day for the Card's offense. Clemens held Fitz to 31 and 46 yards in their two meetings last year. I'm keeping my eye on this line. Unfortunately it's been moving in the wrong direction, but I expect that to change on Sunday. I'll let you know if and when I bet this game. It's not a play yet, but it's worth looking at.

I'll have more up this weekend.

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Week 1 Football Picks

2009-09-09T19:22:00.002-05:00

I don't like betting week 1. There are always a lot of upsets, and it takes a couple of weeks of real games (not preseason) to really figure teams out. Players change teams, rookies enter the league, and the coaches are still trying to figure out what works, let alone good handicappers. Hell Cleveland just named their starting QB today.

Luckily Vegas doesn't know much better, so we might find some value this week. If I do, I'll be sure to post some games.

I have no action on Thursday's game. If I had to bet, I'd lean toward the Titans with the points, but the line is solid, so I'm passing.

I'm looking forward to a new season.

Good luck all and thanks for reading.
- The Online Sports Bettor

Some time off...

2009-02-11T09:42:00.003-05:00

My final record for the NFL 2008-09 season is 57-36. If you were following my plays for the year and betting $100 each, you’d be up about $1,740 this season. If you bet $500 a game, you would be up $8,700. I post all my plays here for free every week.

I won the spread bet and the over/under on the Super Bowl. A few prop bets didn’t work out, but I was still up money going 4-3-1 overall for the game.

I’m taking the rest of the year off until the next football season. I usually bet baseball, but it’s a pain to post picks everyday. Vacations I take during the summer also interrupt the season.

So thanks for reading and remember me for next football season. Bookmark me now!

Have a great spring and summer!

The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Sports Betting - Super Bowl XLIII - Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals - Final Bets

2009-01-31T12:13:00.005-05:00

This season my NFL record is 53-33. I already have 7 bets going for this year's Super Bowl, and I'm adding one more today.

Today's bet:
Pittsburgh Steelers/Arizona Cardinals OVER 46.5
The initial numbers suggest this game goes under, but if you weight recent history (the playoffs) a little more, I like the over in this game.

All other plays already bet are below. See past post for write ups. All prop bets were bet at BoDog.

- Arizona Cardinals +7 (-115) over Pittsburgh Steelers
- Total Receiving Yards - Willie Parker UNDER 1.5 (-115)
- Total Rushing Yards – Edgerrin James OVER 49.5 (+115)
- Total Receptions - Anquan Boldin OVER 5.5 (-135)
- Total Receiving Yards – Hines Ward OVER 69.5 (-105)
- Who will throw more interceptions in the game? Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) (+120)
- Will Barack Obama bring back US tradition and call winning team before broadcast goes off the air? YES (+165)

It's been a hell of a season. Good Luck tomorrow. I hope we both win money and have some fun... I'll be getting wasted.

The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Sports Betting - Super Bowl XLIII - Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals

2009-01-28T20:11:00.004-05:00

This Super Bowl is a very tough game to handicap. It looks like Vegas made this line perfect. If it was a regular season game, I probably won’t bet it. My record is 53-33 on the rest of the season, and I already have 6 prop bets going on this game.

That said, it’s the freaking Super Bowl, so let’s try to find an edge.

It’s an odd match up and one that clearly favors the Steelers. The Steelers have a solid defense and a potent offense. Based on the Cards regular season play, this line is a little low. Arizona’s defense was middle of the road, they’re running game suffered, and the greatest weapon that this team had was the pass.

Pittsburgh was also challenged more during the regular season. They went 4-4 against teams that were 500 or better while the Cards went 2-6 against winning teams. Arizona also lost 4 of their last 6 heading into the playoffs.

But what Arizona has accomplished in the playoffs has been great. Their defense has been able to create turnovers, they have revitalized their running game, and their passing game has made Larry Fitzgerald and Kurt Warner household names.

In fact if you just handicap this Super Bowl based on these teams playoff performances, this line would favor the Cards. So based on these teams’ playoff performances, I'm betting:

Arizona Cardinals +7 (-115) over Pittsburgh Steelers

That’s the pick. Let’s root for the dog.

See my prop bets 1 and prop bets 2 post for some good Super Bowl props.

Good Luck

The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Sports Betting - Super Bowl Prop Bets - Added Bet

2009-01-28T19:14:00.003-05:00

Another Prop Bet I like from BoDog:

Total Receiving Yards - Willie Parker UNDER 1.5 (-115)
Parker only caught 3 passes all year, 2 of which were for negative yards. Get on this one.

See this post for 5 more Super Bowl prop bets. I'll be back with more bets tonight.

The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Sports Betting - Super Bowl Prop Bets

2009-01-26T19:14:00.007-05:00

I'm stilling waiting to pick a side on this game, but I've already bet a few props. These are all from BoDog. My 2008-09 season NFL record is 53-33.

Total Rushing Yards – Edgerrin James OVER 49.5 (+115)

I went over with him in the NFC Championship too. James is a veteran with experience. Expect Arizona to go to him before Hightower.

