tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-100070112009-02-21T10:12:09.352-05:00Baseball Notebook is dedicated to constantly improving and providing baseball forecasts and methods. Our mission is to create baseball forecasts that will annually, on average, be the most reliable method of estimating performance, more than using any previous year or multi-year averaged historical data. David Luciani, the lead forecaster of BaseballNotebook.com, offers his thoughts and ideas through way of Baseball Notebook's Blog.David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comBlogger243125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-56578600430523985392007-09-09T02:46:00.000-04:002007-09-09T02:48:04.689-04:00

This is an automatic announcement to RSS readers that our final "Week Ahead" reports have now been published at the BaseballNotebook.com website. This concludes our publishing season and we thank readers for their interest and support of our work this year!

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-50824334196621048122007-09-08T15:34:00.001-04:002007-09-08T15:35:14.016-04:00

This is an automatic announcement to RSS readers that our latest "Weekly Depth Charts" report has now been published at the BaseballNotebook.com website. This is our final such report of the 2007 season.

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-64073460006724519902007-09-07T15:53:00.000-04:002007-09-07T15:54:50.887-04:00

This is an automatic announcement to RSS readers that our final "Good Luck, Bad Luck" report of the 2007 publishing season has now been published at the BaseballNotebook.com website.

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-56257182710320127952007-09-06T14:55:00.000-04:002007-09-06T14:57:06.575-04:00

This report is designed to offer a weekly update on the top "translated" minor league performances to date for 2007. Translations are not necessarily a reflection of real ability but they do attempt to set a player's minor league performance this season into a neutral big league context. For additional details, please read the first column in this series.This final translation set is through play

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-63828523531550144232007-09-05T17:44:00.001-04:002007-09-05T17:44:43.122-04:00

This is an automatic announcement to RSS readers that a new blog entry has been posted at the BaseballNotebook.com website. This entry is not available in RSS format.

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-86588862747470007632007-09-04T15:15:00.000-04:002007-09-04T16:19:38.976-04:00

As we prepare to wrap up another publishing season, I've been looking back through the inbox to scan for overlooked questions or dialogues I had privately with different readers that may have remained unresolved. I've sent at least a few readers some private thoughts in the past few days on conversations we were having that were still open.Tomorrow, I'll talk briefly about plans for next year

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-20144054527800088692007-09-02T11:04:00.000-04:002007-09-02T11:06:07.005-04:00

This is an automatic announcement to RSS readers that our latest "Week Ahead" report, which takes a statistical look at the upcoming week's schedule, has now been posted at the BaseballNotebook.com website.

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-33480054858606053292007-09-01T11:30:00.000-04:002007-09-01T11:32:24.563-04:00

This is an automatic announcement to RSS readers that our latest "Weekly Depth Charts" report has now been published at the BaseballNotebook.com website.

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-56149311134105090522007-08-31T15:43:00.001-04:002007-08-31T15:43:33.797-04:00

This is an automatic announcement to RSS readers that our latest "Good Luck, Bad Luck" report has now been published at the BaseballNotebook.com website.

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-69966635123547859722007-08-30T15:48:00.000-04:002007-08-30T15:52:37.325-04:00

This report is designed to offer a weekly update on the top "translated" minor league performances to date for 2007. Translations are not necessarily a reflection of real ability but they do attempt to set a player's minor league performance this season into a neutral big league context. For additional details, please read the first column in this series.Translated statistics are always through

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-52578772735098623032007-08-29T15:35:00.000-04:002007-08-29T16:25:23.031-04:00

If you were reserving your stretch drive infield position for the return of Damion Easley, he won't be coming back at all this year. He's reportedly headed home and the New York Daily News was today reporting that he won't even come back for the playoffs if the Mets are in them. The news isn't any better for another Mets infielder in that Jose Valentin also appears unlikely to return this

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-48490163549624442962007-08-28T15:18:00.000-04:002007-08-28T18:05:34.780-04:00

At least one reader apparently thought that August 31st is the waiver deadline for trading in big league baseball and it's important that readers understand that trades can still happen in baseball after August 31st. The reason most of us think of August 31st as the waiver deadline is because clubs need to have acquired players before September 1st if that player is to be eligible to appear in

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-79911153365035136802007-08-26T16:04:00.001-04:002007-08-26T16:04:43.032-04:00

This is an automatic announcement to RSS readers that our latest "Week Ahead" report, which takes a statistical look at the upcoming week's schedule, has now been published at the BaseballNotebook.com website.

