Betting Blog - Picks and Tips

Sunday Premier League Pick

2009-12-05T22:43:00.003+02:00

Bukomir's Predictions

Barclays Premier League
06 December, 09

Fulham v Sunderland
We all know Fulham will push for a win here and having in mind Sunderland away mentality it is likely to see all 3 points staying at home. The win will lift Fulham above their visitors in the top half of the table and find them well positioned before the Christmas period starts with its busy schedule. However I am a bit worried about from where exactly the goals will come from. Fulham were lucky to win 1:0 against CSKA Sofia in their European game on Thursday night and it was so obvious again the team misses an experienced goal scorer. Dempsey is unstoppable lately but this is more a sort of a flash than a tendency.
On the other hand Sunderland have Bent, now ready to join the action. I bet he will need some time to adapt back to his rythm from the start of the season and will not like Craven Cotage that much as the defense is top priority there. The Black Cats have everything to prove on the road this season and every game is a chance to make Steve Bruce happier.
Both teams have produced enough low scoring affairs when you look back in the history and it looks like a fair exit on Sunday in a game that can easily go either way.

Bet selection:
My main bet on this game will be on Under 2.5 Goals for a nice reward of 1.80 offered by bet365

Bookmakers of choice:
This season I use mainly the following bookies to bet on England Premier League as I find them secure, trusted and user friendly. Read more in my best rated bookmakers section or join me in:

Ladbrokes, bet365, bwin, Expekt or Bet-at-home.

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Before the game starts & after the final whistle:
I found playing poker as an great alternative on sports betting and a way to increase my bankroll seriously. And it is more fun, that is for sure. You can find me on 1/2 NL Holdem aor Omaha PL at:

Full Tilt & Bet365

Have a problem - browse for info

2009-12-05T22:11:00.003+02:00

As you probably remember I have designed a series of posts or reviews that will bring you closer to my web surfing findings aside of the pure betting numbers and calculations. I should admit this one may seems strange a bit but believe me, if you have this problem it can be your solution.

What is this Eye Floaters thing about? OK, lets start with you are not able to watch TV as a normal guy, to enjoy your favorite game without dealing with annoying dots and things in your eye field. The same about reading or driving. Or If you are browsing the odds for so long, as I do, online, site after site, eye floating can be a problem. You can read http://www.eyefloaters.info/ which explains how to eliminate the problem. And I did know now what is an vitreous floaters - well, the same, pretty much. It works or not, I can't tell, but it is always good to have more info on that kind of problems.

NBA Basketball Betting – Friday Night Picks

2009-12-04T13:01:00.003+02:00

While most bettors will be focused on the Florida Alabama lines in their online sportsbook, since that’s the big college football event of the week, here’s a preview of the ESPN NBA games on Friday night:

Chicago Bulls @ Cleveland Cavaliers

Sports Betting Odds: Cavaliers -12

The Chicago Bulls have been an inconsistent team this year but one of their impressive wins came on November 5th when they won at the Quicken Loans Arena. On Friday night, they’ll try to duplicate that feat as they visit the Cleveland Cavaliers once again.

The Bulls have some problems right now but they can’t figure out exactly what’s wrong. They were a respectable 5-4 before leaving on a West Coast trip but after one win in Sacramento to open the road trip, they lost their remaining five games. They bounced back with a win over the Detroit Pistons to end their five-game losing streak on Wednesday but winning in Cleveland on Friday will be a tall order.

The Cavaliers had a slow start to the season and part of that was a home loss to the Bulls. But since that loss, the Cavaliers have won 10 of their 12 games and have not lost at home.

The Cavs are hitting their stride while the Bulls are just flat-out struggling right now. Stick with those trends as the Cavaliers get a win over the Bulls an exert some payback.

Pick: Cavaliers -12

Miami Heat @ Los Angeles Lakers

Sportsbook Lines: Lakers -11

While many teams are sorting out their problems at the top of both conferences, the Los Angeles Lakers have been one of the steadiest teams around. Aside from losing back-to-back games to Denver and Houston, the Lakers are 13-1 since the start of November.

In recent weeks, now that the Lakers have their lineup back at full strength, they have been rolling opponents. The Lakers have won seven straight games – six of them at home – by a margin of 16.7 points per game.

The Lakers are a very dominant team with All-Stars at four of their five starting positions. The Heat do have Dwyane Wade but that clearly won’t be enough against such a balanced attack.

On top of that, the Heat will be playing their second game of a back-to-back on the road. Fatigue will surely be a factor as the Lakers win rather easily.

Pick: Lakers -11

NBA Betting – Friday Basketball Picks

2009-11-27T08:40:00.002+02:00

Sure, NFL betting will grab the headlines during Thanksgiving weekend, but there’s plenty of NBA to bet on too. Here are some intriguing matchups to consider for Friday.

San Antonio Spurs @ Houston Rockets
Friday, November 27, 8:30 p.m. ET

It’s been an odd start for the Spurs, considered serious championship contenders by many sports betting sharps entering the season. They’ve sputtered to a 7-6 record despite boasting one of the NBA’s deepest rosters. A big reason for their slow start is injuries, as it seems one of Tim Duncan or Manu Ginobli always has some kind of malady. Another reason is their relaxed approach; they’re confident enough in their playoff chances that Gregg Popovich isn’t pushing his starters too hard early on.