Total Receptions - Anquan Boldin OVER 5.5 (-135)

Pittsburgh will be more focused on Larry Fitzgerald as Arizona’s #1 receiver. Boldin also played 12 games this regular season and went over 5.5 receptions in 9 of them. Boldin should be healthy for this game, and he is a part of the offense that the Cards will use with 2 weeks to prepare.

Total Receiving Yards – Hines Ward OVER 69.5 (-105)

As long as he stays healthy, this Super Bowl MVP should go over 70 yards. He’s the Steelers #1 WR threat, and Big Ben will get him the ball.

Who will throw more interceptions in the game? Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) (+120)

Warner can be an interception machine, but I don’t see him turning it over much in the Super Bowl. Meanwhile, the Cards defense has been very good at pressuring the QB and getting picks through out the playoffs. I see this bet at a coin flip, so I’ll take the plus money on Big Ben.

Super Bowl XLIII - Will Barack Obama bring back US tradition and call winning team before broadcast goes off the air? YES (+165)

This president weighs in on the BCS. I think he’ll be calling the Super Bowl winners, and I'll bet it at plus money.

I'll be back later in the week with a side and maybe some more prop bets.

Good Luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Sports Betting - Another Winning Weekend - Looking toward the Super Bowl

2009-01-18T23:06:00.007-05:00

I just wanted to update this site after going 4-1 today! I think it would have been a solid 5-0 if Hines Ward didn't get injured. Anyway, it was another good day, and it now brings my season record to 53-33.

Now we have a full 2 weeks off until the Super Bowl. I'm really looking forward to the Arizona Cardinals/Pittsburgh Steelers game. I think it'll be a good one. The current line stands at:

Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5
Arizona Cardinals +6.5
Over/Under 47

I already have an early lean, but I'm in no rush to bet anything tonight. After all we still have 2 weeks to figure out the right bets.

It's really the prop bets that are the best thing about betting the Super Bowl. If you look at my plays today, I had 3 props going, and I expect to have more than 5 on the Super Bowl.

I'm not trying to a shill or anything, but if you don't have an account at BoDog, and you like betting Super Bowl props, you should open up an account with them this week. Every year they offer more prop bets than any other book, and some of them are real juicy. It's where I found the props that I bet today.

So, I'm happy with the way things played out today, and like most people, I'm really looking forward to the big game.

I hope your day was just as good as mine or better. Thanks for reading and good luck.

The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Sports Betting - Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

2009-01-18T09:58:00.008-05:00

Well, yesterday I did a good size write-up on the Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals game. Today I'm picking the Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers game, but don't expect as much analysis. I also have a few prop bets for today. My NFL season record is 49-32.

Pittsburgh Steelers -6 (-110) over Baltimore Ravens

The Steelers have a better defense, special teams, and pass game. I give the Ravens the edge in the run game, but the Steelers with Fast Willie Parker aren't far behind. Basically this game comes down to defense which is very close between the two teams, and offensive weapons, where the Ravens aren't even close to the Steelers. As long as the Steelers are clicking, this shouldn't be close.

Player Prop Bets for today:
Big Ben OV 202.5 passing yds -120
H. Ward OV 67.5 receiving yds -100
E. James OV 52.5 rushing yds -110

Good Luck

The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Sports Betting - Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals

2009-01-17T11:48:00.004-05:00

Another good weekend for football and another great weekend to win some money. My 08-09 season NFL record is currently 49-32. This weekend's best bet -

Arizona Cardinals +4 (-110) over Philadelphia Eagles

Arizona is a home dog in the playoffs? Is this free money? The Eagles are on the road for the 3rd straight week, and they are coming off a very emotional win verse the Giants. Those are 3 big trends pointing against the Eagles this week: Road Favorite, Let down game and 3rd straight road game.

"But the Eagles killed the Cards Thanksgiving Day!" Yeah, everyone watched that game, and the public's perception has been figured into Sunday's line. That game is the reason why Arizona is not favored this weekend.

But lets take a look at the that game. It was in Philly. It was a short week. It was a West Coast team going East. It was the Cards first game after a rough loss to the defending Super Bowl Champions. Granted, Arizona got killed, but there are a lot factors that are different this time around.

The Cardinals are now playing well and running well. This team had only 10 rushing attempts the last time they met Philly. Even fewer two weeks later vs Minnesota this year, but they have now ran the ball 114 times over their last 3 games. This more balanced attack brings a different dynamic to this team's offense that the Eagles didn't face the first time around.

Arizona's defense has also shown much improvement in the playoffs. This middle of the road defense during the regular season, has forced 9 turnovers in their 2 playoff games. Turnovers win games.

As I mentioned before, discount Thanksgiving Day game and Arizona would be favored this week. Instead they are now getting 4 points. I'll those extra points.

Injuries: Boldin and Westbrook will play. Eagles' injured offensive tackle Runyan and safety Dawkins are also expect to play.

Good Luck

The Online Sports Bettor