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-87353695970290175262007-08-25T16:16:00.001-04:002007-08-25T16:16:56.621-04:00

This is an automatic announcement to RSS readers that our latest "Weekly Depth Charts" report has now been published at the BaseballNotebook.com website.

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-86336816071746276022007-08-24T15:54:00.001-04:002007-08-24T15:54:31.815-04:00

This is an automatic announcement to RSS readers that our latest "Good Luck, Bad Luck" report has now been published at the BaseballNotebook.com website.

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-28789969106343005452007-08-23T15:27:00.000-04:002007-08-23T15:28:52.004-04:00

This report is designed to offer a weekly update on the top "translated" minor league performances to date for 2007. Translations are not necessarily a reflection of real ability but they do attempt to set a player's minor league performance this season into a neutral big league context. For additional details, please read the first column in this series.Translated statistics are always through

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-51699926439581481562007-08-22T15:05:00.001-04:002007-08-22T16:01:15.494-04:00

At this time of year, I'm hearing from readers who have everything going their way in their fantasy league and I'm also getting my share of notes from readers who have been disappointed in their fantasy team for whatever reason. This is nothing new. Interestingly, at least a few of the ones who thank me at this time of year are names I recognize from previous years, readers who seem to be

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-37027194364156630522007-08-21T13:58:00.000-04:002007-08-21T14:43:41.317-04:00

The Nick Johnson situation is a reminder of how a single injury can quickly turn into something much bigger than it originally seemed and/or how much players can seem to be getting close to a return only to revert to square one. If you didn't already hear, it's safe to cut Johnson from your reserve list as the Nationals confirmed this week that his season is done. Just looking back in notes

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-66725791695066390432007-08-19T17:19:00.000-04:002007-08-19T17:20:16.147-04:00

This is an automatic announcement to RSS readers that our latest "Week Ahead" report, which takes a statistical look at the upcoming week's schedule, has now been published at the BaseballNotebook.com website.

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-58939097822782753142007-08-18T17:12:00.001-04:002007-08-18T17:12:44.523-04:00

This is an automatic announcement that our latest "Weekly Depth Charts" report has been published at the BaseballNotebook.com website.

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-79197850355837433662007-08-16T05:57:00.000-04:002007-08-16T05:58:26.470-04:00

This report is designed to offer a weekly update on the top "translated" minor league performances to date for 2007. Translations are not necessarily a reflection of real ability but they do attempt to set a player's minor league performance this season into a neutral big league context. For additional details, please read the first column in this series.Translated statistics are always through

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-69790790024084454832007-08-15T05:12:00.000-04:002007-08-15T18:08:54.271-04:00

In this space yesterday, I talked a bit about the concept of deliberately disregarding certain fantasy categories in which you are leading or trailing by a wide margin. Today, I want to get a bit deeper into the concept but now focus on the idea of relative point stability. A situation like this and exploiting it actually won me a league a couple of years back (I believe it was 2005 but it might

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-12416138690840571152007-08-14T06:35:00.000-04:002007-08-14T07:37:55.157-04:00

We're at a stage of the season where I need to talk about a closing technique that a lot of fantasy baseball players overlook. In fact, I often get messages from readers in October who tell me that they were leading or in a race to the finish heading into September, only to wrap up late August and September with a collapse that saw them finish a disappointing second... or worse.This is a two

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-38945890736459542912007-08-12T14:45:00.001-04:002007-08-12T14:45:58.533-04:00

This is an automatic announcement to RSS readers that our latest "Week Ahead" report, which takes a statistical look at the upcoming week's schedule, has now been published at the BaseballNotebook.com website.

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10007011.post-39755602670288136782007-08-11T15:38:00.001-04:002007-08-11T15:38:30.407-04:00

This is an automatic announcement to RSS readers that our latest "Weekly Depth Charts" report has now been published at the BaseballNotebook.com website.

David Lucianihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303964802216296025noreply@blogger.com