While the Spurs have won three straight, those wins all came at home. Strangely enough, San Antonio is 0-4 on the road this year. I do, however, think they end that slump in Houston on Friday. The Rockets are playing well enough without Tracy McGrady and Yao Ming – Trevor Ariza is earning his keep so far – but they aren’t beating anyone important aside from their one victory over the Lakers. Usually, the Dallases and San Antonios of the world handle the depleted Rockets. Shane Battier can’t cover everyone so I like the Spurs to wake up and win on Friday.

NBA betting pick: Spurs

New Jersey Nets @ Sacramento Kings
Friday, November 27, 10:00 p.m. ET

The sports betting world is a funny place in that it ignores bad teams but suddenly becomes interested in really bad teams. Take the New Jersey Nets. They’re 0-15, two losses away from tying the NBA record for worst-ever start to a season. That makes for exciting betting as we sit their wondering if “this is the game” the finally win or if they have a date with dubious history.

It’s safe to say New Jersey’s trip to Sacramento is the last chance to avoid humiliation. If the Nets lose, they go to Los Angeles for Game 16 (loss) and host Dallas for Game 17 (probably a loss). They probably know this and will thus give their best effort of the season on Friday night.

There’s plenty to like about Sacramento’s start, as Kevin Martin is exploding into stardom and Tyreke Evans looks like a player too (though he turns over the ball a ton). But the Kings can be had. They allow 105.4 points per game, the sixth-worst mark in the league. With Devin Harris likely starting and Courtney Lee’s minutes coming back up, the Nets are getting healthier. Look for them to end the misery and win a hard-fought road game this Friday. Make them your sports picks.

NBA betting pick: Nets

How to Manage Your Betting Bankroll

2009-11-24T15:14:00.002+02:00

Responsible gambling is all about control. Regardless of the remarkable tales of hot streaks, the wide belief in luck or especially strategies to "beat" the game that you've learned, the only true way to come out ahead when gambling is to be responsible and maintain complete control over your emotions, your decisions and your bankroll.

Your bankroll is, basically, the amount of money you bring to any poker or casino table or some bookmakers room when betting on UEFA Champions League games. It can even be the overall amount you have in your account. The amount of money you have will dictate your choices, and by following this as a rule, you will maximize reward while minimizing risk.

How do you effectively manage your bankroll and use percentages in your favor? Well, it's an easy process to learn; you'll just have to implement it.

Tips to Bankroll Management

1: Figure out a budget and stick to it. With most online gaming venues, you're going to receive some bonus money to start out. For instance, if you deposit $100, you may receive $200 to play with. Don't go crazy putting money into any casino or poker room. Play with only what you can afford.

2: Stick to what you know. If you're a fan of roulette, then select one of the best roulette casinos to play at. This goes for poker or any other game. Bankroll management is about winning. We're not just running around blindly trying to press our luck.

3: Play only at tables that have limits less than 20% of your bankroll. For example, if you're playing a ring game in poker and want to play with $100, make sure you go to a $5 max table. Anything else is too risky. You could lose it all in one hand. Remember, bankroll management is about minimizing your risk.

4: Determine a time to get out. This goes for either winning or losing. If you're having a bad day and your particular strategies aren't panning out, run for cover. You can use the 50/50 rule for this. If you're down half of your bankroll, get out of the game. And if you're winning 50% of your bankroll, get out while you're ahead. Hopefully, you'll be ahead far more often than behind.

5: Always bet conservatively. You may run into some good luck and start doing well, but never bet more than 20% of your bankroll at the table. You want to chip away at winnings in small increments. Yes, this may be slow and painful, but you have two options when gambling: lose quickly or win slowly.

If you follow these five tips to manage your bankroll, then you should always be able to keep your risk at a minimum and chip away at some winnings. These rules apply from the top blackjack games to the lowest-stakes poker tables. Just always remember that protecting your bankroll is of vital importance. You cannot play without money.

NHL Betting – Blue Jackets, Canadiens in lone Tuesday NHL matchup

2009-11-24T10:37:00.002+02:00

While you’re looking over the NFL betting odds for the Thanksgiving matchups, cool off for a minute and check out the action on the ice on Tuesday, when Columbus will visit Montreal in a clash of two teams with playoff aspirations.

Blue Jackets vs Canadiens odds – Tuesday, November 24, 7:30 PM ET

Ahead of Tuesday’s game in New York against the Rangers, Columbus is 1-0-1 on a five-game road trip. They showed some heart by bouncing back from a 9-1 humiliation in Detroit with a three-game win streak that was broken with a 4-3 shootout loss in Nashville on Saturday. In their lone meeting with Montreal last year, the Blue Jackets got two assists each from Rick Nash and Jan Hejda in a 4-3 overtime win. Steve Mason, the Calder winner who NHL betting players have seen go through a bit of a sophomore slump to begin this year, had 34 saves in the win.

The Canadiens have gotten resurgence from their own young goaltender as Carey Price was named the second star of the week. Price hasn’t given up more than two goals in five straight starts, and seven of his last 10. If the Canadiens are going to be an NHL betting player this year, they need Price to fulfill the potential that we all see. However, he struggles in front of the home fans, which is a testament to how tough it is to play in Montreal. Price is 1-4-1 at home this year with a .888 save percentage. Their goalscorers from last year’s game against Columbus are no longer with the team: Patrice Brisebois, Sergei Kostitsyn and Alex Tanguay.

NHL betting odds in your sportsbook will be close for this game, but they should favor the Canadiens for a few reasons. One, they’re at home, even though the Blue Jackets are decent on the road and have lost just one of their last five in Montreal. Two, the Blue Jackets play on Monday night, while the Canadiens have been off since Saturday, a 3-2 shootout loss at home to Detroit. Three, Price has been playing extremely well as of late, and he needs a win to get the home fans off of his back.

Hockey Picks: Montreal

Rep of Ireland vs France

2009-11-14T09:23:00.004+02:00

World Cup Q Play Off
14 November, Saturday

Ireland vs France
20:00 BST
Watch Live Football Online

Betting Verdict
It will be a great night tonight as we finally have real international battles on the table with big pots to be decided. I picked the game in Ireland which will be crowded with Premier League stars, in both teams, and will certainly produce one of these 90 minutes that will serve your beer cold and tasty.
Ireland will be desperate to take something into the second leg in Paris on Wednesday and looking at their home record it is likely to steal a point at least from the mighty guests. Italy were the last to suffer on this not so healthy soil and France should learn from this game a lot - luck was it that kept the Italians alive. Ireland were one of only five sides to come through qualifying unbeaten and I expect Keane and company to give France a severe battle tonight.
Looking at the line ups it is obvious for everyone France has more quality, specially up front with the likes of Anelka, Henry, Benzema. It is a long list of stars which should be a monster on paper.
However the upset is written all over here as the home side are motivated and ready to leave their last drop of blood on the pitch in the name of the victory. France won't like it as they will receive a good portion of strong physical battle.
I will take a safety strategy again and search for a half time draw as both teams should be careful in the opening minutes with a mind on not to loose everything right from the start.

2.o0 in bet365 for draw at the HT is tasty.

Bet Selection:
Draw at HT

Top Price:
2.00 in bet365

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Before the game starts & after the final whistle:
I found playing poker as an great alternative on sports betting and a way to increase my bankroll. And it is more fun, that is for sure. You can find me on 1/2 NL Holdem at:

Full Tilt & Bet365

NBA Basketball Betting – Friday Night Picks

2009-11-13T11:53:00.005+02:00

The sports betting attention will be shifted to the boxing odds this weekend as the pound-for-pound king Manny Pacquiao and Miguel Cotto but before we get to the Saturday events, we’ll have some Friday night basketball. Here’s a preview of a couple of key games:

Portland Trail Blazers @ New Orleans Hornets

Sportsbook Odds: Trail Blazers -1

The New Orleans Hornets have had a very ugly start to the season, which cost their head coach his job. Byron Scott is now looking for work as the Hornets decided to fire him after a 3-6 start.

On some levels, the move was completely premature as the Hornets had somewhat of a roster overhaul. The Hornets have two new starters (Devin Brown and Emeka Okafor) and it clearly takes some time for the new members to gel. But for the Hornets, only three wins in their first nine games is not good enough.

The biggest problem for the Hornets is that they have been rebounding very poorly this season – again. In seven of the first nine games, the Hornets have been outrebounded. They thought they may have addressed that problem when they picked up Okafor in the offseason but that hasn’t been enough.

On Friday night, the Hornets host the Trail Blazers, who are heading in the opposite direction. Portland is 6-3 to start that season and has won four straight.

While many people will want to pick the Hornets to bounce back after the firing of their coach, the reality is that they will get outrebounded once again and that will be the difference.

Pick: Trail Blazers -1

Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets

Internet Gambling Odds: Nuggets -1

In another key matchup on Friday night, we’ll see a rematch of the Western Conference Finals from last year as the Denver Nuggets host the Los Angeles Lakers.

This will be a different Lakers squad on the floor on Friday as they are without their two big men: Andrew Bynum and Pau Gasol.

The Nuggets have been hot to start the year and considering they are 6-3 after playing just two home games, that’s a good sign. The Nuggets will want to get some revenge from last year, even as minimal as that will be considering this is a regular season game and they lost in the playoffs.

Everyone knows that if the Lakers are healthy and this is a playoff matchup, the Nuggets would again get smoked but in a regular season affair, look for the Nuggets to be a little more motivated to win this contest.

Pick: Nuggets -1

Nigeria U17 vs Spain U17

2009-11-12T09:32:00.003+02:00

World Cup Under 17
12 November, Thursday

Nigeria vs Spain
18:00 BST
Watch Live Football Online

Betting Verdict
Football fans have no choice today but to choose between a very few games in the coupon. Under 17 games are risky business for the punters but I will have a shot at a price looks worthy and safe enough.
Nigeria vs Spain is a battle with long story on that level and a revenge will be on the table today when both sides meet each other in what should be a final before the final. Spain are desperate to rebuild some pride after loosing 2007 final in Korea from the same opponent after a shootout. Speaking of penalties Spain were lucky enough to win the roulette on the quarters but over 90 minutes efforts may produce some tricks with the legs at that stage. Nigeria are improving with every game here and I will expect them to put Spain under serious physical pressure. Home fans are completely mad and this support will play a role too.
I was considering the 90 minutes draw here but then changed my opinion as Nigeria looks too dangerous in front of the fans, being in top form and able to produce smashing press all over the pitch which will emphasize Spain fatigued after a nerve-shredding 1/4 final.
We can find a relatively safe exit of this game and look for the draw on the HT as both teams will take it easy from the start with a mind on not conceding rather than scoring an early goal.

2.10 in bet365 for draw at the HT is my choice today.

Bet Selection:
Draw at HT

Top Price:
2.10 in bet365

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Bukomir is moving house

2009-10-05T19:35:00.003+03:00

As you probably remember I have designed a series of posts or reviews that will bring you closer to my web surfing findings aside of the pure betting numbers and calculations. The first one was about how I take care of my laptop - now I will move your attention to something I experienced just a month ago.

Moving a house can be such a shock - specially if you are so addicted to your daily convenience and every time you need to live few hours without Internet or cable it hearts a lot. It is hard to find everything and adjusting can take precious time and efforts you may want to bring in another initiative. On the other hand you are not willing to invest your monthly check in this, that's clear. So finding a cheap conveyancing is the fair alternative that will save you time and energy and will make your world looks friendly again. Or, in my case, will let me focus back on growing my bankroll.
I found moveme.com as often happens by powering my search engine with the keyword - conveyancing. These guys are doing exactly everything you need to minimize the negative effect of moving your place, including utilities transfer! Just ask for your conveyancing quote and you will easily find the difference when comparing the price levels. The same in betting - I always take the best option of price.

Uefa Champions League Picks

2009-09-29T09:18:00.004+03:00

Bukomir's Predictions

Champions League
29 September, 09

Fiorentina v Liverpool
ko 19:45 BST
It smells like a draw from miles this one! Both teams are coming after a successful weekend in their domestic leagues and will bring their best in this Champions League game to ensure the good mood continues. Liverpool have a momentum of scoring goals and Torres looks back in shape pretty much. The problem is that Fiorentina, specially at home, are able to close the game so well and wait for their chance as long as needed. The team is solid in defense and has a couple of players up front who are capable of scoring from everywhere. Pool are not the same team as was last year and it will be too brave of a man to back them blindly on the road in Europe, specially when visiting an Italian team. However draw looks likely enough to put your money down on such a bet - I expect a close game, no more than 2 goals and just can not see how these two will find a one way exit.

Bet selection:
I will take the draw here for a massive reward of 3.50 offered by bet365 this morning.

Arsenal v Olympiakos
ko 19:45 BST
I expect Mellberg to be more than happy after this one and the reason shouldn't be the "happy memories" only. Call me mad but I will search for an Under 2.5 Goals here which looks like a suicide bet on Arsenal game this season. However Olympiakos is in my short list of teams which are always ready to produce an Under in Europe, specially on the road. The squad looks perfectly gelled for that phase of the tournament and performs on a very high level at the back. They have actually conceded just two goals in ten games and bookies should be punished for ignoring the fact and building their odds only around Arsenal attacking power. Arsenal were so happy in their last outing in Champions League and over used some luck in the Premier League also - it is time for us to see that this team is again very close to be crowned but still lacks quality and experience enough. I will take the Under option here and expect not a bad night for the visitors.

Bet selection:
Tasty, tasty 2.30 offered by bet365 for Under 2.5 Goals here.

Bookmakers of choice:
This season I will use mainly the following bookies to bet on UEFA Champions League as I find them secure, trusted and user friendly. Read more in my best rated bookmakers section or join me in:

Ladbrokes, bet365, bwin, Expekt or Bet-at-home.

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UCI Road World Championships 09 Pick

2009-09-23T14:08:00.005+03:00

Last sunny days of the season host one of the most expected World Championship events ever. Just few days after the exhausting Tour of Spain offered severe mountain stages and finishes we have the desert of this season - UCI Road World Championships in Mendrisio. One hard day, 262 kms and a couple of clear favorites to have it. I will skip all the previews on the course and detailed analysis on every rider - you can have them all here. I will take a quick shot at my favorite rider instead - Cunego looks like money in the bank and prices for him are going down so fast. Started from 7.00, now it is hard to find better than 6.00 offered by bwin today. You know in cycling there is nothing for granted but this time the Little Prince legs can lead your bankroll safely to a nice reward.

The course suits him to perfection, no doubt about that. His and his team only concern should be to avoid an early break away group which will be very hard to be followed up and down on this route. Looking at the Italian national line up I see the team is very well balanced and capable of control the race from minute 1 till the end. Cunego will have great support in terms of speed, climbing and downhill skills with Ballan, Pozzato, Paolini and Garzelli next to him. The captain should consume their efforts properly and I can predict a well prepared attack to be leaded on the final climb of the day.
Cunego showed a great hints of top form in Vuelta. However I thought he was going to leave the race a bit earlier. The pick of his form should come in Mendrisio and it will be a major surprise if someone manages to steal the glory. Spaniards are also very good on paper with Sanchez and Valverde on the front line but I think both left their power in Spain and the legs will shout for rest on this hilly, "no recovery possible" course.

I will take Cunego to win the title on Saturday - 6.00 for him in bwin

Cardiff To Shock Villa

2009-09-22T18:21:00.011+03:00

League Cup England
23 September, Wednesday

Aston Villa vs Cardiff
19:45 BST
Watch Live Football Online

Betting Verdict
Upsets are the heart of this tournament and I think this one should be one. Call me mad but I expect Villa to become a victim of their outstanding performance recently. Lack of motivation, short bench, different focus - I can add many reasons for going in that direction but the main one is actually with the opponents here - Cardiff City. Visitors are in a bad mood after loosing all the points against QPR on Saturday and after the great start of the season things starts looking not as bright as just few weeks ago. A win or a good result here will lift their confidence high and bring the desired power to stay competitive on the top teams (which is under question mark after Cardiff lost to QPR and Newcastle). It is true the injury list is long - McCormack, Etuhu, McNaughton, Adam Matthews are all there - but Cardiff still have a decent players who may bring the glory home and restore some pride.
I see Villa are not so interested of this tournament with Premier League top 6 on the table this season. The team had a slow start of the campaign but now looks well in form. The problem is that Villa will need every preserved power by their regulars for the Premier League battles as the bench is still too short for such a high class team and options are not too many, indeed.
I tip them to approach the game with less concentration than needed which will be properly used by Cardiff City strong attacking line up. It is time to see goals in Villa's net after 2 unusual scenarios.

2.62 in bet365 for Cardiff not to lose the game.

Bet Selection:
Double chance: Cardiff or Draw

Top Price:
2.62 in bet365

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How To Improve Your Betting Skills

2009-09-22T17:14:00.006+03:00

Part II
I am back on the betting basics with more wisdom to be shared, hopefully for the good of your bankroll. In part I we went through how to build and manage a bankroll as well as on how to avoid betting on not known sports and options. This time I will share two things I find extremely important about successful sports betting.

Approach the game, not the prices
I am sure everyone does it. Get up in the morning, a big coffee on the table, bookie uploaded in the browser and than scroll the games staring at the odds and the odds only. After some time with betting and specially if you lost money in a row your brain starts to scroll down the prices only and often forgets about the game and opponents. Ask your self an honest question - am I staring at the tasty draw not on the listed game? If the answer is yes, you are in trouble, man. You are that close from starting to stake a number of draws for extremely big accumulated rewards - it is so thrilling when you put your money down on 4 "so likely" draws and so disappointing at the end of the day when all 4 went wrong.
Keep your mind on the game, analyze the opponents, browse the statistics and the archive in your head, feel it with your instincts if you have any live impressions on the opponents so far and then, but only then, look at the prices for each option. And you should do that every time, on every game and build a discipline of a kind that will save/bring you money.

Find the right value
Be careful with all these easy looking 1.35 - 1.60 priced options - I have learned that from experience but you can save some time and money. It looks 100 % save, like no chance to go the other way, a smashing advantage on the table and when the final whistle goes and 0:0 is on the screen you are close to suicide (specially if that game is the last in your coupon to bring you a massive award). Most of the time it is just not worthy compared to the risk you are taking by only putting your money down on the option (remember, all of the other options are still likely enough before the game starts, pure mathematics!). Of course, you can have an accumulator but my advice is to avoid this kind of bets if you are not experienced enough - the easiest looking things are, as always, the hardest! Bookies are not stupid (well, most of the time) and even 1.55 looks like a gift, it is not or won't be if you look from a bit long term perspective.
Start with prices between 1.80 - 2.20 - these babies just shout "bookies are not sure enough on me" while still apply your knowledge on the game and opponents before looking at the prices at all.
I am doing it like this - when it comes to Premier League in England I am browsing the fixtures on the official league site first and identify a list of games I am interested to take a bet on. Then I am reading all the related news, injuries, suspensions, etc. and finally I have a look at the prices in one of my favorite bookies. I am selecting the games that responds to the 1.80 - 2.20 rule and the list becomes shorter. After that it is time for some picks by experienced punters I am following on the net, some background and, of course, checking for possible better price across the sports books.

Part III will come shortly on the blog with focus on helpful resources, betting tool kits, paid or free picks discussions and more advanced options for experienced tipsters.

England League Cup Picks

2009-09-22T12:08:00.005+03:00

League Cup England
22 September, Tuesday

Arsenal vs WBA
19:45 BST

Betting Verdict
It won't be a popular one to bet on today across the punters as the trick is in Arsenal line up which Wenger plan to field at Emirates. “You will see Szczesny, Ramsey, Gibbs, Wilshere and certainly Vela,” said Wenger. “Traore will play". 1.40 on the home side in bet365 starts looking a bit under priced considering Arsenal is facing the top team from the lower division who just swept Boro 0:5 last weekend and enjoys a great form recently. It is also true that Wenger youngsters are doing always pretty well in this cup (and crushed Sheffield United last year in the same round) but we need a better price for taking the risk.
That is why I sniff across the markets and see value in 1.66 on goal/goal option as we will certainly have an open game with many opportunities. Arsenal will be motivated for performance that can bring a possible recognition for the first squad for a number of young and talented players. WBA is always hungry for scalps and this one should satisfy them enough. They have the team in form and a kind of momentum after the outstanding performance in Championship so far.
West Bromwich Albion could give a debut to Chile international Gonzalo Jara but they will miss the services of Joe Mattock and Chris Brunt.

1.66 in bet365 for Goal/Goal here is a worthy shot.

Bet Selection:
Both teams to score

Top Price:
1.66 in bet365

Bookmaker of choice:

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Betting Picks on Premier League Today

2009-09-19T10:06:00.006+03:00

Bukomir's Predictions

Barclays Premier League
19 September, 09

Hull v Birmingham
ko 15:00 BST
What we have here is the worst defense in the league against one of the less dangerous attacking line ups. The visitors should perfectly suits Hull playing style and be an easy victim at KC stadium, on paper. However I saw a couple of Birmingham performances on the road this season and they were close of getting more points due to a confident defending and well organized midfield. If David Murphy and Liam Ridgewell manage to make it for this one things will start to look bright for the visitors. I can see a possible upset here but still have doubts in which direction to go exactly - primary bet should be on goal/goal option as it is time to see more from Birmingham up front and Hull's defense looks like the best patient. My opinion is that Benitez should be given more minutes to prove his quality. On the other hand draw is so tempting as a point will be a reward for visitors and will put them back on the right track after the painful loss of the derby with Villa. I will choose a safety bet and stick to Goal/No Goal market but if your bankroll allows this you can consider placing a small amount on the draw at KC Stadium today.

Bet selection:
My main bet on this game will be with Goal/Goal for the huge reward of 1.90 offered by bet365

Burnley v Sunderland
ko 15:00 BST
I look at my statistics and the draw should be right here today! I don't know why everyone fancy visitors chances that much. It is true Burnley suffered heavy defeats by Pool and Chelsea but now they are back at Turf Moor to restore the pride and their home record is decent. I admit it won't be the scenario we saw already when United and Everton were visiting and goals are likely but Burnley should be considered as a totally different team when playing in front of the fans. Captain will be missing again but this is the only concern for the manager. On the other camp we also have almost fully available squad and one man in focus - Dent is outstanding so far up front and just can not stop scoring goals. But it will be too much of an euphoria to me to think Sunderland can change their mentality on the road so quickly due to just one striker. Yes, they are fast, yes, they have dangerous counter attacks, yes, they score plenty of goals, but away of home Sunderland remains a middle quality team and on a bad they things look so sad.
I am a bit scared of the home power here but will follow my instincts blindly and take the draw at a delicious price. If appears it will be the first draw for both teams this season - chances are good.

Bet selection:
My wallet needs a boost today - 3.20 0ffered by bwin for the draw is a well appreciated option.

Bookmakers of choice:
This season I will use mainly the following bookies to bet on England Premier League as I find them secure, trusted and user friendly. Read more in my best rated bookmakers section or join me in:

Ladbrokes, bet365, bwin, Expekt or Bet-at-home.

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How To Improve Your Betting Skills

2009-09-17T20:58:00.006+03:00

PART I
All experienced punters, please scroll down to the daily picks. This is stuff you should know already and probably makes you so successful. To be honest, I do not like "how to-s" that much but sometimes those give you an angle you can use for building the basics on the right track.

Yes, You should have a bankroll
Admit this is your budget - you should have a certain amount of money on your start does not matter if you play for fun or you are taking betting as seriously as a business. Generally, you just can't spend more than you really have, right? Or you won't to (look what happened to the world these days!). My advice is to keep it simple - say you have, for example, 200 pounds for the whole month and this is it - you loose it, you stop betting until the next pay check comes. This is your first step - to elect the money you can afford to loose and this is a strong psychological border when it comes to take wrong and impulsive decision. Step two is to learn how to manage your bankroll. There are different models and schemes but you will be right enough if you take this - avoid betting more than 10 % of your bankroll on a single bet and do not bet more than 30 % of the whole sum you have in one day. I know - sounds like a boring stuff, specially when finds you in a good day with a series of winning bets. But you should believe, things can turn wrong for less than a second, i know!

Bet ONLY on sports you know well
This may sounds funny to someone but I it happens all the time. You open one of the nice designed online sportsbooks and a bunch of different sports are exposed to you tempting with their huge offerings. And you think - forget about this 1.36 odds on Liverpool at home vs Burnley, look at this hockey or baseball game, massive return is waiting there! And here we have just one step to start placing bets you really do not control at allwhich minimizing your chance of a win (close to 0). Let's say it will be more a lottery than sports betting skills. You can win, sure, I did, but once, twice - on a long period of time you won't be successful and losing money and confidence is likely. My advice is to stick on your favorite, to keep your approach closer as possible - even if you focus on 3-4 football clubs, follow their results round by round, analyze and feed your engine with precious news and tips, this will be the best!

In part II I will write about few common mistakes when approaching a single game - come back for more and good luck.

Bukomir's Laptop Case

2009-09-17T17:09:00.004+03:00

I have designed this post to kick off series of reviews that will bring you closer to my web surfing findings aside of the pure betting numbers and calculations. The first one is about something very important when you need to carry your business (like i do) with you almost all the time. You know how odds are going crazy and you need to find the best moment to shoot - I often do that while drinking my coffee in my favorite bar or resting after fitness in the lobby, via my laptop, of course. And you should admit this "baby" needs an appropriate care when you use it all the time, everywhere.

The right laptop bag or laptop case can make your life easier, no doubt. I found http://www.gearzap.com/ while browsing the net and liked the portfolio listed on the page. It is very well organized for a nervous web user I am sometimes and I found my thing among the laptop accessories for less than minute. Secure payment on board here and PayPal perfectly suited my preferences.
You may think I am taking too long for this small laptop case but I should tell you all these small things are like those which can turn one game into thousands dollars in your pocket.

UEFA Europa League Picks

2009-09-17T09:39:00.006+03:00

Bukomir's Predictions

UEFA Europa League
17 September, 09

CSKA Sofia v Fulham
ko 18:00 BST
If you live in London do not try to reach home for the early kick off when Fulham opens the campaign in UEFA Europa league groups. Why? Things look no good as the British side will host many dramatic changes in the line up and rest no less than 10 of their Premier League regulars. It is a long list but I will mention Andrew Johnson, Bobby Zamora, Brede Hangeland, Clint Dempsey and Damien Duff all missing the visit in Sofia. Roy is still hoping for the best but this is not serious when you play against team as CSKA Sofia on their home ground.
CSKA missed first points for the season in their domestic league (0:0 on their visit to Pirin in the weekend) but hold the table under control and are still to receive a goal after 4 games. The reason of such a solid defense is the brililant collaboration between the center backs in the faces of Ivanov and Kotev. Both have crucial influence on the whole team as often scoring headers from corners too. CSKA have no fresh injuries but coach Penev is totally unpredictable on the tactica front and often features fully debutant who rocks the game later. CSKA held Dinamo Moscow for a 0:0 draw in the qualification round and were close to the win.
I just believe the home side is more concentrated on this game, well motivated and will surely find a way to put Fulham under serious pressure n Sofia.

Bet selection:
Call it madness but I will take CSKA Sofia on fixed odds - 2.40 offered by bet365 is huge.

Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Celtic
ko 18:00 BST
It smells like low scoring affair here and I will take this chance to add a tasty desert to my accumulator bet today. The Heat and the humidity will play a crucial role in that game and will be a kind of a issue to be solved by Celtic players. I expect them to approach this visit with a mind on defense and the fact that Scott McDonald will be probably all alone striker confirms that. Celtic will be without injured £3.8m summer signing Marc-Antoine Fortune, BBC reported.
I expect the home side to go for the win here as they have a decent home record and enjoy playing in front of the fans. However Hapoel know Celtic power and every free space left in their field can cost much. Hapoel took first win in their domestic league just 4 days before the clash - 3:1 on the road against Beer Sheva.
1:1 is coming to my mind and I can certainly find value in the draw bet also but in Matchday 1 of the group stage I prefer to take no such a risk and go for the Under.

Bet selection:
1.65 in bwin is a nice addition to my accumulator bet today. Take Under 2.5 goals here and consider placing a small amount on the draw too.

Bookmakers of choice:
This season I will use mainly the following bookies to bet on UEFA Europa League as I find them secure, trusted and user friendly. Read more in my best rated bookmakers section or join me in:

Ladbrokes, bet365, bwin, Expekt or Bet-at-home.

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Stuttgart vs Rangers

2009-09-16T08:01:00.004+03:00

UEFA Champions League
16 September, Wednesday
WON
Stuttgart vs Rangers
19:45 BST

Betting Verdict
As everyone is talking for the Inter-Barcelona clash tonight let me change the perspective a bit and focus not on the trendy but on the winning bets. The game I have chosen looks like the main favorite to win the prize "top boring game of the night" - two defensively minded teams built around solid line ups in the back, well organized and physically ready to smash every competitor. Rangers will give a fight here and as always we can expect brutal press and challenges on the edge of the fair play designed to destroy the opponent fluency and to open gaps for some fast counter attacks, quick ball in the penalty area and a clinical finish. I saw this scenario so often when Rangers were playing in Europe!
Stuttgart are pretty much the same team counting mainly on their defensive players to hold enough before their opponent make a mistake. The team is performing well at home and will be hoping to kick off with a nice win but I think this won't be a popular bet tonight - Rangers are different team now and are able to produce one of their 1:0 tricks on the road.
That is why I will search deep the market and stop at the Under 2.5 Goals option here - 1.85 in bet365 is a worthy shot I will take. What bothers me a bit is the miss of Ludovic Magnin in the home side defense which can possible destroy their play at back.

Weekend results
Motherwell FC 0-0 Rangers
Hamburger SV 3-1 Stuttgart

1.85 in bet365 for Under 2.5 Goals here squeezes value from this game.

Bet Selection:
Under 2.5 Goals

Top Price:
1.85 in bet365

Bookmaker of choice:

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UEFA Champions League Betting Picks

2009-09-14T20:00:00.007+03:00

Bukomir's Predictions

Champions League
15 September, 09

Wolfsburg v CSKA Moscow
ko 19:45 BST
It was such a bad news for CSKA Moscow when Wolfsburg lost 2:3 on Saturday from Bayer at home. Why? Now the "Wolves" are furious and you can rarely see two results of that kind in a row on that stadium. Armin Veh is a great motivator when it comes to situation like this and I expect them to go and eat the grass if it is needed to collect all the points. I give no chance to CSKA defense to stop Grafite (2.25 for him on bet365 to score anytime) and company from scoring and the question is just are they able to score one more. The home side has a decent home record and they just proved goals are no problem even when the squad is reduced by the referee.
CSKA will need time to settle according their new coach requirements. They have the players, the confidence and history but still are missing few things - specially when it comes to away fixtures. The team is currently 3rd in the domestic league and have no big hopes for climbing the table.

Bet selection:
I will take Wolsfurg to rebuid some pride in front of the fans - 1.80 offered by bet365 seems fair enough.
WON

Juventus v Bordeaux
ko 19:45 BST
Call it madness but I can smell an upset here and will try the draw with a huge value in this bet. Juventus will face a well organized, specially in defense, team which can keep the ball wisely and use every chance up front. I expect the French side to close the game and keep Juve cautious on counter-attack treats all the time. Bordeaux are moving the ball quickly and this will answer Juventus style with pressing on every inch of the pitch.
The home team suffers two important injury blows as both Diego and del Piero will miss the game. This will certainly affect the imagination in the midfield and creativity should be decisive against a team like Bordeaux. Gourcuff, Marouane Chamakh and Yoan Gouffran will cost Juve some power in order to be neutralized and sharing the points looks fair on the start of the campaign. Can be brutal physical battle this one and 0:0 is what came to my mind when I first saw the fixture.

Bet selection:
3.75 in bwin shall be my reward for taking the risk on this one.
WON

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Champions League Fantasy Football

2009-09-14T19:46:00.003+03:00

Call me addicted but it is really great fun to be a manager and win cash and prizes without risking your money or reputation in it. It is also more entertaining to watch the games and shout the name of your fantasy striker every time he touches the ball up front.
Now UEFA Champions League is served and Fanatsy Football is back with the most exciting tournament on the old continent. You can pick your fantasy team now and win big prizes every matchday and, of course, a fantastic overall reward with this set to join your digital home in style:

All you need to know about the game is on site .
Go for it now and do not forget to share this fun with us - our private Betting Picks league is available via entering the code 81186-23279.
Good luck all!

Sunday Premier League Picks

2009-09-12T21:34:00.006+03:00

Bukomir's Predictions

Barclays Premier League
13 September, 09

Birmingham v Aston Villa
ko 12:00 BST
It is one of the derbies capable of producing upsets despite the current form and standings. I have a lot of respect for Birmingham playing at home and they are still unbeaten in this campaign - 1:0 win against Pompey and 0:0 to share the points with Stoke. The team is performing well so far, solid in defense and a bit to improve in attack. Birmingham admit it - this is one of the games of the season and no additional motivation is needed. The problem is that Villa is constantly improving after the outstanding 3:1 win at Anfield. They beat 2:0 Fulham at home in the last round and now are confident of getting more and more points to secure a top 6 finish. I have the feeling this team is only warming up and we will see it flying high soon. It is Villa who currently reign in Birmingham, having won the last four meetings and I expect another one to come tomorrow and extend the record.

Bet selection:
I will take Villa to win the derby - 2.25 is the meal served by bet365
WON

Fulham v Everton
ko 16:15 BST
You may easily take the home win here and you will be probably right. Statistics will support the decision as Fulham is totally dominating the clash in the last 10 years with just one loss here (0:2 last year). Zamora and Andy Johnson are both back in contention and the fact will boost the home attack.
However it smells like too easy bet which can balance the market for the bookies tomorrow. Draw is likely as both teams find it difficult to score goals and practice similar styles of football. It will be a midfield battle with limited chances up front. Everton seems ready to forget the nightmare and a good result here will help a lot. I will skip the fixed odds and take a safety bet on Under 2.5 Goals market.

Bet selection:
1.57 offered by bet365 for an under bet is a huge price for a game between these two.
LOST

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England Premier League Tips

2009-09-12T13:28:00.004+03:00

Bukomir's Predictions

Barclays Premier League
12 September, 09

Blackburn v Wolves
ko 15:00 BST
Wolves are doing just fine at the top level but Blackburn desperately need goals and victories. 0:0 with West Ham at home just before the brake was another indication of a weak attack and this won't be improved as Benni McCarthy is still doubtful. However I expect a serious boost by the fact that Ryan Nelsen, Franco Di Santo, Steven Reid, Brett Emerton and El Hadji Diouf all come back into contention. I bet the home side will offer their visitors a severe physical battle and the risks Wolves usually take in their away fixtures will probably decide the exit.

Bet selection:
I will take Blackurn here at tasty 1.83 on bet365
WON

Liverpool v Burnley
ko 15:00 BST
No more early Christmas gifts from Pool. I expect Burnley to feel how hard is Premier league life when they visit Anfield today in what should be a home banker. I see no value in the fixed odds and will try a shot on the first Goalscorer market. Gerrard looks back in his best and hungry for goals. He performed well against Croatia in the midweek international duty and will probably find it easy to repeat that in the league. As the whole defense of Burnley will keep a very close eye on Torres up front I bet on Gerrard to break first with one of his stunning shots from distance. Over 2.5 goals is a likely exit also but I will try to hit it big.

Bet selection:
Gerrard just can not stop scoring - 4.50 offered today by Ladbrokes is a huge price for a likely first goal scorer.
LOST

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Vuelta 09 Cycling Picks Stage 13

2009-09-12T12:58:00.003+03:00

This will be the stage that will decide on the GC, I have this feeling. Gesink was flying yesterday with an outstanding final meters which helped him earned few seconds and Basso, Evans and Valverde were happy just to follow. No legs to attack? I don't think so - the style of the chasing group was so smooth, calm and confident - I had the feeling they just did not want to get mad on the top. This means all three probably preserved power for today, for the real climb and a massive finish on 2380m. The profile of stage 13 is hard enough even for a climber - 5 categorized climbs and Alto de Sierra Nevada waiting to squeeze every drop of power at the end of all. Recovery will be the key and I think Gesink won't make it.
Evans, Valverde or Basso? Last two have better chances as their teams will support hardly on the way to the last climb and I just give a small advantage to Liquigas-Doimo. However I did not see a single attack from Basso in this Vuelta as he was so defensive minded so far. The profile suits him - the tempo should do the job.

I will take Basso to collect the victory and climb the GC table alongside with Sierra Nevada- bet365 offers 9.00 for such a glory.